Mel Kiper's Post Combine Top 25

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NFL Draft 2013
Big shifts on the Big Board
Major shake-ups dot the top five, plus new names and some major drops
Originally Published: February 27, 2013
By Mel Kiper Jr. | ESPN Insider
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USA TODAY Sports. Getty Images
Sharrif Floyd, Dion Jordan and Ezekiel Ansah all have seen their stock jump this week.
I simply can't remember a draft class where a day after the NFL combine, there's so little separation in potential value from my No. 1 to No. 25 prospects on the Big Board. It's amazing. The lack of a surefire top quarterback plays a role. The fact that there are so many great defenders plays a role. That there are incredible athletes who lack production, and great on-field producers with questions about athleticism, play a role. There are lots of questions still to be answered. It's crazy. But here's where it stands, at least for me ... at least for today.

Below, notes on performance traits remain similar week to week so you have a sense of the player, with updates on players each week as things shift. Please also see my rankings of the top 5 draft prospects at every position. Juniors and draft-eligible sophomores are noted with an asterisk.


1Jarvis Jones *AGE: 23DOB: 10/13/89HT: 6-2WT: 245POS: OLB
Tkl 85Sack 14.5Int 1
Jones still must prove he belongs here with his pro day performance. He did not work out in Indianapolis. This reflects positional value and exceptional production for a player who is a very good, if not extraordinary, athlete. He combines explosiveness, discipline, relentless pass-rushing ability and great intangibles and effort. (He can also cover.) He profiles as a 3-4 outside linebacker but fits any system.

LAST WEEK: 1 | PLAYER CARD

2Sharrif Floyd *AGE: 20DOB: 5/28/92HT: 6-3WT: 297POS: DT
Tkl 41Sack 1.0Int 0
Stock is soaring. Showed exceptional power and athleticism in Indy, and he's still rounding into peak form short of his 21st birthday. Could be great in a 3-4 or a 4-3. Made major strides as the season progressed, the improvement in part stemming from a positional change and consistently improving technique. A star coming out of high school, Floyd has quickness for his size and an immensely powerful lower half, and he will drive linemen into the backfield.

LAST WEEK: 8 | PLAYER CARD

3Eric FisherAGE: 22DOB: 1/5/91HT: 6-8WT: 305POS: OT
GP 12GS 12
Continues to dispel doubts as the physical profile and strengths as an athlete match performance. Uses his length really well. Gets in a wide base, uses his arms to absorb pass-rushers and simply doesn't allow guys to get the edge on him. He often made it look easy in the MAC but also looked great when Central Michigan faced top competition; not a newcomer for scouts.

LAST WEEK: 7 | PLAYER CARD

4Dion JordanAGE: 22DOB: 3/5/90HT: 6-6WT: 246POS: OLB
Tkl 44Sack 5.0Int 0There had been questions about his ultimate position, but in Indy he showed why he should be considered a potentially dynamic 3-4 OLB. He showed elite speed for his size, and alleviated questions about whether he can cover, even as he profiles as a very good pass-rusher. He went to Oregon with the possibility of playing either offense (tight end) or defense but has emerged as an athletic, long-armed pass-rusher ready to make a difference.
LAST WEEK: 9 | PLAYER CARD

5Luke Joeckel *AGE: 21DOB: 11/6/91HT: 6-6WT: 306POS: OT
GP 13GS 13
Once a lock to be the first tackle taken, he now has serious competition. He's not overwhelming as an athlete, but the tape shows a player with the ability to just swallow up even really good pass-rushers, particularly those who try to beat him off the edge. (He's more susceptible to those who go inside.) Has a ton of experience, starting on the left since his freshman season. He can really drive people in the run game, even if he gets questions on whether he's a big finisher there.

LAST WEEK: 2 | PLAYER CARD


6Dee Milliner *AGE: 21DOB: 9/14/91HT: 6-0WT: 201POS: CB
Tkl 54Sack 1.5Int 2
He answered the speed question in Indy with a blazing 4.37 time in the 40. Even if his backpedal needs work, he can clearly turn and run with anybody. A smart player, he got better and better as the season progressed. The raw football skills are exceptional. His physical prowess is a step above that of other corners. He hits receivers and isn't shy in run support, but with that, he is fluid, and reads the game well.

