One Cub on BA Mid-season Top 50 Prospects

[Jntg4]

Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Prospects Blog | Midseason Top 50 Prospects List

Brett Jackson nowhere to be found, but Javier Baez is up to #25 already, time to get excited (and wait years before that excitement is turned in)!

Ranked higher than Hak-Ju Lee (#47)

1. Dylan Bundy, rhp, Orioles
2. Jurickson Profar, ss, Rangers
3. Wil Myers, of, Royals
4. Taijuan Walker, rhp, Mariners
5. Danny Hultzen, lhp, Mariners
6. Gerrit Cole, rhp, Pirates
7. Tyler Skaggs, lhp, Diamondbacks
8. Jose Fernandez, rhp, Marlins
9. Manny Machado, ss, Orioles
10. Zack Wheeler, rhp, Mets
11. Mike Olt, 3b, Rangers
12. Nick Castellanos, 3B, Tigers
13. Matt Barnes, rhp, Red Sox
14. Francisco Lindor, ss, Indians
15. Jameson Taillon, rhp, Pirates
16. Archie Bradley, rhp, Diamondbacks
17. Nolan Arenado, 3b, Rockies
18. Oscar Taveras, of, Cardinals
19. Travis D'Arnaud, c, Blue Jays
20. Shelby Miller, rhp, Cardinals
21. Christian Yelich, of, Marlins
22. Miguel Sano, 3b, Twins
23. Jonathan Singleton, 1b, Astros
24. Julio Teheran, rhp, Braves
25. Javier Baez, ss, Cubs

Stopped at 25 for this quote.

No Soler?

 

[FirstTimer]

Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Prospects Blog | Midseason Top 50 Prospects List

Brett Jackson nowhere to be found, but Javier Baez is up to #25 already, time to get excited (and wait years before that excitement is turned in)!

Ranked higher than Hak-Ju Lee (#47)



Stopped at 25 for this quote.

No Soler?

Soler hasn't done anything. All these guys are producing at the MiLB IIRC. Would be tough to wedge Soler in there.

 

[waldo7239117]

Yeah Soler needs to play in games.

 

[daddies3angels]

So Jackson is producing even though his K rate is out of the world cant make top 50 but Shelby Miller of STL has a 6+ ERA in AAA still number #20. How that work?

 

[Rice Cube]

So Jackson is producing even though his K rate is out of the world cant make top 50 but Shelby Miller of STL has a 6+ ERA in AAA still number #20. How that work?

Because whoever made the list isn't a Cubs homer? *shrug*

Possibly due to age as well.

 

[daddies3angels]

Because whoever made the list isn't a Cubs homer? *shrug*

Possibly due to age as well.

or is a Cardinal homer *shrug*

 

[DewsSox79]

I think it should be all cubs players in the top 25.

 

[waldo7239117]

I think it should be all cubs players in the top 25.

Yes indeed! Since it's not, the list loses all credability.

 

[FirstTimer]

So Jackson is producing even though his K rate is out of the world cant make top 50 but Shelby Miller of STL has a 6+ ERA in AAA still number #20. How that work?

Maybe because he's a 21 year old in the PCL?

 

[dabynsky]

Maybe because he's a 21 year old in the PCL?

Also because Baseball America leans heavily on scouts moreso than statistical analysis. Miller has got really good stuff and would trade just about anything to get him in our system despite the performance in AAA to date.

 

[Jntg4]

I don't see why Jackson falls from 32 to unranked though, seems a bit extreme imo.

 

[FirstTimer]

I don't see why Jackson falls from 32 to unranked though, seems a bit extreme imo.

Likely is in part to due with his continued contact issues and other guys really jumping up and playing well.

It's not just because of Jackson..the other players are factors as well.

 

[Rice Cube]

Just because he's not listed on a prospect list doesn't mean Brett Jackson is complete shit, either

 

[Jntg4]

When the next WSD Top Prospects List comes out, hopefully we'll have a shitload of new talent... but then again, Garza is the only guy we'll be getting anything for so it wouldn't be likely .

 

[Rice Cube]

Your best approach should be to realize that prospects are good to have around but that they have a huge failure rate. So when most of the guys on your list tank you won't be surprised, though it's okay to feel some disappointment.

 

[2SeamHeat]

Your best approach should be to realize that prospects are good to have around but that they have a huge failure rate. So when most of the guys on your list tank you won't be surprised, though it's okay to feel some disappointment.

Precisely. With how excellent the draft was last year (Baez, Vogelbach, Maples, Dunston, DeVoss, Zych, Marra, Scott) and this year (Almora, Johnson, Blackburn, Underwood, McNeil, Prieto, Lang) and all of those guys being very strong picks due to talent potential... they will be rated as excellent drafts in the long run if just 4-5 of those guys make it to the majors and fill significant roles (or end up in trades to bring back a significant player). That's 4-5 guys out of 92 selected.

 

[Rice Cube]

I wrote a blurb about it once upon a time.

Why prospects? | World Series Dreaming

It's mostly a matter of maximizing the talent ceiling in your early round picks and playing the numbers game because you know about 90% of your draftees will likely never see MLB.

 

[dabynsky]

I wrote a blurb about it once upon a time.

Why prospects? | World Series Dreaming

It's mostly a matter of maximizing the talent ceiling in your early round picks and playing the numbers game because you know about 90% of your draftees will likely never see MLB.

Shameless self-plug

 

[2SeamHeat]

Likely is in part to due with his continued contact issues and other guys really jumping up and playing well.

It's not just because of Jackson..the other players are factors as well.

I think this is spot on. The guys that have passed Jackson up have shown progress... where Jackson's contact issues make him look like a guy that won't cut it in the majors at this point.

Jackson's going to slide even more come the post season rankings. There will be guys in that list who were just drafted and signed. The new first-rounders will almost always take precedence over first rounders from 2-3 years ago that still hold a ton of potential, but are kind of scuffling in certain ways. When the next lists come out, I doubt Jackson will be ranked in the Cubs' top 5 spects. (Soler, Almora, Baez, Szczur, and possibly the resurgent Vitters or Vogelbach could be rated higher than Jackson.)

 

[Rice Cube]

The strikeout thing is going to be magnified in the majors but the fact that he's still OPSing over .800 (albeit in a league that's a hitter's paradise) should mitigate some of those concerns. Wish he'd get the strikeout rate at least under 25% but whatcha gonna do...