dont see much hope for this years cubs mainly because of doing nothing this offseason and they will probably trade away Bryant. They already admitted they need to cut salary. I dont know if this is even a .500 team this year.
I dunno, Pecota has them at about 85 wins (84.6 or something like that), finishing second by about a half game in a very weak NL Central to the Reds, who are the only team in the division who really took steps to improve over the off-season. Yeah, that's not that much better than a .500 club, but we all know that a lot of random factors impact season results. Not only your own team's health, but that of the rest of the division's teams.
If the Cubs are supposed to be the second-best team, on paper, in the division, and we have players like Bryant and Schwarber who historically play well in the Reds' home park... and if you believe Pecota, it seems that the Cubs have a good shot at pushing for a division title.
Any farther into October, then you might have a very good point. You gotta play better than .500 to win in the playoffs, LOL.
-New Doug