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If history is any indicator, they very well could be.
When it comes to the NFL preseason, the games are generally viewed as being pretty meaningless. What happens during the preseason doesn't really translate to whether a team will have any success in the regular-season. (Just ask the 2008 Lions and 2017 Browns about that. Both teams went 4-0 in the preseason before going 0-16 in the regular-season.)
Although the preseason doesn't really serve as a good predictor for the regular season, there has been one stat that has somehow translated to regular-season success and that's point differential. And if you're a fan of the Chicago Bears, this is where you're going to want to start paying attention.
Thanks to their 34-21 win over the Chiefs on Thursday night, the Bears will finish the preseason with a record of 4-0. In those four games, the Bears outscored their opponents by 68 points. As someone on Reddit pointed out, that was the highest preseason point differential by any team since 2013.
So, does a high preseason point differential mean anything? It turns out that it might.
The Bears are the seventh team since 2009 to finish a preseason with a point differential of +60 or more, and the six previous teams ALL MADE THE PLAYOFFS, including two teams that went on to win the Super Bow.
Let's check out the other six teams on the list:
The Bears are now the seventh team to outscore their preseason opponents by 60 or more points. If history holds, that means they'll be headed to at least the playoffs.
The Bears do have a young quarterback in Caleb Williams, but several teams on this list actually fit that mold. As we mentioned, the Seahawks had a rookie QB in Russell Wilson in 2012. When the Lions ran through the preseason in 2011, they had a third-year QB in Matthew Stafford. And let's not forget about Lamar Jackson, who was just in his second season when he led the Ravens to a 14-2 record in 2019.
Bears pull off rare preseason feat that's produced 2 Super Bowl champs, 6 playoff teams over past 15 years
When it comes to the NFL preseason, the games are generally viewed as being pretty meaningless. What happens during the preseason doesn't really translate to whether a team will have any success in the regular-season. (Just ask the 2008 Lions and 2017 Browns about that. Both teams went 4-0 in the preseason before going 0-16 in the regular-season.)
Although the preseason doesn't really serve as a good predictor for the regular season, there has been one stat that has somehow translated to regular-season success and that's point differential. And if you're a fan of the Chicago Bears, this is where you're going to want to start paying attention.
Thanks to their 34-21 win over the Chiefs on Thursday night, the Bears will finish the preseason with a record of 4-0. In those four games, the Bears outscored their opponents by 68 points. As someone on Reddit pointed out, that was the highest preseason point differential by any team since 2013.
So, does a high preseason point differential mean anything? It turns out that it might.
The Bears are the seventh team since 2009 to finish a preseason with a point differential of +60 or more, and the six previous teams ALL MADE THE PLAYOFFS, including two teams that went on to win the Super Bow.
Let's check out the other six teams on the list:
2009 New Orleans Saints
- Preseason record: 3-1
- Point differential: +69
- Regular-season: 13-3
2011 Detroit Lions
- Preseason record: 4-0
- Point differential: +67
- Regular-season: 10-6
2012 Seattle Seahawks
- Preseason record: 4-0
- Point differential: +78
- Regular-season: 11-5
2013 Seattle Seahawks
- Preseason record: 4-0
- Point differential: +73
- Regular-season: 13-3
2014 Denver Broncos
- Preseason record: 3-1
- Point differential: +62
- Regular-season: 12-4
2019 Baltimore Ravens
- Preseason record: 4-0
- Point differential: +66
- Regular-season: 14-2
The Bears are now the seventh team to outscore their preseason opponents by 60 or more points. If history holds, that means they'll be headed to at least the playoffs.
The Bears do have a young quarterback in Caleb Williams, but several teams on this list actually fit that mold. As we mentioned, the Seahawks had a rookie QB in Russell Wilson in 2012. When the Lions ran through the preseason in 2011, they had a third-year QB in Matthew Stafford. And let's not forget about Lamar Jackson, who was just in his second season when he led the Ravens to a 14-2 record in 2019.