If you’re a scout, would you put your reputation on the line vouching for a guy with 33 inch arms and a 77 inch wingspan when the facts are
1. There are zero current OTs in the NFL with those measurements
2. There has never been a pro bowl LT with those measurements
Beyond that, I think his on field play has been really overrated. Think it’s more good than great, but those measurements are just a killer. He should fall, but teams do dumb shit all the time.
Yea, I get the debate cause he's a guy I was hoping to have until all these reports of him having short arms... then we got actual measurements.
Would I do it? I guess it just depends on how confident I felt in my scouting. I'm not a scout, so I personally have no confidence. But, I think it's easier to pass a player so long as you have a better one to give. Say I know Mason and Membou are slam dunks and I'm correct, then the likelihood of being "wrong" would be small. This is easy at the top of the board. I think the Patriots can easily pass on Campbell if they're unsure, as an example.
But as we get to the 10th pick, I have to be absolutely sure whoever I say is the better choice at 10 will be the better player. At 10, it's probably a lot harder to make that guarantee. Ultimately, it usually doesn't matter as long as you draft a really good player. I totally get what you're saying though and the historical basis behind it. If he slides, I'll know that's why and won't blame teams for shying away. If he's a stud, I guess it'll just be a new data point for the future to tip the scales the other way. Really, the bottom line is you can't pick a guy that will be a bust... and that's even worse if you pick a bust and Campbell ends up good.