Nick Wright coming hard with his Bears prediction

[hebs]

This is from last year. It's when even I was optimistic about the Waldron hire and was willing to give Caleb Williams the benefit of the doubt on being one of one. I decided to defer to all of the experts that said Caleb was one of one that generational talent. And then two games in it all fell apart.

The rose colored glasses are off I'm looking at this team strictly for what I've seen it to be, not what I hope it can be.

I don't believe in Dexter or Sweat, I think Jarrett is too old Dayo is a scrub Billings is coming back from injury, Edmunds is collecting a paycheck they don't have a CB2 the safeties could be absolute trash.

Turner has a rod in his leg so I suspect his impact to be minimal. Burden will be slowed by his injury, Odunze isn't good enough yet or maybe not at all. DJ Moore doesn't care, Swift could be a complete bust because he's old by RB standards and there's not a single backup running back I'm confident in.

Jackson doesn't have a reputation for being consistently good, Thuney may mail it in the left tackle is below average and who knows on Wright. If you're a total optimist Wright is good, if you're a total realist Wright is average.

Overall the effort to rebuild the defense has likely been a total failure, you can't fix the OL in one year even if Poles hit on everyone and Caleb's accuracy and his Justin Fields tendencies will probably lead to a complete regime change in 3-4 years.

You got the pendulum swinging back a lil too hard. You’ve gone from chugging the kool-aid to pissing in it. lol

Maybe just hold off on the predictions based hyper-analysis for a while, see how things go and then offer opinions that don’t paint your ass into a corner you are forced to defend yourself from later.

 

[DanielCCSBears]

I agree Swift is not good and I don't like him and want him replaced but he is not good because of his age. You make absolute blanket statements that are constantly proven wrong.

That's what I said, I said he's not good because of his age, so why are you arguing with me?

 

[DanielCCSBears]

You got the pendulum swinging back a lil too hard. You’ve gone from chugging the kool-aid to pissing in it. lol

Maybe just hold off on the predictions based hyper-analysis for a while, see how things go and then offer opinions that don’t paint your ass into a corner you are forced to defend yourself from later.

I was so happy to be done with Fields.

 

[nc0gnet0]

Well that and he only averaged 4.2ypc and his fellow back averaged 5.6(?) ypc. Detroit was a much more explosive team with Monty on the bench. They should give him less carries going forward and find another back that can be more productive to go with Gibbs.

That is a bit of a misleading stat. while I won't argue that Gibbs is better, usage has a big role to play in those stats. If Monty was given a good portion of the 3rd and shorts, or goal line carries, that can skew the results.

 

[msadows]

That is a bit of a misleading stat. while I won't argue that Gibbs is better, usage has a big role to play in those stats. If Monty was given a good portion of the 3rd and shorts, or goal line carries, that can skew the results.

This is like henderson vs. judkins in this draft. Henderson had a much higher YPC because judkins was the short yardage and goal line back

 

[bamainatlanta]

That is a bit of a misleading stat. while I won't argue that Gibbs is better, usage has a big role to play in those stats. If Monty was given a good portion of the 3rd and shorts, or goal line carries, that can skew the results.

Well they have almost identical usage rates in short yardage plays. Gibbs had 17 Goal Line rushes while Monty had 17 Goal Line rushes.
Monty had an EPA of 1.30 with Gibbs at 25.13. DVOA is almost double for Gibbs as well.

With power runs--which are usually ideal for short yardage runs--Gibbs had 16 touches with Monty at 12. Monty has a slightly higher success rate at 48% to Gibbs 44% but Gibbs had a 16.9% explosive run rate to Monty's 9.2%. They both averaged the same amount of yards after contact 2.9yds. Gibbs though didn't usually get touched until he already had 2.8yds--this is likely due to him being faster, quicker and he doesn't unnecessarily tap dance behind the line like Monty does. Monty did have 45 carries for 0-3yds to go(regardless of field position) to Gibbs 36 in the same situation. Fantasy Pros has slightly different numbers from DVOA and PFR but they still fall around the same difference between the 2 players.

I dont know the numbers for pass blocking, but Monty has typically more than excelled there. If I'm Detroit, I'd be looking to find a more explosive backfield mate for the 2026 season. Detroit's offense with him on the field is easier to defend than Gibbs being out there.