LAST WEEK: 6 | PLAYER CARD

7Barkevious Mingo *AGE: 22DOB: 10/4/90HT: 6-4WT: 242POS: OLB
Tkl 33Sack 4.0Int 0
Put on a show in Indy, with exceptional speed scores and a range of performance that make him a better prospect as a 3-4 pass-rushing outside linebacker. But the freak factor is a huge reason he's here, because the production doesn't match up. His athletic gifts allow him to overcome some lacking "football skills" coaches want, but he still gets by. He has survived without taking on a lot of blocks, for instance. There's a little boom-or-bust feel with Mingo, but who wouldn't want to see what he can become?

LAST WEEK: 12 | PLAYER CARD

8Star LotuleleiAGE: 23DOB: 12/20/89HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: DT
Tkl 42Sack 5.0Int 0
He wasn't allowed to work out due to a heart condition we need to learn more about. I won't drop him too far, however, because we need answers. If you go by the tape, you see a player who can't be blocked one-on-one, period. He absorbs so much blocking help and frees up others, but he's not just a clogger, because he can show off a great burst and the ability to destroy plays. Has a great sense for disrupting the run game. Quick off the ball with great upper- and lower-body strength.

LAST WEEK: 4 | PLAYER CARD

9Chance WarmackAGE: 21DOB: 9/14/91HT: 6-2WT: 314POS: OG
GP 14GS 14
He's not going to wow anybody with athleticism, but teams know what they are getting, and that's a very good guard who'd be a little higher if not for the positional value question. As a run-blocker, he simply takes defenders where he wants them to go, utilizing great power and quickness at his size. Warmack also moves well, with initial power in tight spaces and the ability to read stunts, sometimes with ease.

LAST WEEK: 9 | PLAYER CARD

10Jonathan CooperAGE: 23DOB: 1/9/90HT: 6-2WT: 311POS: G
GP 12GS 12
Nimble yet powerful, a potential star at left guard. Cooper has started since his redshirt freshman season, doesn't miss blocks, hits moving targets and has a great punch. He is powerful and quick for his size and dictates matchups. Moves extremely well, with a good bounce from his stance, and he moves well in tight spaces, allowing him to beat defenders to spots, move them to a side and get downfield.

LAST WEEK: 10 | PLAYER CARD

11Bjoern Werner *AGE: 22DOB: 9/30/90HT: 6-3WT: 266POS: DE
Tkl 42Sack 13.0Int 0
Didn't test particularly well in Indy; he was a little stiff overall. That said, Werner still has tremendous upside to go along with a season of consistent production. Has great awareness. A pretty good pass-rusher, he also defends the pass by swatting passes, but sometimes when he's been negated. He shows very good balance, but can he dip his hips enough to turn the corner on better blockers? He produced, but you still need to be sold on growth potential.

LAST WEEK: 5 | PLAYER CARD

12Ezekiel AnsahAGE: 23DOB: 5/29/89HT: 6-5WT: 271POS: DE
Tkl 62Sack 4.5Int 1 His eventual position is a question; his raw athleticism is not. A player with a track background and major athletic gifts, his draft value could be defined by whether teams think he can help immediately. This is a track star in a 271-pound frame, a guy who blazed the 40 and shows decent power. A lot of value is in his burst, the ability to jolt a defender with that initial punch. The question is whether he can add a repertoire.
LAST WEEK: 19 | PLAYER CARD

13Sylvester WilliamsAGE: 24DOB: 11/21/88HT: 6-3WT: 313POS: DT
Tkl 42Sack 6.0Int 0
He looks squat, but he's really quick off the ball. Williams has a knack for jumping the snap; his burst can be disruptive. The TFLs pile up because of it. He has a lot of natural gifts; quick for his size, good feet, a strong punch to get defenders off-balance and great energy. He's a leverage guy with quickness but will occasionally chase down plays. Tackles like he's angry.

LAST WEEK: 20 | PLAYER CARD

14Kenny VaccaroAGE: 22DOB: 2/15/91HT: 6-0WT: 214POS: S
Tkl 96Sack 0Int 2
Tested at Indy like the player I thought he was, so no change. His versatility is key. Adept in coverage, he's also strong as an extra defender against the run because he has the size and willingness to attack the line of scrimmage. Still, you can match him up in coverage inside or out wide and he'll hold his own. Makes good reads and big plays.

