2011 MLB Projections

[Jntg4]

Please don't be homers, unless you admit it.

 

[Jntg4]

AL East: Boston
AL Central: Chicago
AL West: Texas
AL Wild Card: New York
NL East: Philadelphia
NL Central: Milwaukee
NL West: Colorado
NL Wild Card: Atlanta
AL Surprise Team: Baltimore
NL Surprise Team: Chicago
AL Champions: Boston
NL Champions: Philadelphia
World Champions: Boston
CL: Chunichi
PL: Chiba Lotte
Japan Series Champions: Chunichi

 

[The Bandit]

AL East- Sox
NL East- Phils
AL Central- Twins
NL Central- Cincinnati
AL West- Angels
NL West- Colorado
AL Wild Card- Yanks
NL Wild Card- Atlanta
Nl Pennant- Phils
AL Pennant- Sox
WS- Phils

 

[nickofypres]

Ale: Bos, tb, nyy, tor, bal
alc: Min, sox (wc), det, cle, kc
alw: Oak, tex, laa, sea
nle: Phi, atl, fla, nym, wsh
nlc: Mil, cin (wc), chc, stl, hou, pit
nlw: Col, sf, lad, sd, arz


alds: Sox @ oak / min @ bos
nlds: Cin @ phi / col @ mil

alcs: Oak @ bos
nlcs: Mil @ phi

ws: Oak-phi (oak wins)

 

[bobferg]

Really Jntg? Japanese league?

 

[Jntg4]

Really Jntg? Japanese league?

I included it because of the Global Series proposal that is supposed to be finalized by the time Selig retires in 2012.

And yes, I care about Nippon Professional Baseball.

What are your predictions?

 

[wadedog21]

I hope there is someone who can knock off the Phillies with that loaded pitching staff. They kind of remind me of the current NBA Heat.

 

[nickofypres]

Global Series sounds stupid.

 

[Jntg4]

Global Series sounds stupid.

They've (Selig and Kato) talked at least 4 times over the past year and into this year about it. It appears that it will happen from what I've heard.

 

[waldo7239117]

I hope there is someone who can knock off the Phillies with that loaded pitching staff. They kind of remind me of the current NBA Heat.

I think teams will. I also expect an injury to occur to one of them.

Halladay was good for for all season long last year. But did have bad games.
Oswalt was not too great last with the Astros and pitch poorly for the Phills in games.
Cliff Lee was not too great for the Rangers after being traded. I mean they thought he would pitch better than he did.
Cole Hamels has been dealing with injuries.

They do have one hell of a rotation but I see them being match and their pitching staff not as good as we may think. Also, I think the Werth lost will hurt.

 

[wadedog21]

I think teams will. I also expect an injury to occur to one of them.

Halladay was good for for all season long last year. But did have bad games.
Oswalt was not too great last with the Astros and pitch poorly for the Phills in games.
Cliff Lee was not too great for the Rangers after being traded. I mean they thought he would pitch better than he did.
Cole Hamels has been dealing with injuries.

They do have one hell of a rotation but I see them being match and their pitching staff not as good as we may think. Also, I think the Werth lost will hurt.

I agree on the Werth deal.....they may have loaded up on pitching but their offense took hit.

 

[X]

I think teams will. I also expect an injury to occur to one of them.

Halladay was good for for all season long last year. But did have bad games.
Oswalt was not too great last with the Astros and pitch poorly for the Phills in games.
Cliff Lee was not too great for the Rangers after being traded. I mean they thought he would pitch better than he did.
Cole Hamels has been dealing with injuries.

They do have one hell of a rotation but I see them being match and their pitching staff not as good as we may think. Also, I think the Werth lost will hurt.

I think you're trying to rationalize something that isn't there. You've got 5 pitchers in that rotation that all have #1 stuff (Blanton maybe not anymore, but he has been an opening day starter in the past). That means, EVERY pitcher they face is going up against an ace, essentially. Think about it in the past...teams come into certain cities and say, "Damn, I wanted to miss Johan/CC/Halladay/Lester..." etc. Now, the Mets are going to go to Philly in June and say, "Okay, we get the bottom part of the Phillies rotation...Oswalt, Hamels, and Blanton. Against the bottom part of our rotation...Niese, Dickey, and Gee."

