Toast88
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- May 10, 2014
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1) As a result of keeping Nagy and Pace, the Bears are firmly in win-now mode. Having a losing season basically guarantees them gone after 2021 (although with this ownership, who knows?), so watch for Pace and Nagy to make whatever changes to the 2021 roster they can to make it temporarily better.
This will mean tweaked improvements to the roster while mortgaging future assets, because Pace and Nagy have zero incentive to think about how their 2021 actions will affect the 2022 Bears and beyond. This will not be good for the Bears long-term, but what do they care?
2) Because of #1, don't expect the Bears to draft a quarterback. A rookie quarterback with a #20 pick, or even trading up around #10 or so, probably doesn't make you better in 2021 when they could draft other assets that help them immediately or trade those draft picks away for established assets.
3) Re-signing Allen Robinson becomes a must. Letting Allen Robinson walk makes an anemic offense even worse. That can't happen for Pace and Nagy in 2021. I suspect they'll give Robinson the cheaper of the two options between a new contract and a franchise tag.
4) You've now pissed off the defensive players. I'm in the camp of people who believed Chuck Pagano needed to be fired. He wasn't properly using what's still a good defense. He wasn't making them better. But he was very well-liked by the players, and the defensive players know that they're not **the reason** for the disappointing 2020 season. They know the offense is the main problem with this team, but their guy got fired and the offense's architect is still alive and well on the team. That's gotta piss them off.
5) Trubisky coming back seems more likely. This could go either way, but the point is that Pace and Nagy need the best damn quarterback they can get for 2021. No projects, no draft picks. But they may not be **able** to get a Wentz or a Prescott. Trubisky may unfortunately be the best they can get. I know, I know. Trubisky isn't good. And I'm fully in favor of moving on from him. But unless they trade for an established veteran who is definitely better, I don't see them getting their hands on anyone who's better specifically for the 2021 season.
6) There's basically a guarantee of a house cleaning at the end of the 2021, as the window closes on the defense and time runs out on the offense. Call me a pessimist, but I don't think all the desperation moves that Pace and Nagy make this offseason will result in a winning season. This moment, right now, would've been such a perfect time to start a mini-rebuild/reload with a new GM. The defense is still good, but not great. It's the perfect time to move on from Trubisky and set up the next step in the QB process while focusing on surrounding that quarterback with good, young assets over the next couple of years, whether you'd want to acquire that next long-term quarterback this offseason or wait for the next draft while using a bridge.
7) It's going to be hard for them to get a good DC. What defensive coordinator candidate worth their salt is going to walk into a one-year rental situation? The beat writers disagree with this, but I believe this makes promoting from within more likely. This means Jay Rodgers may be your new DC. This means Ted Monachino may be your new DC.
I fuckin' hate this, man. If it were me (who gives a shit, but hey, this is a message board for opinions), I would've fired Pace and let the new GM decide whether they want to keep Nagy, and plan to roll into 2021 as a mini-rebuild year: Shed the Leno and Massie contracts, plan on cutting or trading Mack and Hicks at the end of 2021 (It's not really possible to get rid of them before that), draft a QB in the second or third round, roll with Foles as my 2021 shitty starter, understanding that we're probably going to have a shitty season and draft fairly high in the 2022 draft, then draft my QB of the future with my 2022 first round pick. By then, my new GM will probably have picked their next coach to go with the new QB. Hey, better than the Bears' plan for the future.
The desperation moves that are about to be made by Pace are going to hamper the Bears for years.
This will mean tweaked improvements to the roster while mortgaging future assets, because Pace and Nagy have zero incentive to think about how their 2021 actions will affect the 2022 Bears and beyond. This will not be good for the Bears long-term, but what do they care?
2) Because of #1, don't expect the Bears to draft a quarterback. A rookie quarterback with a #20 pick, or even trading up around #10 or so, probably doesn't make you better in 2021 when they could draft other assets that help them immediately or trade those draft picks away for established assets.
3) Re-signing Allen Robinson becomes a must. Letting Allen Robinson walk makes an anemic offense even worse. That can't happen for Pace and Nagy in 2021. I suspect they'll give Robinson the cheaper of the two options between a new contract and a franchise tag.
4) You've now pissed off the defensive players. I'm in the camp of people who believed Chuck Pagano needed to be fired. He wasn't properly using what's still a good defense. He wasn't making them better. But he was very well-liked by the players, and the defensive players know that they're not **the reason** for the disappointing 2020 season. They know the offense is the main problem with this team, but their guy got fired and the offense's architect is still alive and well on the team. That's gotta piss them off.
5) Trubisky coming back seems more likely. This could go either way, but the point is that Pace and Nagy need the best damn quarterback they can get for 2021. No projects, no draft picks. But they may not be **able** to get a Wentz or a Prescott. Trubisky may unfortunately be the best they can get. I know, I know. Trubisky isn't good. And I'm fully in favor of moving on from him. But unless they trade for an established veteran who is definitely better, I don't see them getting their hands on anyone who's better specifically for the 2021 season.
6) There's basically a guarantee of a house cleaning at the end of the 2021, as the window closes on the defense and time runs out on the offense. Call me a pessimist, but I don't think all the desperation moves that Pace and Nagy make this offseason will result in a winning season. This moment, right now, would've been such a perfect time to start a mini-rebuild/reload with a new GM. The defense is still good, but not great. It's the perfect time to move on from Trubisky and set up the next step in the QB process while focusing on surrounding that quarterback with good, young assets over the next couple of years, whether you'd want to acquire that next long-term quarterback this offseason or wait for the next draft while using a bridge.
7) It's going to be hard for them to get a good DC. What defensive coordinator candidate worth their salt is going to walk into a one-year rental situation? The beat writers disagree with this, but I believe this makes promoting from within more likely. This means Jay Rodgers may be your new DC. This means Ted Monachino may be your new DC.
I fuckin' hate this, man. If it were me (who gives a shit, but hey, this is a message board for opinions), I would've fired Pace and let the new GM decide whether they want to keep Nagy, and plan to roll into 2021 as a mini-rebuild year: Shed the Leno and Massie contracts, plan on cutting or trading Mack and Hicks at the end of 2021 (It's not really possible to get rid of them before that), draft a QB in the second or third round, roll with Foles as my 2021 shitty starter, understanding that we're probably going to have a shitty season and draft fairly high in the 2022 draft, then draft my QB of the future with my 2022 first round pick. By then, my new GM will probably have picked their next coach to go with the new QB. Hey, better than the Bears' plan for the future.
The desperation moves that are about to be made by Pace are going to hamper the Bears for years.
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