Just curious for the knowledgable, but how far does a guy like Turcotte fall just because he committed to Wisconsin?
I assume everyone is wary of a Hayes type situation where you get nothing.
Hayes notwithstanding, generally if a team picks high because they were that bad and didn't win the lottery or get a gifted 1st, they're expecting immediate help. It doesn't always happen; Toews did spend a year as a Sioux. However, if a team was really one of the worst teams in the league chances are they're expecting a young stud (Kane, McJesus, etc.) to come in immediately and help out. How far would they fall? Depends on where the 1st team that doesn't need immediate help picks--and that varies per year. This year I could see that as the Avs since they're neck-deep in the playoffs. The Rags and Devils need immediate help, and the 'hawks have needed D help for seasons now (note: D-help meaning at all skater positions, so a defensively-minded FWD cut from the Toews/Hossa cloth fits the bill more than a Gus-like D-man). It really depends on how much long-game a team is playing vs needing help right now and how much immediate help the kid can give.
Barker had "issues" on top of a limited hockey IQ. He was a legitimate forward playing defense. He was a beast on the PP, and that's pretty much it.
Beach was a piece of shit. Tallon knew he was a piece of shit when he drafted him, too.
I don't think scouting doesn't do the due diligence now that it looked past then. Tallon fell in love with size, Beach and Barker had both, instead of skill. Stan and Kelly look for skill and IQ.
You can't teach a box of rocks to become caviar.
Barker may have had issues, but it was still a wasted pick. Given the Buff experiment, if playing him at a FWD was ever tried (I'm a bit hazy there if it ever happened), it certainly didn't stick. To be fair to the 'hawks Barker was the top-ranked NA skater, but even so: Ladd, Olesz, Bolland, Bickell, Glass, Versteeg, & Brouwer all were more notable Blackhawks than he was--and came out of the same draft class.
As for Beach, yeah, he was touted as a project, but a project that failed miserably. Even so, he was the 7th NA skater. Still was painful considering that Karlsson was like, 2 picks below him.
I wouldn't exonerate Stan though. Tallon had his issues--a ton of them. But Stan is not squeaky clean. He did have that abnormal Runblad fetish that he favored for years, even though Runblad was fake-tits-on-a-zombie level of worthless--not to mention guys like Pisani, trying to force Versteeg, Handzus, & Rosival way past their sell-by date, as well as, if rumor is true, caving to Q and forcing that worthless puke Manning on us.