coldfish
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** This thread discusses the content article: The Summer of 2009 **
I think Amare is definitely going to be available. I think Bosh has a 50/50 shot of being available. I agree that Wade definitely signs an extension. I'm not sure about LeBron, he's the one guy who could test FA and has no chance at all of losing value.
Wade, Bosh, and Amare all have some injury questions around them, and all of them are older as well, so there's a small chance that any of them could lose value with teh wrong type of injury. Particularly Wade and Amare who both have significant negative injury markers already.
Though Gilbert Arenas showed last year that no matter what your condition is, you'll probably still get maxed if you're a star, but if he waited a year and was in this economy no way that pans out.
I think economic pressure will convince a lot of guys to sign now. Especially since the cap is likely to recede again next year, so the max this summer will probably be greater than the max next summer.
The think the recent Shaq/Dallas rumors may come into play in assessing Amare's availability this summer. I agree that the players have their eyes on the numbers right now given the economy (just like the rest of us) and its more likely than ever that players will sign extensions that will provide safety and security rather than roll the dice on the FA market.
Awesome article. I agree with about the non trades that will be made. I think the stars will sign with their respective teams. In your scenerio with an Amare trade, you're giving up too much talent for a guy who's injury prone and plays no defense. Tyrus is still a young guy who's getting more consistant and i'd hate to see the bulls give up on him for a max contract in amare who you have no idea can make it through an entire season.
I am hoping we end up packaging Deng along with one of Thomas/Noah for Bosh. Sign BG to a long term deal. I am alright with a rotation of Rose/BG/Hinrich. You have two explosive offensive players at the guard position and another coming off the bench that can D up with the best of them.
We will still need a capable backup at the SF position though. I guess Tim Thomas will still be under contract, unless he gets moved to make salaries work in a trade scenario.
With all of that said, if all that happens this off season is a few salary dumps and a BG signing I will be happy.
gold4you wrote:
Awesome article. I agree with about the non trades that will be made. I think the stars will sign with their respective teams. In your scenerio with an Amare trade, you're giving up too much talent for a guy who's injury prone and plays no defense. Tyrus is still a young guy who's getting more consistant and i'd hate to see the bulls give up on him for a max contract in amare who you have no idea can make it through an entire season.
i agree kinda... i dont want to devote myself to thomas just yet...but eh...i'm not committed to amare.
i'm not sure if amare can play in a system other than the run and gun system. if we get amare, do we want to devote ourselves to this sort of offense? also amare has been rumoured to be difficult, do we really want that? further more his contract would be a beast...do we want to pay that for a guy who has had micro fracture surgery( Deng and amare on the same team... yee haw... )? lastly, would we really want to pay for a big who almost refuses to play defense...
with that said, IFF the bulls were a defensive orientated team that could allow for a player who doesn't play defense, i'd trade for amare in a heartbeat.
It would be a one year dip into the lux tax if Jerry decided to take on money this year. He has at least $24M in expiring deals as of this minute.
Basically, if Jerry decided to throw the farm at Bosh and re-sign Gordon, it would cost him about $10M one time in extra salary and tax to get Rose / Gordon / ???? / Bosh / Noah