Official NFL Draft Thread - Bear Fans Only - and No Montucky!

[Xplosive]

Terrible analogy. Someone being their mortgage to the #10 pick has zero correlation

Can you give a better correlation for drafting a player with horrible production at his position with a premium draft pick just because he is a great overall athlete?

The only reward for suffering through the 2024 season is having better draft picks so to use that on someone so risky, I absolutely think it's similar to betting everything on a longshot.

 

[Gustavus Adolphus]

View attachment 45008

I hate it.

 

[Gustavus Adolphus]

I mean... I guess you're right it is arrogant. Although I didn't say it was a risk simply because I didn't like him.

This isn't exactly rocket science and I've seen enough GMs come and go who believed they were the smartest in the room and wasted picks on their hunches despite it being obvious to most that it's a dumb choice.

If Shemar Stewart turns into Myles Garrett no one will care, but the odds of that are extremely high.

Myles Garrett is an all-time great. That's a bit of an unfair comparison, no?

You're going one on one with The Undertaker.

 

[bamainatlanta]

View attachment 45010


Myles Garrett is an all-time great. That's a bit of an unfair comparison, no?

You're going one on one with The Undertaker.

I guess he wants generational talent from the 10th pick because Myles Garrett went #1 overall?? I’m trying my hardest to make sense of this.

 

[TL1961]

I guess he wants generational talent from the 10th pick because Myles Garrett went #1 overall?? I’m trying my hardest to make sense of this.

I started typing a reply asking the same question he's ignored previously, but I realize this is a vortex that isn't ending soon, and I didn't want to get caught in it.

I get liking certain players and not wanting others. And I am not advocating for drafting Stewart. But I can't understand why he keeps calling it "risky". Why is it any more "risky" than anyone else?

But most of all, the notion that if the Bears draft him at 10 and he plays like a guy worthy of a #10 pick, it's still a stupid move. That's one heck of a take. I mean if drafting players worthy of being drafted at their respective positions is stupid, give me stupid!

 

[bamainatlanta]

I started typing a reply asking the same question he's ignored previously, but I realize this is a vortex that isn't ending soon, and I didn't want to get caught in it.

I get liking certain players and not wanting others. And I am not advocating for drafting Stewart. But I can't understand why he keeps calling it "risky". Why is it any more "risky" than anyone else?

But most of all, the notion that if the Bears draft him at 10 and he plays like a guy worthy of a #10 pick, it's still a stupid move. That's one heck of a take. I mean if drafting players worthy of being drafted at their respective positions is stupid, give me stupid!

Amazing part is knocking the GM for going on a hunch and getting it right but what does that mean for players that are drafted on advanced metrics and other characteristics but end up busting? Does that validate the GM’s decision? I don’t want Stewart either, and nor do I want Warren, but I will root for whoever they draft. Whatever I think is inconsequential at the end of the day.

 

[playthrough2001]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911400727907602461

 

[knoxville7]

Well that’s not a good thing lol

Could just be that he isn’t the most well spoken of guys and/or intelligent. Trying to protect him from himself. Just playing devils advocate

 

[playthrough2001]

The Saints will all be getting employee discount pricing at Ralph Lauren!

https://www.tiktok.com/video/7491486224629124382

 

[Nelly]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911400727907602461

That's been obvious for a while now, which is a little crazy. If this year's Ward was in last year's draft, do you take him over Penix?

 

[Luke]

Hard to imagine why a team would trade up to 10 to leapfrog the 49ers or Cowboys.
I think the Bears will stick and pick but it could go several ways.
top 10 odds as of April 10th.

1. Tennessee Titans: QB Cameron Ward, Miami (Fl.)​

As with Caleb Williams last year, it now appears all but certain that Cam Ward will be selected No. 1 overall. With odds on some sportsbooks as high as -20000, we can safely pencil Ward in as the draft’s top pick. While the Titans were reportedly engaged in trade talks earlier in the cycle, recent reports suggest they’re likely to move forward with Ward as their new franchise quarterback.

---

2. Cleveland Browns: WR/CB Travis Hunter, Colorado​

Following Travis Hunter’s pro day last week, betting markets shifted — with sportsbooks now favoring him over Abdul Carter as the likely No. 2 overall pick. As of now, FanDuel lists Hunter at -280 to go second overall. Questions remain about whether Hunter will focus on playing wide receiver or cornerback or continue as a two-way player in the NFL, but with Cleveland holding the pick and needing help at both positions, the market movement makes sense.

---

3. New York Giants EDGE Abdul Carter, Penn State​

If Cam Ward and Travis Hunter come off the board as expected, Abdul Carter becomes the clear favorite to go No. 3 overall. Sportsbooks currently give Carter better than a 60% chance to land with the Giants, who may opt for the best player available rather than force a pick at quarterback with Jameis Winston and Russell Wilson still on the roster. Even without an urgent need off the edge, Carter’s elite profile makes him tough to pass up.

---

4. New England Patriots: T Will Campbell, LSU​

The market currently projects Will Campbell as the favorite to land with the Patriots at No. 4 overall, with odds hovering around -125 — implying better than a 50% chance. Adding a high-end tackle like Campbell would give New England a much-needed anchor on the offensive line to help protect franchise quarterback Drake Maye.

5. Jacksonville Jaguars: DI Mason Graham, Michigan​

The market currently projects Mason Graham to be the most likely pick for Jacksonville at No. 5 overall, with odds close to -125. Given that the Jaguars’ top two interior defensive linemen ranked 78th and 105th out of 118 qualifiers in PFF grade last season, Graham — the top interior defender on the PFF big board — would fill a major need.

