TishLover
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https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/...tual-locks-packers-on-the-outside-looking-in/
The Chiefs and Rams are the only two teams with a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
The Ravens, despite dropping to 3-2 with a loss to the Browns, have an 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
The Bengals are ranked below the Chargers in terms of playoff chances.
The Steelers' chances, even after they beat the Falcons, are at 34.8 percent. However, Oh pointed out that if they beat the Bengals this week, their percentage will rise above 50.
The Browns have hope! They have a 12.5 percent chance of making the playoffs!
The Bears, after the Rams and Saints, own the third-best chance of making the playoffs in the NFC at 74.2 percent and their chances of winning the NFC North are at 55.3 percent.
The Eagles, despite losing to the Vikings on Sunday, still have a 50.6 percent chance of making the playoffs thanks to their inferior competition in the NFC East.
The Packers' and Vikings' playoff projections are both around 30 percent.
Oh's simulations actually give the Lions a higher expected win total (only slightly) than the Packers and Vikings.
3. Bears (9.7), NFC North champion
With that defense of theirs, the Bears don't need Mitchell Trubisky to throw for six touchdowns in every game. They just need him to be better than he was in Weeks 1-3. If Trubisky can take the next step, the Bears are a legitimate Super Bowl contender. If Trubisky can't, the Bears will be hard pressed to keep winning games while relying entirely on their defense. Even still, they've built up a nice little lead and they've got a favorable stretch of games coming up against the AFC East.