Fowler will be 31 starting next year and is coming off a 4.7 fWAR season.
Alex Gordon was 32 to start this year and was coming off a 2.7 fWAR season and he got $18mil per.
Ben Zobrist was 34 to start this year and was coming off a 2.0 fWAR season and he got $14mil per.
Any argument that Fowler's "advanced" age is going to result in him accepting a deal in the 11-14mil AAV range is simply incoherent. That is wish-thinking.
Gordon's previous four years: 6.6, 5.5, 3.7, 6.4. His 2.7 was also missing a third of the year.
Zobrist's previous four years: 6.3, 5.8, 5.5, 5.0
Fowler's previous four years: 2.3, 2.2, 1.5, 3.3
I think the problem with Dexter is that teams are going to be nervous that he benefits from playing in a very deep lineup and that he might not be able to replicate what he does somewhere else. I mean he probably peaks as a three win player and the problem with three win players is you can typically find one to two win players for low cost or pay the 5+ win guys 20 million so the middle of the market becomes a risk.
He'll get money this year because someone will take the chance but I think he's looking at 4/60 or 5/75 type deals as a max. The other thing is Fowler has had issues being a guy who plays a lot. He's only had one year of 600 PA.