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Mag Rankings: Chicago Blackhawks
Two years removed from winning the Cup, Chicago remains the top team in the West
By Lindsay Berra, Craig Custance, Neil Greenberg, Doug McIntyre
ESPN Insider
ESPN Insider goes deep on all 30 teams to get you prepped for the 2011-12 NHL season.
Here's how the Chicago Blackhawks shape up, including a potential breakout player, a key stat and the views of a division rival. And check out our preseason rankings to see how they stack up against the rest of the league.
Title Potential
We've projected each team's Stanley Cup potential by scraping the numbers of every post-lockout team to find 10 statistical hurdles that correlated most closely to the past six Cup winners. (For a detailed explanation of the methodology,
click here.) The result is the creation of the Playoff Power Meter.
The Playoff Power Meter illustrates the sum of all of the benchmarks passed, shown to the right of the bar, weighted by correlation to past Stanley Cup winners. The stronger the link to past champs, the more points we assigned to it. The benchmarks are abbreviated as follows:
Elite: A .500 record or better vs. the top eight projected teams (8 points)
GF/Gm: Goals for per game of 2.8 or better (4 points)
SF/Gm: Shots for per game of 31 or better (4 points)
GA/Gm: Goals against per game of 2.6 or lower (4 points)
SA/Gm: Shots against per game of 31 or lower (4 points)
GD/Gm: Goal differential per game of 0.2 or better (4 points)
SD/Gm: Shot differential per game of 2.8 or better (4 points)
SV%: Team save percentage of .910 or better (2 points)
PP%: Power-play percentage of 17 or better (1 point)
PK%: Penalty-kill percentage of 81 or better (1 point)
Playoff Power Meter Score: 22 of 36
Marks Cleared: GF/Gm | SF/Gm | SA/Gm | GD/Gm
SD/Gm | PP% | PK%
CONF. RANKING
1
NHL RANKING
3
Player Perspective
Corey Crawford was arguably the Blackhawks' best player during their first-round playoff loss to the
Vancouver Canucks, and having that stability in goal entering the season is something opposing players think will help Chicago.
"He played extremely well with the workload that was placed upon him,"
Columbus Blue Jackets goalie
Steve Mason said.
That means higher expectations, which can be a challenge for any second-year player.
"People are going to expect him to play at that level this year," Mason said. "He's going to have pressure not only from media and management but pressure he puts on himself."
But even if Crawford slips in his sophomore season, the Blackhawks have the kind of depth that can overcome it.
"From their top-end guys who are all-world players, they don't drop off much down their whole lineup,"
St. Louis Blues F
David Backes said. "It's not like you can check
Jonathan Toews off the scoresheet and expect to win the game. Check him and there's still [Patrick] Kane and [Marian] Hossa and [Patrick] Sharp. If you try to take the forwards out of the game, they have
Duncan Keith and
Brent Seabrook who can put points on the board."
Craig Custance's Breakout Player: Michael Frolik, F
We're firmly in the camp that there's no way Frolik finishes with a shooting percentage as low as 4.4 percent again this season. He had only 11 goals last year in splitting time between Florida and Chicago, but there were signs he was getting much more comfortable with the Blackhawks by the time the playoffs rolled around. He had five points in seven postseason games and will benefit from a healthy
Dave Bolland, who also could see an increase in offensive production this year. Frolik is surrounded by more talent than he's ever had in his career and has had the necessary amount of time to get acclimated. With
Brian Campbell out of the way,
Nick Leddy could see a nice offensive boost in Chicago as well this season.
Metric that Matters
2,204:33
Keith posted 24 fewer points than he did in 2009-10, the season he won the Norris, and he had a negative plus/minus (minus-1) for the first time since his rookie season. He led NHL skaters in ice time last season -- with
2,204 minutes and 33 seconds -- and played the most minutes since
Jay Bouwmeester logged 2,213 minutes for Florida during the 2008-09 season. Critics will say Keith's increased workload was the reason he struggled, but during the past three seasons no one was better at keeping the puck in the offensive zone or shots in his team's favor. Keith's boxcar stats may have fallen, but he is as fundamentally sound as he has ever been and remains a preseason favorite for another Norris-caliber performance. --
Neil Greenberg