Point being, having Halladay and Lee means the odds of the other 3 pitchers have better years increase...due to the fact that they'll be pitching against pitchers with lesser talent than they usually do. It doesn't necessarily effect ERA, but their Wins (and confidence) should be up...and when everyone in your pitching staff has a sub-4 era, that's scary.

I agree on the Werth deal.....they may have loaded up on pitching but their offense took hit.

They weren't going to get Lee and keep Werth. Werth was asking for a lot, and got WAY more than he's...well...worth...But having a healthy Utley for the entire season is going to help quite a bit. And with the pitching staff, The Phillies are going to need to average what....4-5 runs a game to win 90?

I know they're going to have some injuries, just like everyone else...but unless 2 of their pitchers go down and another has the worst year of his career...the Phillies are without a doubt the toughest team to beat in the NL, possibly in the league.

Spoiler

and for what it's worth, I freakin' hate Philadelphia.

 

[Jntg4]

I think you're trying to rationalize something that isn't there. You've got 5 pitchers in that rotation that all have #1 stuff (Blanton maybe not anymore, but he has been an opening day starter in the past). That means, EVERY pitcher they face is going up against an ace, essentially. Think about it in the past...teams come into certain cities and say, "Damn, I wanted to miss Johan/CC/Halladay/Lester..." etc. Now, the Mets are going to go to Philly in June and say, "Okay, we get the bottom part of the Phillies rotation...Oswalt, Hamels, and Blanton. Against the bottom part of our rotation...Niese, Dickey, and Gee."

Point being, having Halladay and Lee means the odds of the other 3 pitchers have better years increase...due to the fact that they'll be pitching against pitchers with lesser talent than they usually do. It doesn't necessarily effect ERA, but their Wins (and confidence) should be up...and when everyone in your pitching staff has a sub-4 era, that's scary.


They weren't going to get Lee and keep Werth. Werth was asking for a lot, and got WAY more than he's...well...worth...But having a healthy Utley for the entire season is going to help quite a bit. And with the pitching staff, The Phillies are going to need to average what....4-5 runs a game to win 90?

I know they're going to have some injuries, just like everyone else...but unless 2 of their pitchers go down and another has the worst year of his career...the Phillies are without a doubt the toughest team to beat in the NL, possibly in the league.

Spoiler

and for what it's worth, I freakin' hate Philadelphia.

I agree with the spoiler.

I don't see anyone catching Philly unless they mimic the 2009 Cubs or 2009 Reds and have everybody injured.

 

[X]

AL East: Boston
AL Central: Chicago
AL West: Texas (I got the Angels)
AL Wild Card: New York
NL East: Philadelphia
NL Central: Milwaukee
NL West: Colorado
NL Wild Card: Atlanta
AL Surprise Team: Baltimore
NL Surprise Team: Chicago (I got St. Louis)
AL Champions: Boston
NL Champions: Philadelphia
World Champions: Boston

Except for the two bolded parts, I completely agree...which probably means we're completely wrong.
I don't think Texas has got what it takes to repeat...could be wrong though...
I think St. Louis is considered 3rd in Central right now, which is just silly. They've got the best player and (arguably) the best pitching staff...they'll battle all year.

 

[Jntg4]

Except for the two bolded parts, I completely agree...which probably means we're completely wrong.
I don't think Texas has got what it takes to repeat...could be wrong though...
I think St. Louis is considered 3rd in Central right now, which is just silly. They've got the best player and (arguably) the best pitching staff...they'll battle all year.

Really, it seems that most experts I've read stuff from have:
1. Milwaukee
1. Cincinnati
1. St. Louis
4. Chicago
5-6. Don't Matter

They seem to have a tight 3-way race with the Cubs in contention too.

So, with all that tightness, we really could see an 83 win team in the playoffs again like 2006 because they are dragging each other down so much when playing each other. I may be exaggerating, I may not.

The Cubs need to beat Houston and Pittsburgh.

