If your team can't scout or develop players it doesn't matter where you're picking. First, tenth, twentieth...the team with proven people who can identify good players and get the most out of good players is going to fare better no matter way they pick. Say what you will about Jason Garrett or Dan Quinn (or if you dare yourself to believe Mike Tomlin will leave Pittsburgh) they have that proven track record.
Caleb Williams isn't coming. Its not happening. His family is already saying they feel no pressure to enter the pros this year, and there is precedent of this in the NFL's past. Nobody is coming here to coach Caleb Williams, Bears fans have to let go of this delusion now.
No, you don't give away hope of Caleb until he officially returns to college.
I can give you over 50 millions reasons on why he will come out this year.
He would be a FOOL, not a fool, to return to college. If he returns to college, the best thing that can happen to him is for him to wait one more year for that huge contract that he can get after his rookie deal is done, which by that time, would be closer to 70 million for that one year than the 50 million I mentioned before.
Do you think that he is going to get that type of money for his one year of his NIL deal? Because that is with what his family is threatening the NFL by saying that he is thinking about returning to college.
The worst case scenario is a major injury that ruins his chances in the NFL. Even a bad year in 2024 would cause his stock to drop, making him lose much more money than he would have made with the 2024 NIL deal.
By the way ...
Do you know who cannot scout players?
Jason Garrett and Dan Quinn. There is also no certainty that they can develop players either.