---

6. Las Vegas Raiders: RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State​

Jeanty is currently a -135 favorite at FanDuel to be selected by the Raiders, a team that struggled to generate consistent production from its backfield in 2024. Known for targeting athletic, explosive prospects, Las Vegas could see Jeanty — one of the most dynamic runners in the class — as a classic Raiders-style pick.

---

7. New York Jets: T Armand Membou, Missouri​

Armand Membou sits just outside the projected top five, with markets listing him around +115 to be selected within the first five picks. If the board falls as expected, No. 7 to the Jets appears to be his most logical destination. With New York favored at -130 to take an offensive lineman first — and Will Campbell likely off the board — the market is pointing toward Membou as the second tackle taken.

---

8. Carolina Panthers: Edge Jalon Walker, Georgia ​

Walker is -350 to be selected before pick No. 9, and the Panthers — who need defensive reinforcements — appear to be the logical landing spot. Especially if Mason Graham is already off the board, the betting market is pointing to Walker at No. 8, with his draft position over/under set at 8.5.

9. New Orleans Saints: QB Shedeur Sanders, Colorado​

We’re entering “far less certain” territory, as the betting markets grow increasingly unsure of how the back half of the top 10 will unfold. Still, in the “first position drafted” market, sportsbooks suggest the Saints are leaning quarterback — with Shedeur Sanders the most likely pick at +270.

---

10. Chicago Bears: TE Tyler Warren, Penn State​

The Bears were among the heaviest spenders in free agency, so a trade down from this spot wouldn’t be surprising. But if they stay put — or if another team moves into this range — Tyler Warren is the name to watch, with odds of -210 to be selected in the top 10.


Are the highlighted the most likely for the Bears?
these are from the 11th

Ashton Jeanty	O 9.5 (+200) / U 9.5 (-250)
Cameron Ward	O 1.5 (+1300) / U 1.5 (-10000)
Colston Loveland	O 19.5 (+175) / U 19.5 (-225)
Emeka Egbuka	O 29.5 (+110) / U 29.5 (-140)
Jahdae Barron	O 17.5 (-200) / U 17.5 (+160)
Jaxson Dart	O 24.5 (+150) / U 24.5 (-200)
Jihaad Campbell	O 18.5 (-160) / U 18.5 (+130)
Kelvin Banks Jr	O 13.5 (+155) / U 13.5 (-195)
Malaki Starks	O 23.5 (-115) / U 23.5 (-115)
Mason Graham	O 5.5 (+125) / U 5.5 (-155)
Matthew Golden	O 17.5 (-115) / U 17.5 (-115)
Mike Green	O 17.5 (+110) / U 17.5 (-140)
Mykel Williams	O 15.5 (-130) / U 15.5 (+100)
Omarion Hampton	O 19.5 (-180) / U 19.5 (+145)
Shedeur Sanders	O 8.5 (-250) / U 8.5 (+200)
Tyler Warren	O 9.5 (-160) / U 9.5 (+130)

 

[--CyBear--]

He also said that he sees Warren as an in line TE and redundant to Kmet, and stated a better fit at TE will likely be there at 39

I see draft boards with Loveleand ranked above Warren. He's also a VG blocker but more dynamic route runner. Played with a shoulder that needed surgery most of last year and still put up great #s. I know some here won't draft inured players but for me. I take a Doc's word for it. It's football and if you avoid everyone with a ding, you can't field a team.

 

[--CyBear--]

Pure receiving TE go Loveland.

This but he's more. Had to lighten his blocking load last year with a bad shoulder. He's actually a VG blocker.

 

[playthrough2001]

That's been obvious for a while now, which is a little crazy. If this year's Ward was in last year's draft, do you take him over Penix?

No way.

 

[--CyBear--]

#TeamTradeDown

This but the the board looks bad for another team to trade up. Fortunately, drafts almost always have surprises and a guy that falls for no apparent reason.

 

[DefNextYear]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911646955681312978

 

[playthrough2001]

If Travis Hunter was only a CB and not viewed as this CB/WR hybrid, would you draft him over Will Johnson?

@Wild_x_Card @bamainatlanta @BaBaBlacksheep @DefNextYear @Xplosive @msadows @Discus fish salesman @Luke @satchice @HearshotKDS @HeHateMe @Les Grossman @Midway Fields @Washington @ILoveDick @dennehy @dentfan @SugarWalls
@Nelly @gallagher @Enasic @sevvy @knoxville7 @TL1961 @Gustavus Adolphus @dabears70 @cameronkrazie86 @Leon Sandcastle

 

[knoxville7]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911646955681312978

Gen…gen…generational??!!

 

[msadows]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1911646955681312978

Because they come from schemes that run the ball first.

Derp

 

[knoxville7]

If Travis Hunter was only a CB and not viewed as this CB/WR hybrid, would you draft him over Will Johnson?

@Wild_x_Card @bamainatlanta @BaBaBlacksheep @DefNextYear @Xplosive @msadows @Discus fish salesman @Luke @satchice @HearshotKDS @HeHateMe @Les Grossman @Midway Fields @Washington @ILoveDick @dennehy @dentfan @SugarWalls
@Nelly @gallagher @Enasic @sevvy @knoxville7 @TL1961 @Gustavus Adolphus @dabears70 @cameronkrazie86 @Leon Sandcastle

Yes

He is that good in coverage and I prefer his length over Johnson’s. But Johnson is still damn good