beckdawg
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I'll cut to the chase here.... I think the front office has decided it's cost efficient to target players with good HR/9. Davies who was kind of over looked in the Darvish trade a bit has a career 1.04 HR/9. For reference here, the past 2.5 full seasons have gone 1.16 in 2018, 1.40 in 2019 and 1.34 in 2020. So Davies' 1.09, 1.13 and 1.17 HR/9 makes him among the league leaders. He was 27th in 2020, he didn't have qualified innings in 2019 but would have been 24th, and in 2018 he again didn't have qualified innings but would have been 29th.
Hendricks obviously has long been known to have a good soft contact rate. The past 3 seasons he's gone 0.99, 0.97, and 1.11 on his HR/9.
The "big" free agent signing of Arrieta has gone 1.09, 1.39, and 1.22. So clearly he's a bit of a bump up from the above 2 but with the exception of 2019 he's still been solidly above average at suppressing home runs.
Alzolay doesn't have a ton of track record to go off of here but in 2018 in a HR friendly AAA(PCL) he had a 0.91 HR/9. In 2019 it bumped similar to Arrieta to 1.38. In a very limited 2020 showing in the majors though it was quite good at 0.42. He's kind of all over the place but I think 2018 and 2020 give you reason to hope it'll be above league average.
Trevor Williams got shelled the last 2 years(2.44, 1.67). but the 2 seasons prior to those 2 he was fantastic at 0.84 and 0.79. Kohl Stewart doesn't have a huge major league track record either but his 60 or so innings have netted a 0.87 hr/9 and he had a pretty nutty 0.5 hr/9 in the minors.Alec Mills is an outlier a bit here compared to the rest but he was already in house depth for several years. So, I'm not sure how much you count him in this "trend".
Just for some thought here... Darvish was fantastic in this regard last year at 0.59 but the two years prior to 2020 he posted 1.58 and 1.66 HR/9. So, if you are the cubs who seem to be buying into HR prevention, it kind of makes sense to trade him after this past season given if he gives up 2018/19 HR levels he's going to be considerably worse.
And honestly when you think about the make up of the offense, it sort of makes sense. Baez and Rizzo won gold gloves. Heyward is always a quality glove. Hoerner was very good in his limited sample defensively which kinda makes sense why they would give him a shot to win the 2B job rather than letting him go to AAA. Contreras is a superb defender as well. Bryant has been more or less average. And Joc would be a decent upgrade over schwarber in LF. Happ isn't fantastic in CF but it is what it is.
Hendricks obviously has long been known to have a good soft contact rate. The past 3 seasons he's gone 0.99, 0.97, and 1.11 on his HR/9.
The "big" free agent signing of Arrieta has gone 1.09, 1.39, and 1.22. So clearly he's a bit of a bump up from the above 2 but with the exception of 2019 he's still been solidly above average at suppressing home runs.
Alzolay doesn't have a ton of track record to go off of here but in 2018 in a HR friendly AAA(PCL) he had a 0.91 HR/9. In 2019 it bumped similar to Arrieta to 1.38. In a very limited 2020 showing in the majors though it was quite good at 0.42. He's kind of all over the place but I think 2018 and 2020 give you reason to hope it'll be above league average.
Trevor Williams got shelled the last 2 years(2.44, 1.67). but the 2 seasons prior to those 2 he was fantastic at 0.84 and 0.79. Kohl Stewart doesn't have a huge major league track record either but his 60 or so innings have netted a 0.87 hr/9 and he had a pretty nutty 0.5 hr/9 in the minors.Alec Mills is an outlier a bit here compared to the rest but he was already in house depth for several years. So, I'm not sure how much you count him in this "trend".
Just for some thought here... Darvish was fantastic in this regard last year at 0.59 but the two years prior to 2020 he posted 1.58 and 1.66 HR/9. So, if you are the cubs who seem to be buying into HR prevention, it kind of makes sense to trade him after this past season given if he gives up 2018/19 HR levels he's going to be considerably worse.
And honestly when you think about the make up of the offense, it sort of makes sense. Baez and Rizzo won gold gloves. Heyward is always a quality glove. Hoerner was very good in his limited sample defensively which kinda makes sense why they would give him a shot to win the 2B job rather than letting him go to AAA. Contreras is a superb defender as well. Bryant has been more or less average. And Joc would be a decent upgrade over schwarber in LF. Happ isn't fantastic in CF but it is what it is.