Realistic Passing yardage expectations this year

[mac bear]

In a thread about Dez Bryant and the NFL Network/Espn uber love towards him and his 'favorited' ilk, I started thinking about our realistic prospects this year, IF all stay healthy.

Pretending that healthy is even a possibility, with probable minor injuries notwithstanding... I think these numbers are fair...

Marshall 1400 yards

Jeffery 1300 yards

Both simple and slight upgrades/downgrades (respectively) from last year... I honestly think that both or either could / should surpass those numbers if Cutler stays relatively healthy and the system continues to function.

Now, Forte... let's give him a fair 400 receiving (1100 rushing works -- rounding to 1500 solid year...earning him, of course, 94th on the top 100 and more Schwartzanegger 'ridiculous' impersonations.

Bennett... if he is to be the monster he should continue to be, let's slap 700 in there... that's a slight drop from last year, but...

Well, this is my point...

There's a lot of talk about Wilson... and so, our expectations for a solid third receiver on the rise... what 600?

The other three (?) that we keep, conservatively, 150 yards each? 450...

Umm... Other RBs, Fullbacks (God, bring back Suhey) and TEs... what 200? Seems fair.

Let's get the calculator out. Um... this 'conservative' estimate puts us over 5000 yards passing (thx) offence. And it is conservative.

My question to you all is... will we be satisfied with that? Or Less or more, or how do we handle these expectations and how realistic they are or are not given our strength of schedule.

This, above, frankly, fills me with excitement and trepidation at the exact same times.

What is possible this year?

 

[da_bears6]

Did you forget the green?

 

[mac bear]

Did you forget the green?

What do you mean? Er... yes?

 

[dabearsjjk]

I think Jeffrey numbers go way down. Probably 900-1100

 

[Bearfanfromnewjersey]

Did you forget the green?

What are you talking about? Soylent green?

 

[Mongo_76]

Let's get the calculator out. Um... this 'conservative' estimate puts us over 5000 yards offence. And it is conservative.

My question to you all is... will we be satisfied with that? Or Less or more, or how do we handle these expectations and how realistic they are or are not given our strength of schedule.

I'm trying to understand why 5000 yards would make anyone on here happy... 5000 yards would be the 29th ranked team (based on last year) and about 1300 yards less than the team put up in 2013.

 

[Penny Traitor]

It is no coincidence that we had two thousand yard receivers the same season we had a historically bad defense.

Trestman still seams like a pass first guy, but would relish being able to play more ball control offense late in the games because our defense won't let the opposing offense anywhere near our 17 point lead.

Let's say we get up to about 18th overall on D.

Marshall = 1220
Jeffrey = 950
Wilson = 430
Bennett = 640
Forte/Rookie = 700

That's about 3950 passing yards for the season.

 

[PolarBear]

I think Cutler will be good for 4300-4500 yards, 28-30TD's and 12-14 INT's.

1300 yards for Marshall
1100 for Alshon
700 for Forte/Carey/Ford
700 for Bennett
500 for Wilson

The odd TE and #4 WR will get a catch to get it to around 4500.

The best thing about this offense will be the decrease in Cutler's turnovers I think. 12-14 interceptions in a full season from him is an improvement.

 

[Dr. Manhattan]

I'd say Cutler throws for 3,000 yards maybe 18 touchdowns and 10 picks.

You know he's going to miss some games. Always does.

 

[Mongo_76]

I'd say Cutler throws for 3,000 yards maybe 18 touchdowns and 10 picks.

You know he's going to miss some games. Always does.

Interestingly, 3000 yards would be slightly above his career average with the Bears (2982) and 18 TD's would be spot on.

10 INT's would be a drastic improvement over his average numbers with the Bears.

 

[Penny Traitor]

I'm trying to understand why 5000 yards would make anyone on here happy... 5000 yards would be the 29th ranked team (based on last year) and about 1300 yards less than the team put up in 2013.