LAST WEEK: 13 | PLAYER CARD

15Lane JohnsonAGE: 22DOB: 5/8/90HT: 6-6WT: 303POS: OT
GP 13GS 11
It's hard not to get excited about his ceiling. Here's a tackle who was playing quarterback in junior college, so he's still learning the tricks. Has the long arms you look for, can absorb rushers, and gets a decent push in the run game but then can get out and use his athleticism downfield and on the edges. Technically solid with his feet, given a relative lack of experience on the O-line. Plays relaxed.

LAST WEEK: 17 | PLAYER CARD

16Tavon AustinAGE: 21DOB: 3/15/91HT: 5-8WT: 174POS: WR
Rec 114Yds 1,289Avg 11.3TD 12
Crushed the combine by showing off the elite burst and straight-line speed teams want out of a high-impact slot receiver. Austin's value was a question because at his size, he's limited at X or Z. But his excellent vision, space-creating skills and ability to shift gears and vary speeds to stay uncovered are the best in this draft class. He is, simply, a touchdown-maker.

LAST WEEK: NR | PLAYER CARD

17Cordarrelle Patterson *AGE: 21DOB: 3/17/91HT: 6-2WT: 216POS: WR
Rec 46Yds 778Avg 16.9TD 5
He came in a little shorter than previously listed, but at the combine Patterson also showed good explosive speed and leaping ability. There's a lot of projection here, because he really needs to clean up his route-running, but if teams are looking for a potential matchup nightmare, Patterson has the kinds of tools you look for. He'll fight for the ball and create big plays after the catch, and he has good physical size to take hits.

LAST WEEK: 21 | PLAYER CARD

18Tyler Eifert *AGE: 22DOB: 9/8/90HT: 6-5WT: 250POS: TE
Rec 50Yds 685Avg 13.7TD 4
He's not extraordinary in any one area, but he's very good in all of them. And he moves up because he's going to be the top tight end available in a league obsessed with them. Has pass-catching skills of a natural receiver and can be split out; will go up and high-point passes. He'll get off the line effectively, and battles pretty well as a blocker.

LAST WEEK: 22 | PLAYER CARD

19Sheldon Richardson *AGE: 24DOB: 1/1/89HT: 6-2WT: 294POS: DT
Tkl 75Sack 4.0Int 0
Great feet, initial quickness; he can beat linemen to the backfield. He also gets down the line and pursues, which is why he nearly led Mizzou in tackles as an interior lineman (that would've been pretty remarkable). Love his effort level and potential to fit in any scheme. My guess is he'll end up as a 3-technique, and plenty of teams need them.

LAST WEEK: 15 | PLAYER CARD

20D.J. Fluker *AGE: 21DOB: 3/13/91HT: 6-5WT: 339POS: OT
GP 13GS 13
Massive player with incredibly long arms, he's going to be best staying at right tackle, period. A dominant run-blocker, his arms act like hydraulics and he just dominates the edge, allowing running lanes to form. Has to stay on the right side, though, because he's too susceptible to good pass-rushers. Decent bend for his size.

LAST WEEK: 16 | PLAYER CARD

21Manti Te'oAGE: 22DOB: 1/26/91HT: 6-1WT: 241POS: LB
Tkl 113Sack 1.5Int 7
Speed was a question going into the combine; now it's been downgraded to a flaw. On tape, he's a known commodity with exceptional football instincts and a ton of experience. He attacks the backfield and was able to get to the edges. But right now, you have a player who's lighter than initially listed and slower than we'd hoped. He remains here based on tape with the shot his pro day can help, and because others at his position have fallen off as well.

LAST WEEK: 14 | PLAYER CARD

22Alec Ogletree *AGE: 21DOB: 9/25/91HT: 6-2WT: 242POS: LB
Tkl 111Sack 3.0Int 1 Was less explosive than I expected in Indy, but he also came in a little more bulked up. Love his on-field instincts, but he has faced major questions about off-field ones. That said, he was awesome in some games and against great competition, flying to the ball, beating blocks and laying huge hits. A onetime safety, he has the ability to cover. Led Georgia in tackles by 13 even though he missed four games. At his best, just flies to the ball.
LAST WEEK: 18 | PLAYER CARD

23Desmond TrufantAGE: 22DOB: 9/10/90HT: 6-0WT: 190POS: CB
Tkl 36Sack 1.0Int 1
Can't question the pedigree -- he'll be the third Trufant brother to play in the NFL. He was stellar at the Senior Bowl, and shined in Indy, where he ran a 4.38 40. He gets great marks for his ability to work outside or in; on the edge he can turn and run with anybody, and will read plays and beat receivers to the spot. Stock is in good shape.

