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This guy is elite, he is on the board and we should discuss. (discussed in third post, is idea that to win this draft we have to take Fournette off the board so that we can negotiate a fair trade for the pick, precisely because nobody thinks we will, the Jaguars could benefit from an elite running back and teams may want to jump them, as I think about this, a trade down with Fournette as the chip is one of the more likely draft day scenarios, but this post first about considering keeping him)
The Case for Mike Williams is easy. For one, you could double dip potentially on a slight trade up for Watson. Instantly bringing a chunk of the cog of the best college offense to Chicago.
It entirely revolves around Jeffery. If we go into the draft in May without Jeffery...is Mike Williams in play?
There are only a few "elite" players for me in this draft. We could draft for position, but sitting at #3 is tricky, because you don't get the obvious elite players probably like Garrett, and with less certainty taking need is more probable. We can't do that, we have to take an elite player whatever position they play. At #3 particularly I would advocate for BPA.
Is BPA going to be Fournette?
Elite players
Fournette, Garrett, Hooker
Hooker caught an STD and is undraftable at #3 without running or combine, imo, already coming injured. What was a safety reach, became impossible.
That means its really likely Fournette is the only guaranteed elite player available to us.
We don't need him. We have Howard? You need two backs...why not have two great ones? Why not have two flavors. Why not have a tormenting backfield that can dominate you even with one pro-bowl running back out. We could have 2 x 1000 for 4-6 years and probably make a trade and bring back some of the value. Elongate Howards career. Preserve them both.
Allan and Watson and Trubs and Adams have the upside of the 3 players above. Probably Mike Williams is close, and there are others. But all have at least one big red flag after you pass on those big 3.
Watson is the hardest to evaluate for me because of Mike Williams. About the only thing we knock him for, is these risky out passes.
At 68% and with the eye ball test, Watson is more accurate than Trubs particularly, but also Kizer. But he throws these wreckless out balls. And just floats it up to the edge.
But the case could be made he does that BECAUSE he has wideouts that will probably win that, and for no other reason. He manages games impeccably, because he has the gas in the tank to burn at the end if and only if he needs to take risk. Then he does, and he probably wins. This is how every NFL game materializes, and last drive wins.
Ask yourself this...
3 years from now. Its a first round playoff game. Down 4. Final drive. Do you want Watson or do you want Trubisky? If we are all honest with ourselves, that question should bring a few over to the Watson camp. If you pass on Watson, I recommend you are damn sure. And to soften the potential blow, take the most likely Hall of Famer.
Garrett or Fournette.
The Case for Mike Williams is easy. For one, you could double dip potentially on a slight trade up for Watson. Instantly bringing a chunk of the cog of the best college offense to Chicago.
It entirely revolves around Jeffery. If we go into the draft in May without Jeffery...is Mike Williams in play?
There are only a few "elite" players for me in this draft. We could draft for position, but sitting at #3 is tricky, because you don't get the obvious elite players probably like Garrett, and with less certainty taking need is more probable. We can't do that, we have to take an elite player whatever position they play. At #3 particularly I would advocate for BPA.
Is BPA going to be Fournette?
Elite players
Fournette, Garrett, Hooker
Hooker caught an STD and is undraftable at #3 without running or combine, imo, already coming injured. What was a safety reach, became impossible.
That means its really likely Fournette is the only guaranteed elite player available to us.
We don't need him. We have Howard? You need two backs...why not have two great ones? Why not have two flavors. Why not have a tormenting backfield that can dominate you even with one pro-bowl running back out. We could have 2 x 1000 for 4-6 years and probably make a trade and bring back some of the value. Elongate Howards career. Preserve them both.
Allan and Watson and Trubs and Adams have the upside of the 3 players above. Probably Mike Williams is close, and there are others. But all have at least one big red flag after you pass on those big 3.
Watson is the hardest to evaluate for me because of Mike Williams. About the only thing we knock him for, is these risky out passes.
At 68% and with the eye ball test, Watson is more accurate than Trubs particularly, but also Kizer. But he throws these wreckless out balls. And just floats it up to the edge.
But the case could be made he does that BECAUSE he has wideouts that will probably win that, and for no other reason. He manages games impeccably, because he has the gas in the tank to burn at the end if and only if he needs to take risk. Then he does, and he probably wins. This is how every NFL game materializes, and last drive wins.
Ask yourself this...
3 years from now. Its a first round playoff game. Down 4. Final drive. Do you want Watson or do you want Trubisky? If we are all honest with ourselves, that question should bring a few over to the Watson camp. If you pass on Watson, I recommend you are damn sure. And to soften the potential blow, take the most likely Hall of Famer.
Garrett or Fournette.