Ist: Cubs vs pirates

[Globetrotter]

Shwarbs having a hell of a game so far.

 

[chibears55]

Feels like the cubs should have a bunch of runs on board with the with this guy pitching...
Yet they only have 1



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[chibears55]

So now they have slide rules that not reviewable...lol

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[Globetrotter]

Solid game for Addison, too. Keeps getting better.

 

[chibears55]

Been 13 games but feels like forever since Bryant hit a HR

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[chibears55]

Ton of baserunners by both teams..

One of them gonna break out a big inning

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[chibears55]

1 for 6

11

That all you need to know

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[TL1961]

A run in the first, and lose 2-1.

Sigh.

 

[anotheridiot]

So now they have slide rules that not reviewable...lol

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They are supposed to slide to the base and not past the base. I dont think Javy was saying anything other than I had no chance at first anyway. This could have and most probably easily been over turned, but Joe the hippie hates the rule and apparently was happy the Pirates got their out back to relieve any unnecessary distractions from the future series this year.

 

[chibears55]

They are supposed to slide to the base and not past the base. I dont think Javy was saying anything other than I had no chance at first anyway. This could have and most probably easily been over turned, but Joe the hippie hates the rule and apparently was happy the Pirates got their out back to relieve any unnecessary distractions from the future series this year.

They ended up saying it wasn't reviewable because they didn't make an attempt to throw the ball..

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[TC in Mississippi]

Jason Heyward has been on fire for the second half of May slashing .357/.406/.536 .942 OPS and 151 wRC+ since May 15. More of that please.

 

[beckdawg]

Jason Heyward has been on fire for the second half of May slashing .357/.406/.536 .942 OPS and 151 wRC+ since May 15. More of that please.

Been shamelessly plugging him for awhile now. His expected slash line is .284/.364/.477 for the season. The underlying numbers really are that good but the increase in fly balls he's had just aren't falling. 42.9% of his batted balls have had an exit velocity over 95. Guy immediately above him is Anthony Rendon who's hitting .263/.351/.481. Guy one spot lower than him is Yasmani Grandal who's hitting .261/.369/.471. Other names within +/- 1% of him are Lindor, Mauer, Freeman, Moustakas, Bogaerts, Asdrubal Cabrerra, Nomar Mazara, Wilson Ramos, Lowrie, Javy Baez, Schebler, Markakis, Domingo Santana, Soler, Brantley and McCann. Of all those names only 3 guys are below 115 wRC+. McCann is at 89. Santana is at 90 and Schebler is at 103. This isn't the most scientific way to do this but if you take all of their wRC+ and average them the average would be 128.4. The list has 4 guys below 120(89, 90, 103 115), 5 in the 120-129 range(123, 124 x2, 125, 128), 3 in the 130-139 range (132, 133, 135), 4 in the 140-149 range (140, 142, 144, 145) and 2 other above 150(158, 162).

In other words, the results you'd expect for how hard he's hitting it don't match what he's doing which is usually a good place to start when looking for an improvement. I'll say it again and risk looking crazy. His numbers aren't that far off Rizzo's 2017. In terms of non-batted ball data, Rizzo was at 13.2%/13.0% bb/k rate last year. Heyward is at 10.3%/11.0% this year. So less walks but likely a few more hits so you'd expect slightly better batting average and probably slightly worse OBP. In terms of batted ball data, Rizzo's LD/GB/FB split was 20.1%/40.7%/39.2%. Of the 39.2% fly balls he hit, 10.1% were infield fly balls and 16.9% were HR. With Heyward those same numbers break down to 17.1%/38.7%/44.1% with 20.4% infield fly and 4.1% HR/FB. So, the obvious take away there is Heyward is hitting fewer line drives and too many infield fly balls. That also likely accounts for a comically low 4.1% HR/FB rate. His career rate is 10.9%. But it's not for lack of Heyward hitting the ball hard. his soft/med/hard rate is 21.4%/43.8%/34.8% compared to Rizzo's 2017 rates of 19.8%/45.9%/34.4%.

Long story short, I've been saying it for awhile now but I think Heyward isn't squaring enough balls up but if and when he does watch out because that 2017 Rizzo season was a 133 wRC+ season. If Heyward starts to drive some of those pitches rather than getting under them he's hitting the ball so hard right now.

 

[anotheridiot]

They ended up saying it wasn't reviewable because they didn't make an attempt to throw the ball..

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Good to know, so now Javy should throw it to the second deck so it can be reviewed? I dont think Joe was going to review it anyway, but in a game that ended up 2-1, this rookie pitcher shutting us down, a run would make a huge difference.