Take out Houston from our record and we were:
68-76

Take out Pittsburgh from that and we were:
63-66

Put that rate into a 162 game season and we were:
Math:

Spoiler

63/129=x/162
129x=10206
x=79
y=162-79
y=83
record=(x,y)

79-83.

That's not bad.

So... if we can reverse this against them, and simply play as well against them as we did against everyone else (also need to play better against Cincy though), and if Garza, Pena, and Wood bring ANY improvement, we should be above .500.

That is within shouting distance.

MAY be able to sneak in, or at least make it a 4-way race.

 

[waldo7239117]

I think you're trying to rationalize something that isn't there. You've got 5 pitchers in that rotation that all have #1 stuff (Blanton maybe not anymore, but he has been an opening day starter in the past). That means, EVERY pitcher they face is going up against an ace, essentially. Think about it in the past...teams come into certain cities and say, "Damn, I wanted to miss Johan/CC/Halladay/Lester..." etc. Now, the Mets are going to go to Philly in June and say, "Okay, we get the bottom part of the Phillies rotation...Oswalt, Hamels, and Blanton. Against the bottom part of our rotation...Niese, Dickey, and Gee."

Point being, having Halladay and Lee means the odds of the other 3 pitchers have better years increase...due to the fact that they'll be pitching against pitchers with lesser talent than they usually do. It doesn't necessarily effect ERA, but their Wins (and confidence) should be up...and when everyone in your pitching staff has a sub-4 era, that's scary.


They weren't going to get Lee and keep Werth. Werth was asking for a lot, and got WAY more than he's...well...worth...But having a healthy Utley for the entire season is going to help quite a bit. And with the pitching staff, The Phillies are going to need to average what....4-5 runs a game to win 90?

I know they're going to have some injuries, just like everyone else...but unless 2 of their pitchers go down and another has the worst year of his career...the Phillies are without a doubt the toughest team to beat in the NL, possibly in the league.

Spoiler

and for what it's worth, I freakin' hate Philadelphia.

I agree. They have one hell of a rotation and all former aces. Not Blanton tho. He had Harden and Haren with him in Oak so that pushed him out as a ace. But he did have good stuff. Not anymore. I just think people are over-hyping their roation. Will they be good? Hell yeah. But not as good as people think. Also, they were not able to sign Werth and Lee, but Werth signed way before. So they went to the next option.

AND SPOLIER ALL THE WAY!!

 

[AddisonStation]

Ale: Bos, tb, nyy, tor, bal
alc: Min, sox (wc), det, cle, kc
alw: Oak, tex, laa, sea
nle: Phi, atl, fla, nym, wsh
nlc: Mil, cin (wc), chc, stl, hou, pit
nlw: Col, sf, lad, sd, arz


alds: Sox @ oak / min @ bos
nlds: Cin @ phi / col @ mil

alcs: Oak @ bos
nlcs: Mil @ phi

ws: Oak-phi (oak wins)

A couple things i thought seemed curious. Im not ball breaking but why TB ahead of NYY and why Baltimore in last place?

Also, ur really high on Oakland.... Hmm...

 

[nickofypres]

A couple things i thought seemed curious. Im not ball breaking but why TB ahead of NYY and why Baltimore in last place?

Also, ur really high on Oakland.... Hmm...

New York has a good line up, and a good bullpen, but no rotation sans Sabathia, like wise with the O's, the only difference is the Yankee line up will bail out the Yankee rotation more than the O's will to theirs.

 

[DewsSox79]

Ale: Bos, Nyy, Bal, Tam, Tor
alc: Sox, Min, det, cle, kc
alw: Tex, Oak, laa, sea
nle: Phi, atl, fla, nym, wsh
nlc: Mil, STL, Cin, Cubs, hou, pit
nlw: SF, COL, lad, sd, arz

predicting playoffs to me is pointless

 

[Captain Obvious]

A couple things i thought seemed curious. Im not ball breaking but why TB ahead of NYY and why Baltimore in last place?

Also, ur really high on Oakland.... Hmm...

Oakland is going to be beastly this year. If I did these projections, I'd probably put them #1 in the West.