How are the Bears favored in this game.
Get used to it. The public disproportionately bets on the Bears versus their performance, and that disproportion has only widened since they got good.
If they had this game as a pick-‘em, there’d likely be too much money on the Bears side, giving the sports books too much liability. They’ve gotta have the Bears lay a field goal to entice action on the other side to mitigate risk.
There’s a reason Trubisky was the biggest bet for MVP at the sports books over the offseason. There were so many bets being placed on Trubisky that in order not to be rung out if the unthinkable happened, the books had to disincentivize the Trubisky MVP bet. Hence why at one point, Trubisky was 20-1 and was ahead of Tom Brady.
It’s pretty interesting, because the Bears will likely be favored at least 3 of their next 4 games. Let’s say they win every game they’re favored and lose every game they’re not—Then they’d be 6-3 after 9 games. I think any Bears fan would sign up for that right now.
In fact, stretching it out, the Bears are very likely to be favored in AT LEAST 5 of their next 8 games. Extending the logic, if the numbers held, the Bears would be 8-5 heading into the last two games of the season.
Now, we all know that’s not going to happen, at least not *exactly* like that. That’s not how sports works. That’s not how the NFL works. But point being, for all the talk about the Bears being doomed by their tough schedule, they’re going to be favored in more games than not. And even a few of the ones I counted against the Bears (@Eagles, @Lions) could flip if those teams are unfortunate in the coming weeks.
This team is good. But public bettors are making them even better, numbers-wise.