I believe you mean 5000 yards total offense...OP is talking just about passing yardage.

I'd say Cutler throws for 3,000 yards maybe 18 touchdowns and 10 picks.

You know he's going to miss some games. Always does.

....once again...total passing yardage...not quarterback estimates....

 

[Raskolnikov]

If Cutler doesn't end the year with the most yards in a single season for the Bears then the season was a failure, or he was hurt, likely both.

 

[Mongo_76]

I believe you mean 5000 yards total offense...OP is talking just about passing yardage.

Well that makes more sense...

In fairness, he did say 5000 yards of offence (sic), not passing offense.

 

[BearsFan51]

I think Cutler will be good for 4300-4500 yards, 28-30TD's and 12-14 INT's.

1300 yards for Marshall
1100 for Alshon
700 for Forte/Carey/Ford
700 for Bennett
500 for Wilson

The odd TE and #4 WR will get a catch to get it to around 4500.

The best thing about this offense will be the decrease in Cutler's turnovers I think. 12-14 interceptions in a full season from him is an improvement.

Cutler,if he starts every single game will throw for around 3,600 to 3,800 yards and 28 TDs. Rarely has Cutler thrown for multiple TDs in multiple games so I'll use as my starting base line. Add to it that most of Jeffery's yards came after Josh McCown realized he was a weapon and Cutler was still lock on Larry with Marshall. Cutler won't be changing of his habits this year. He won't play with a new found high level of consistency he'll still target Marshall far more than he should and he'll still make stupid,throws and turn the ball over.

Cutler will once again fail to meet the expectations that coincide with his immense talent. He should be far and a way the best QB in the NFL right now but instead he'll be as high as the eighth most productive QB in the league or below that.

 

[SERE Bear]

Cutler,if he starts every single game will throw for around 3,600 to 3,800 yards and 28 TDs. Rarely has Cutler thrown for multiple TDs in multiple games so I'll use as my starting base line. Add to it that most of Jeffery's yards came after Josh McCown realized he was a weapon and Cutler was still lock on Larry with Marshall. Cutler won't be changing of his habits this year. He won't play with a new found high level of consistency he'll still target Marshall far more than he should and he'll still make stupid,throws and turn the ball over.

Cutler will once again fail to meet the expectations that coincide with his immense talent. He should be far and a way the best QB in the NFL right now but instead he'll be as high as the eighth most productive QB in the league or below that.

 

[Sagbear]

Cutler,if he starts every single game will throw for around 3,600 to 3,800 yards and 28 TDs. Rarely has Cutler thrown for multiple TDs in multiple games so I'll use as my starting base line. Add to it that most of Jeffery's yards came after Josh McCown realized he was a weapon and Cutler was still lock on Larry with Marshall. Cutler won't be changing of his habits this year. He won't play with a new found high level of consistency he'll still target Marshall far more than he should and he'll still make stupid,throws and turn the ball over.

Cutler will once again fail to meet the expectations that coincide with his immense talent. He should be far and a way the best QB in the NFL right now but instead he'll be as high as the eighth most productive QB in the league or below that.

IF Cutler is truly healthy for 16 games he goes over 4000 yards and 28-34 tds but most likely 13-16 Int

 

[Sagbear]

A dark horse contributor this season will be Chris Williams. Get him a few snaps on offense run a few fly routes to clear up more space for everyone else. Also with our WR's and TE's being such good down field blockers get him with some bubble screens and quick plays to get him in space.

 

[Impress3]

Forte will get 1500yds Rushing this year

Cutler should be around the 3900 to 4000 mark if he can ever play 16 games.

 

[Raskolnikov]

I'm going to win this prediction.

I say he hits 5,000 because we can, and because Forte will miss some games, and because our defense can get the ball back this year.

thank you, Cassandra.

 

[Whiskey85]

Fuck numbers just beat the packers with a healthy rodgers and we should be fine.