LAST WEEK: NR | PLAYER CARD

24Datone JonesAGE: 22DOB: 7/24/90HT: 6-4WT: 283POS: DT
Tkl 62Sack 6.5Int 0
A versatile defender who gets a great burst off the snap and can clear blockers quickly, a reason he piled up 19.0 TFL. He has really good feet, allowing him to not look like a big DT who can't wrap up shifty runners. Pretty quick, he'll chase plays down. Just needs to show more strength in his lower half to hold up as bigger linemen lean on him all game.

LAST WEEK: NR | PLAYER CARD

25Matt Elam*AGE: 21DOB: 9/21/91HT: 5-10WT: 208POS: S
Tkl 76Sack 2.0Int 4 Not a big safety, but plays without fear and creates havoc at the line of scrimmage. Good speed, can cover the slot and make plays and big hits in the secondary. A useful blitzer. Really flies to the ball, but needs to stay engaged in the action all the time. A good shot to go in Round 1.
LAST WEEK: 25 | PLAYER CARD

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Woods

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He sells Austin well.

Still OL or TE for me.
 

Josh2J

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mmmm the Tavon Austin momentum is building...

We almost cant go wrong with this 1st round pick, OG, RT, TE, WR... at least 3 of these 4 positions should have top propsects avaiable assuming the Bears dont move down in round 1.

After free agency Bears should really be able to hone in on thier targets.
 

Decatur Staley

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Notable snubs for top 25 billing:

Damontre Moore, DE
Xavier Rhodes, CB
Keenan Allen, WR
Geno Smith, QB
Kawann Short, DT
Kevin Minter, ILB
Eddie Lacy, RB
 

Stalin828

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Fluker reminds me of Carimi. Don't need another RT that is a liability in pass protection. Carimi has that position locked down.

I hope Cooper falls down to us. Hopefully some QBs raise some eyebrows before the draft and some of the top end talent is forced down by a run on shitty QBs. I think Cooper and Johnson would be great. Realistically I see us getting Eifert or Ogletree and I would be happy with either of those picks. Trufant is probably the no-brainer of this draft with the highest likelihood of being a starter. He has the physical tools to excel. He has a family that has been there before so the fame and money won't take him over. Plus he has had elite mentoring as a DB. You are talking about a DB that has two brothers that are also DBs in the NFL, one of them a pretty great starter. CB isn't a position of need for us, but this seems like a homerun pick for some other GM that wants a CB late in the first.
 

Bearly

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Sounds good but if they like Brown as a G or think Carimi will transistion, G may be out in one. No way for us to know how they feel about what they have to work with.
 

Bear Pride

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Notable snubs for top 25 billing:

Damontre Moore, DE
Xavier Rhodes, CB
Keenan Allen, WR
Geno Smith, QB
Kawann Short, DT
Kevin Minter, ILB
Eddie Lacy, RB
I'd definately take Xavier Rhodes off this list. This guy's gonna be a stud, imo.
 

Gravis

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Fluker reminds me of Carimi. Don't need another RT that is a liability in pass protection. Carimi has that position locked down.

I hope Cooper falls down to us. Hopefully some QBs raise some eyebrows before the draft and some of the top end talent is forced down by a run on shitty QBs. I think Cooper and Johnson would be great. Realistically I see us getting Eifert or Ogletree and I would be happy with either of those picks. Trufant is probably the no-brainer of this draft with the highest likelihood of being a starter. He has the physical tools to excel. He has a family that has been there before so the fame and money won't take him over. Plus he has had elite mentoring as a DB. You are talking about a DB that has two brothers that are also DBs in the NFL, one of them a pretty great starter. CB isn't a position of need for us, but this seems like a homerun pick for some other GM that wants a CB late in the first.

Amen. Cooper simply looks solid and should at the very least be adequate for any team. That's probably why he'll be gone before 20 though :(. Overall, I believe they should be able to get a decent to great OG. And, you know, I think this is the first time I've been legitimately excited for a draft.
 

Sculpt

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Depending on what we do in FA, I'd be happy with BPA: Warmack, Cooper, Olgletree, Tyler Eifert, Cordarrelle Patterson, Tavon Austin.
 

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