First off, I think it will be a competitive game regardless of who wins but that last paragraph of your post, I could reverse the teams and it would still be true.
Like this:
See, going homer to combat your opponents homerism doesn't prove anything.
Here's the way I see it. Both offenses will struggle running the ball early and will generally struggle in the first quarter of the game while they feel out the opposing defense. It will all come down to which QB plays better, imo. Cutler has to deal with his sub-par o-line against a top flight pass rush. He needs to get the ball out quick into his play-makers hands and frustrate the pass rush. Schaub enjoys better protection against the top flight pass rush of the Bears, but will be forced to stay patient and grind out long drives to get points as their usual deep chunk passes probably won't be available. That goes against the basic philosophy of Kubiak's offense, but certainly isn't an impossible feat. His receivers will need to absorb the beating the Bears secondary and LB put on receivers every week as they allow them to catch the underneath stuff, and hold on to the ball while doing so.
Both offenses face a pretty monumental task, and it will depend on which one can put their team on their back and win the game. My money is on Jay, but I'm admittedly biased.
Of course, if either team gets their run game established early, they have a very clear and distinct advantage. It would seem that Houston has a better chance of pulling this off from a talent perspective and from a play calling perspective, their yards per carry are down quite a bit this year. It will be a great game and I'm really looking forward to it.
