Will the Cubs score more runs than last year?

[dabynsky]

Okay so Waldo mentioned in the Nats thread that he thought the Cubs offense would exceed expectations. I wasn't sure what he meant by that exactly, and that thread got closed because the series was over before I could really follow up. So I thought I would start a new thread with a simple question. Will the Cubs score more runs than they did last season?

That number is 654. To put that number in context that is the lowest number the Cubs have scored in a non strike year since 1992. The Cubs lineup though is missing two of its biggest power hitters from last season. So will the Cubs score more or less than last year?

 

[Uman85]

Hmm. I'm going to say a little less. Around 610.

 

[Rice Cube]

Sorry about that, hehe. I thought we were supposed to close game threads after the series was over.

If you assume that the Cubs can score 3.5 runs a game, over 162 games (assuming also that all rainouts are made up) that would be 567 runs. I think if they minimize the number of stupid outs on the bases, they could definitely score more than 600. I pulled the 3.5/game out of my ass though. But last year's team scored more than 4 per, and I think this year's team might be able to keep pace.

 

[dabynsky]

Sorry about that, hehe. I thought we were supposed to close game threads after the series was over.

If you assume that the Cubs can score 3.5 runs a game, over 162 games (assuming also that all rainouts are made up) that would be 567 runs. I think if they minimize the number of stupid outs on the bases, they could definitely score more than 600. I pulled the 3.5/game out of my ass though. But last year's team scored more than 4 per, and I think this year's team might be able to keep pace.

No that is the probably the best. I thought it would be a fun topic of discussion.

 

[X]

I'm gonna push, and say they'll score exactly 654 runs again this season.

 

[DewsSox79]

Im going to say under with no substance to back up my claim.

 

[X]

Im going to say under with no substance to back up my claim.

that's fine.

 

[CODE_BLUE56]

under because of the absence of power hitters

i dont see the cubs going over 700 as a max

 

[nwfisch]

69 runs.

 

[Rice Cube]

under because of the absence of power hitters

i dont see the cubs going over 700 as a max

700 is definitely a stretch. I think 600+ is a safe bet though.

 

[Shawon0Meter]

648

 

[waldo7239117]

I'm going with over. With their agressive baserunning, I think that will help a lot. A lack of power hitters will, but I can still see it.

Especially when Jackson and Rizzo get the call. Also of Soto struggles, Castillo could help too. All 3 hitters are already playing in in Iowa.

 

[poodski]

I'm going with over. With their agressive baserunning, I think that will help a lot. A lack of power hitters will, but I can still see it.

Especially when Jackson and Rizzo get the call. Also of Soto struggles, Castillo could help too. All 3 hitters are already playing in in Iowa.

I like the optimism, but baserunning doesnt add that much to your team unless you have someone like Michael Bourn or Juan Pierre on your team.

Baserunning gets the team at most 2 wins this year or maybe 15 more runs.

We've regressed at 3B and 1B for sure from last year. 2B and C are probably stagnant from last year. SS should still improve. RF is probably stagnant as well, and LF and CF should decline more with age.

I don't really see anyway this team scores more runs other than Castro becoming Rickey Henderson or LaHair becoming Michael Morse or even Soriano thinking its 2007 again. Or if Soto thinks hes a rookie again. A lot of things have to go right in order for the Cubs to score more than last year.

 

[brett05]

The loss of power guys just adds to the loss of protection in the lineup. I'm going to say under, maybe 540.

 

[Rice Cube]

Worst offense last year was Seattle with 556 total runs scored:
2011 Major League Baseball Season Summary - Baseball-Reference.com

It'd take some mad skillz for this year's Cubs team to be 2011 Mariners bad :lol: Possible, but I think they can still crack 600 runs. Even Houston cracked 600 runs last season and they were atrocious.

 

[NCChiFan]

650 runs. :elephant: :elephant: :elephant:

 

[Sunbiz1]

Sorry about that, hehe. I thought we were supposed to close game threads after the series was over.

If you assume that the Cubs can score 3.5 runs a game, over 162 games (assuming also that all rainouts are made up) that would be 567 runs. I think if they minimize the number of stupid outs on the bases, they could definitely score more than 600. I pulled the 3.5/game out of my ass though. But last year's team scored more than 4 per, and I think this year's team might be able to keep pace.

And once again, bats are as cold as the weather...When was the last time they finished April w/a winning record?.

2008??.

 

[dabynsky]

And once again, bats are as cold as the weather...When was the last time they finished April w/a winning record?.

2008??.

2008 was the last yearthey finished april with a winning record though they haven't finished more than 2 under since then.

 

[JosMin]

We've looked horrifically inept so far when it comes to scoring runs. No patience at the plate. No ability to go deep. It's sad that we've wasted a few good starts.

I think we'll score 615 runs this year.

Spoiler

But go 150-12

 

[dabynsky]

We've looked horrifically inept so far when it comes to scoring runs. No patience at the plate. No ability to go deep. It's sad that we've wasted a few good starts.

I think we'll score 615 runs this year.

Spoiler

But go 150-12

You apparently need to post this before every Cubs game...