I don’t really think that you can legitimately expect to get a franchise changing player at 7, and definitely not at 22. I know there are exceptions to this but the sad reality is most of the best players in the NBA are drafted in the top 3. The whole high upside thing is fool’s gold a vast majority of the time. I also think the high floor is overstated. If the Bulls get a solid starter out of the either of these picks they have done well. They were not drafting at the top of the draft.
Also to anyone who thinks 6’10” 250 is a power forward and not a center, please move into the l decade. The NBA has already changed. I don’t know if Carter can play at the NBA level and from what I read he needs to work on his body. There is still some room for him to grow as a player. Quickness, explosiveness, strength, speed, and even jumping can be improved with proper training. If he ended up as a better Al Horford would anyone really be unhappy. That would be a tremendous pick at 7.
Only time will tell if either of this draft pays off for the Bulls. I hope they don’t throw a Max contract at LaVine. Let’s be honest though. Unless the Warriors break up no one is going to be contending for a championship in next 5 years. With player collusion, GMs have less ability to actual build a championship team. The smartest GMs right now should be trying to build solid good young teams that are cost controlled and hope they have the right pieces and cap space to fit the next player built championship.
From this list I decided to take a look at the all time numbers and see how much draft position really matters towards being an all star level player. I did results for the 1st 15 picks and it is pretty illuminating.
Pick 1: 240 selections (16.8% total)
Pick 2: 144 selections (10.1% total)
Pick 3: 134 selections (9.4% total)
Pick 4: 98 selections (6.87% total)
Pick 5: 117 selections (8.2% total)
^by now this is already over half of all All-star selections
Pick 6: 72 selections (5% total)
Pick 7: 36 selections (2.5% total)
Pick 8: 60 selections (4.2% total)
Pick9: 69 selections (4.8% total) Nowitzki and Havlicek account for 26 of these
Pick 10: 55 selections (3.85% total)
Pick 11: 33 selections (2.3% total)
Pick 12: 29 selections (2% total)
Pick 13: 32 selections (2.2% total) Kobe and Malone account for 27 of these
Pick 14: 52 selections (3.6% total)
^ over 82% total in lottery
Pick 15: 11 selections (0.8% total) 7 by Steve Nash
#7 pick is not a great pick for some reason. I'm not sure Wendell Carter Jr. is going to change that either. I think he'll be plenty solid but All-star not so sure.