A.C. Milan
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Sep 17, 2015
- Posts:
- 2,351
- Liked Posts:
- 702
- Location:
- Milano Italy
My favorite teams
is the CSN pitch trax accurate? It doesn't look like to me
- Status
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
I'm interested in seeing Baez in LF, myself. He's got some speed and is a pretty good athlete. I could see him being our starting LF at some point.
A.C. Milan
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Sep 17, 2015
- Posts:
- 2,351
- Liked Posts:
- 702
- Location:
- Milano Italy
My favorite teams
help yourself Jason!
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
Hammell helping out his own cause!
- Joined:
- Aug 23, 2012
- Posts:
- 9,995
- Liked Posts:
- 3,624
My favorite teams
I'd rather see him at 3B, but the speed in the OF would be quite good in Wrigley between the three of Heyward, Fowler and Baez. It's ridiculous how a couple of years ago most of the discussion was about the prospects in the farm system and now, even with Schwarber out, there is an embarrassment of options at the big club level.
- Joined:
- Feb 9, 2011
- Posts:
- 5,444
- Liked Posts:
- 2,774
- Location:
- Minnesota
this team
sheesh
sheesh
A.C. Milan
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Sep 17, 2015
- Posts:
- 2,351
- Liked Posts:
- 702
- Location:
- Milano Italy
My favorite teams
this is beautiful to watch
chibears55
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Apr 18, 2013
- Posts:
- 13,554
- Liked Posts:
- 1,915
Just about every game they have that one big inning..
Just imagine when Heyward and Rizzo actually start hitting
Sent from my LG-V495 using Tapatalk
Just imagine when Heyward and Rizzo actually start hitting
Sent from my LG-V495 using Tapatalk
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
And there is still some prospects there as well. One could say that Contreras is pretty good insurance for Kyle, and yet the Cubs still have some young players waiting in the minors.
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
A.C. Milan
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Sep 17, 2015
- Posts:
- 2,351
- Liked Posts:
- 702
- Location:
- Milano Italy
My favorite teams
Rockies in 15 hours
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
Nice to see Hammel pitch 6 shutout innings, he could be a real wildcard this year. Although, I'm not sure why I'm worried about pitching with our offense!!!!
beckdawg
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Oct 31, 2012
- Posts:
- 11,750
- Liked Posts:
- 3,741
So, Fowler has 0.7 fWAR thru 8 games and that doesn't even count his 3 hits tonight. That's tied for 5th best in the majors. He's gonna get paid at this rate.
Bear Pride
Bears Gonna Shock the World!
- Joined:
- Aug 28, 2012
- Posts:
- 10,615
- Liked Posts:
- 3,091
Fowler Sucks!
beckdawg
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Oct 31, 2012
- Posts:
- 11,750
- Liked Posts:
- 3,741
Another thought
1 Kyle Schwarber 5 40.0 %
2 Addison Russell 34 26.5 %
3 Jason Heyward 38 21.1 %
4 Dexter Fowler 34 20.6 %
5 Jorge Soler 30 20.0 %
6 Miguel Montero 26 19.2 %
7 Anthony Rizzo 38 18.4 %
8 Kris Bryant 38 18.4 %
9 David Ross 12 16.7 %
10 Ben Zobrist 38 15.8 %
11 Matt Szczur 10 10.0 %
12 Tommy La Stella 8 0.0 %
13 Munenori Kawasaki 2 0.0 %
PA's and K rates before tonight. Bryant and Soler's numbers are down quite a bit from last year. Russell is down about 5%
1 Kyle Schwarber 5 40.0 %
2 Addison Russell 34 26.5 %
3 Jason Heyward 38 21.1 %
4 Dexter Fowler 34 20.6 %
5 Jorge Soler 30 20.0 %
6 Miguel Montero 26 19.2 %
7 Anthony Rizzo 38 18.4 %
8 Kris Bryant 38 18.4 %
9 David Ross 12 16.7 %
10 Ben Zobrist 38 15.8 %
11 Matt Szczur 10 10.0 %
12 Tommy La Stella 8 0.0 %
13 Munenori Kawasaki 2 0.0 %
PA's and K rates before tonight. Bryant and Soler's numbers are down quite a bit from last year. Russell is down about 5%
A.C. Milan
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Sep 17, 2015
- Posts:
- 2,351
- Liked Posts:
- 702
- Location:
- Milano Italy
My favorite teams
i went #fullChicago once again and it paid off :lol: the other time Sox game was postponed due to bad wather
beckdawg
Well-known member
- Joined:
- Oct 31, 2012
- Posts:
- 11,750
- Liked Posts:
- 3,741
It's 6 am and nothing is on tv. I probably shouldn't be looking at random stats but I am cuz that's kinda what I do. Mostly I'm sitting here marveling at Bryant's present K rate. Now it's obviously not even 100 PAs yet(42) but going from 30.6% last season 16.7% seems like a rather gigantic improvement thus far. I'd honestly imagine he is at least 20% by year end but the difference in bad outs is rather stunning. Last year he struck out 199 times. If he were to change nothing about last season but his K rate at 20% that's 130 k's. At his present rate that's 109 k's. So, you're probably talking some where between 69-90 PAs that gave them nothing statistically(obviously impacts pitch count and such). His hit rate last season was 23.7% and his walk rate was 11.8%(that's also up about 2.5% this year too FWIW).
