IST: Cubs vs Cards at wrigley

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
Hating the lineup still. Soler should be four not Castro. Castro was there last year out of necessity. Do they feel he can't survive batting elsewhere?
Also again with the pitcher batting 8th. Maddon said himself he is doing it for double switching, and not to help the lineup any. He really should focus on scoring runs instead of thinking he's developed something new. Stick to what you know Joe.

He believes Soler is one of his better hitters so he bats him 2. He is essentially third in the lineup when it turns over. Rizzo 4 and Castro 5. It will be juggled when Bryant comes up, but I believe your best hitter should bat 2nd.
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
honestly I am not sure who of us on CCS knew the lack of pickoffs but I have to admit I was dumbfounded that it was true of anyone let alone a great pitcher like Lester. Being lefty naturally helps to hold runners but to not toss and still be as dominant as Lester is really surprises me. It's almost like giveing a Billy Hamilton a double or triple each time he reaches first base.

Without any data, I am under the impression that the NL is a much "speedier" league so he might want to make at least a token toss over there from time to time.

It was known. I have heard about it before but know acted like it was a big deal until he got here.
 

WrigleyvilleTimes

Paul Sigrist
Joined:
Apr 7, 2015
Posts:
16
Liked Posts:
7
Location:
Chicago, IL
Traditionally your best hitter occupies the 3 spot. With sabermetrics being implemented:
1 spot - is your top OBP guy
2 spot - 2nd best OBP guy
3 spot - best offensive player (Offensive WAR based)
4 spot - best slugging percentage
5 spot - 2nd best slugging percentage
6 spot - 3rd best OBP not occupied by previous hitter in order
7 spot - 4th best OBP not occupied by previous hitter in order
8 spot - weakest OBP of position players, typically greatest Defensive WAR value
9 spot - pitcher
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
Traditionally your best hitter occupies the 3 spot. With sabermetrics being implemented:
1 spot - is your top OBP guy
2 spot - 2nd best OBP guy
3 spot - best offensive player (Offensive WAR based)
4 spot - best slugging percentage
5 spot - 2nd best slugging percentage
6 spot - 3rd best OBP not occupied by previous hitter in order
7 spot - 4th best OBP not occupied by previous hitter in order
8 spot - weakest OBP of position players, typically greatest Defensive WAR value
9 spot - pitcher

New studies are showing that you should bat your best batter 2nd. It gives them more plate appearances a year with around the same amount of men on base as the 3 spot. Its why you see teams putting Trout, Batista, and other there. Of course, the structure of your team will depend but the 2 hole stat says your best hitter should hit there.
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
Especially, with the way the Cubs are batting a player 9th. The two hole would come up with even more chances with men on base.
 

beckdawg

Well-known member
Joined:
Oct 31, 2012
Posts:
11,750
Liked Posts:
3,741
New studies are showing that you should bat your best batter 2nd. It gives them more plate appearances a year with around the same amount of men on base as the 3 spot. Its why you see teams putting Trout, Batista, and other there. Of course, the structure of your team will depend but the 2 hole stat says your best hitter should hit there.

Not entirely arguing with the conclusions you're presenting here but the difference in PAs is like 15 over a full season betweeen 1-2, 2-3, 3-4...etc. I'm not really sure that's consequential
 

WrigleyvilleTimes

Paul Sigrist
Joined:
Apr 7, 2015
Posts:
16
Liked Posts:
7
Location:
Chicago, IL
New studies are showing that you should bat your best batter 2nd. It gives them more plate appearances a year with around the same amount of men on base as the 3 spot. Its why you see teams putting Trout, Batista, and other there. Of course, the structure of your team will depend but the 2 hole stat says your best hitter should hit there.

Very interesting. I'll have to look into this more. I appreciate the insight! In regards to the Cubs batting the pitcher 8th and a position guy 9th, Maddon had said he would do this when he didn't expect a starter to go deep into a game. This means that early in the season we can expect the Cubs to bat a pitcher 8th more often than mid-summer, as pitchers are still building up their stamina. Come mid-summer we should see a pitcher bat 8th maybe once every six or seven games would seem appropriate. Considering the current roster construction, the Cubs have immense flexibility. The double switch was implemented twice on Opening Night alone. It really played to Maddon's advantage.
 

Parade_Rain

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Aug 23, 2012
Posts:
9,995
Liked Posts:
3,624
My favorite teams
  1. Chicago Cubs
  1. Chicago Bulls
  1. Chicago Bears
  1. Illinois Fighting Illini
It was known. I have heard about it before but know acted like it was a big deal until he got here.
Shark had some issues holding runners on as well. Stone was on the Score this morning talking about how both Lester and Shark needed to work through some things and improve (Shark was too slow to the plate). I guess Stone is just a blowhard in panic mode.
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
No one talked about it anywhere prior to Sunday.

It was never an issue because it isnt n issue. He has survived for how long the same way. Jason Hammels allowed something like 20 straight base stealers last season. Where was the uproar?
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
Very interesting. I'll have to look into this more. I appreciate the insight! In regards to the Cubs batting the pitcher 8th and a position guy 9th, Maddon had said he would do this when he didn't expect a starter to go deep into a game. This means that early in the season we can expect the Cubs to bat a pitcher 8th more often than mid-summer, as pitchers are still building up their stamina. Come mid-summer we should see a pitcher bat 8th maybe once every six or seven games would seem appropriate. Considering the current roster construction, the Cubs have immense flexibility. The double switch was implemented twice on Opening Night alone. It really played to Maddon's advantage.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=20824

http://www.usatoday.com/story/sport...ing-second-is-trending-for-all-stars/2653079/
 

Parade_Rain

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Aug 23, 2012
Posts:
9,995
Liked Posts:
3,624
My favorite teams
  1. Chicago Cubs
  1. Chicago Bulls
  1. Chicago Bears
  1. Illinois Fighting Illini
Not entirely arguing with the conclusions you're presenting here but the difference in PAs is like 15 over a full season betweeen 1-2, 2-3, 3-4...etc. I'm not really sure that's consequential
More production opportunities. Soler belongs in 2 hole...Castro in 4th or 5th.
 

Diehardfan

Well-known member
Joined:
Jun 10, 2010
Posts:
9,601
Liked Posts:
6,985
Location:
Western Burbs
My favorite teams
  1. Chicago Cubs
  1. Chicago Bulls
  1. Chicago Bears
  1. Chicago Blackhawks
At this point, it doesn't matter what the order is as nearly no one is even getting OB. They're back in the mode where every pitch they see is a good one. Not a good thing for this group.
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
Not arguing that. Just saying it's not really a matter of more PAs as 15 over 650-700 is a drop in the bucket.

More PA's. More chances. One hit in the right time can change the game.
 

Crda44

Member
Joined:
Dec 29, 2013
Posts:
144
Liked Posts:
48
Ok I'm going to fucking shoot myself I can only watch the game on fox sports MW these comentators are horrible
 

SilenceS

Moderator
Staff member
Donator
Joined:
Apr 16, 2013
Posts:
21,848
Liked Posts:
9,042
At this point, it doesn't matter what the order is as nearly no one is even getting OB. They're back in the mode where every pitch they see is a good one. Not a good thing for this group.

Its baseball. If you sail 70% of the time, you are a hall of famer. Keep calm and watch on
 

Top