I’m sorry but I don’t approach that last drive the same way. I want either a TD or a FG 40 yards or less. I don’t look at that third down as “I can always take the 53 yarder if I don’t screw it up.”
On third down I’m looking at my play sheet and picking the best play I’ve got, period. Even if you fail on third down, you can either play for the tie and punt or go for it on fourth down, either option is better than missing the kick and them getting the ball from where it’s kicked from.
Those are good points. Especially considering where on the field the opponent is going start and ample time remaining.
I think part of the impetus of Nagy rushing 3 times was Howard & the OL hitting the 19 & 15 yards rushes previously. Rushing again is what most coaches would do. The monkey wrench in that was Howard taking himself out. Bears don't have another power/vision rusher like Howard (which is too bad). Still, if Nagy thought the prior success was mostly due to his OL taking it to the DL, then rushing Cohen or Cunningham up the middle on 1st dwn makes some sense.
After Cohen only gets 2 yrds, and Howard apparently still isn't ready, on 2nd dwn you'd think he opens up the playbook here. You still have the momentum, you need 8 yrds (1st dwn) or more for a good FG attempt. Just don't let Trub throw one of his dangerous across the middle the field throws.
On 2nd Nagy rushes Cunningham up the middle. I would have considered that choice a ship that already sailed on 1st dwn, but at least he gets a respectable 4 yrds. I think coaches would have been thinking a play-action-pass play there.
Third dwn and 4, Howard is "ready"... which I'm not sure what that would mean, since we don't know if Howard was hurt. I wouldn't have thought Howard would have just wanted a breather after only 2 rushes. I'm not sure I see the temptation to rush Howard, a 5th straight rush, unless you're really afraid Trub is going to screwup.