Long story short, that difference is some where between 25-32 more times on base or 38-49 points in OBP. Had he struck out at those rates his OBP last season would have been .395-.406. Last year roughly around this time there was likely a night I was marveling at Rizzo who at the time had some ridiculous low strike out rate. It might have even been lower than his walk rate at the time. And when I saw that I immediately said he'd be top 5 in NL MVP voting. In many ways I'm reminded of that. It's probably less of a shock to project that for Bryant given he was 11th last season in MVP voting. However, I honestly didn't see him making quite this much of an improvement. I was more hoping for something in the 25% range and granted it's early and he might slump dragging it down.
And what's great is as I said it's not just him. Soler was at 30.0% last year and thus far is at 19.4%. In both cases, their triple slashes aren't "wow" yet. Bryant is at .250/.357/.500 and Soler is at .200/.290/.320. However, when you take into account both of their BABIP's the picture changes some. Soler is presently at .200 for a career .347 in the majors and .330 in the minors. Bryant's BABIP thus far in the majors has been .369 and it was .397 in the minors. While all of this isn't entirely surprising given each player's prospect pedigree the question is always "how good" they were going to be. The fact that Bryant is even in the range of a .400 OBP speaks for itself. Out of 1487 qualified seasons since 2006 only 89 players have done it(~6%). Soler's probably unlikely to reach quite that lofty of a plateau and there's some injury/defense concerns but there's sure a lot to love about the bat. The name i've tossed around when talking Bryant's potential is Paul Goldschmidt and honestly Bryant was better sooner(6.5 fWAR rookie season for Bryant of which Goldy only bested last year at 27 with 7.4). Stat wise, Soler looks a little like Nelson Cruz but maybe slightly less power and better OBP.
Oh and did I mention Russell is hit .250/.368/.375 while playing potentially gold glove SS? He's basically shaven 5% off his K rate and shoved it right into his walk rate. He hit .242 last year and thus far is hitting .250 but his OBP is up 61 points.
Long story short, that difference is some where between 25-32 more times on base or 38-49 points in OBP. Had he struck out at those rates his OBP last season would have been .395-.406. Last year roughly around this time there was likely a night I was marveling at Rizzo who at the time had some ridiculous low strike out rate. It might have even been lower than his walk rate at the time. And when I saw that I immediately said he'd be top 5 in NL MVP voting. In many ways I'm reminded of that. It's probably less of a shock to project that for Bryant given he was 11th last season in MVP voting. However, I honestly didn't see him making quite this much of an improvement. I was more hoping for something in the 25% range and granted it's early and he might slump dragging it down.
And what's great is as I said it's not just him. Soler was at 30.0% last year and thus far is at 19.4%. In both cases, their triple slashes aren't "wow" yet. Bryant is at .250/.357/.500 and Soler is at .200/.290/.320. However, when you take into account both of their BABIP's the picture changes some. Soler is presently at .200 for a career .347 in the majors and .330 in the minors. Bryant's BABIP thus far in the majors has been .369 and it was .397 in the minors. While all of this isn't entirely surprising given each player's prospect pedigree the question is always "how good" they were going to be. The fact that Bryant is even in the range of a .400 OBP speaks for itself. Out of 1487 qualified seasons since 2006 only 89 players have done it(~6%). Soler's probably unlikely to reach quite that lofty of a plateau and there's some injury/defense concerns but there's sure a lot to love about the bat. The name i've tossed around when talking Bryant's potential is Paul Goldschmidt and honestly Bryant was better sooner(6.5 fWAR rookie season for Bryant of which Goldy only bested last year at 27 with 7.4). Stat wise, Soler looks a little like Nelson Cruz but maybe slightly less power and better OBP.
Oh and did I mention Russell is hit .250/.368/.375 while playing potentially gold glove SS? He's basically shaven 5% off his K rate and shoved it right into his walk rate. He hit .242 last year and thus far is hitting .250 but his OBP is up 61 points.
brett05
867-5309
- Joined:
- Apr 28, 2009
- Posts:
- 27,226
- Liked Posts:
- 4,579
- Location:
- Hell
Great analysis again Beckdawg
- Joined:
- Aug 20, 2012
- Posts:
- 27,619
- Liked Posts:
- 12,616
My favorite teams
Yup, he's Windy City without all the prancing around in a lacy nightgown
brett05
867-5309
- Joined:
- Apr 28, 2009
- Posts:
- 27,226
- Liked Posts:
- 4,579
- Location:
- Hell
:shrug:
- Status