 

[DaBears3434]

That's what I said, I said he's not good because of his age, so why are you arguing with me?

It’s weirdly worded, but he’s saying the reason he is not good is NOT because of his age. He just thinks he’s not a good RB to begin with.

 

[hyatt151]

He's not wrong boys, time to load up on the Kool Aid.

TikTok - Make Your Day

he predicted the same shit last year, how did that work out

 

[hyatt151]

Well they have almost identical usage rates in short yardage plays. Gibbs had 17 Goal Line rushes while Monty had 17 Goal Line rushes.
Monty had an EPA of 1.30 with Gibbs at 25.13. DVOA is almost double for Gibbs as well.

With power runs--which are usually ideal for short yardage runs--Gibbs had 16 touches with Monty at 12. Monty has a slightly higher success rate at 48% to Gibbs 44% but Gibbs had a 16.9% explosive run rate to Monty's 9.2%. They both averaged the same amount of yards after contact 2.9yds. Gibbs though didn't usually get touched until he already had 2.8yds--this is likely due to him being faster, quicker and he doesn't unnecessarily tap dance behind the line like Monty does. Monty did have 45 carries for 0-3yds to go(regardless of field position) to Gibbs 36 in the same situation. Fantasy Pros has slightly different numbers from DVOA and PFR but they still fall around the same difference between the 2 players.

I dont know the numbers for pass blocking, but Monty has typically more than excelled there. If I'm Detroit, I'd be looking to find a more explosive backfield mate for the 2026 season. Detroit's offense with him on the field is easier to defend than Gibbs being out there.

especially in the passing game for explosives

 

[hyatt151]

Other teams got better too?

The Lions bolstering their secondary doesn't help Jared Goff play any better against good defenses. Goff is exactly who you would expect him to be.

The Eagles bolstering their secondary doesn't help Jalen Hurts turn the ball over any less. Plus the anchor of their entire offensive line retired.

The reason Nick Wright and Colin Cowherd are bold about the Chicago Bears is because it comes down to the QB and they both know that the NFC doesn't have the QB talent to dethrone the Bears if Caleb Williams is as anticipated.

They're both thinking (and I don't know if they're right) that Caleb Williams will be the best QB in the NFC by the end of the season. If Williams is the best QB in the NFC by the time the divisional games come around the Bears could steamroll into the playoffs.

your predictiond have a lot of @msadows in them LOL

 

[hyatt151]

Sure it is. But I've gotten my hopes up way too many times to fully buy in until it translates onto the field. Caleb is the next shiny thing. And despite my "haul" stance...I really, really, really hope he turns into what a lot of people are predicting he will be. After all, I'm a Bears fan first.

a sensible post in a nonsensensical thread

 

[hyatt151]

Firstly - you linked a TikTok?

Secondly - I definitely see a playoff push with a strong back field led by Roschon ‘leveon’ bell

Turned out more like Roschon BUST Johnson

 

[ijustposthere]

Mixon averaged 4.1 YPC in '24 the same he averaged 2019 and 2021 and more than in 2020, 2022, and 2023. In only one year in his career did he average more than 4.1. Perhaps he is in decline but he appeared to ramp it back up last year to hit his career YPC average.

No one cares about ypc lol

 

[msadows]

your predictiond have a lot of @msadows in them LOL

to be fair he was right about goofy. Goofy is the same guy he always is when he's pressured or plays in big games.

You might be more athletic at your old age than jared goofy

 

[DaBears3434]

he predicted the same shit last year, how did that work out

What do you mean that he predicted the same thing last year? The post you quoted WAS his prediction from last year.

 

[DanielCCSBears]

he predicted the same shit last year, how did that work out

This is from last year fucktard

 

[KittiesKorner]

@hyatt151 does your vascular dementia make you feel butthurt again about things that got you butthurt long ago in a sort of ironic twist?

 

[hyatt151]

@hyatt151 does your vascular dementia make you feel butthurt again about things that got you butthurt long ago in a sort of ironic twist?

only thing ironic is you brlieving you have a clue about NFL football

 

[Leon Sandcastle]

only thing ironic is you brlieving you have a clue about NFL football

At least he knows who his favorite team is. When did you switch?

 

[hyatt151]

At least he knows who his favorite team is. When did you switch?

I never switched, I was always a lions fan, only a troll bears fan