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I realize you'll always have your late bloomers or those who just take a little longer to get it but any QB who makes it to the NFL can show you good passes here and there, so that's no real cause for optimism. Geno Smith once had a game against Miami with 3 TDs and a perfect rating of 158.3 but I wouldn't want him as my QB.Yes to your point about qbs showing something early on. Every player, any position has a different level of catching on to the pro game. Different intangibles are there for each player. O. Kreutz sucked his rookie season, so did Peanut.
So each of those qbs you mentioned showed something in their rookie season. MT has shown some great passes for completions, not enough proof for some people, ok ...but he has not done anything to be written off yet either.
He's shown some terrible passes along with terrible footwork as well as some great footwork. Holds on to the ball to long, isn't reading defenses supposedly one of the toughest things for a rook qb to learn? So he has to read the coverage and decide whether or not the crappy wr can make a play. He hasn't thrown a lot of picks.
I havn't seen enough to think he will bust, contrary to some who are already judging him this early that he will. If he comes out of the gate poorly next year then it may be time to go to the ledge. This is just a learning year.
I'm not calling Trubisky a bust at this point. I am saying it would be wise to bring in another QB, with your next coaching staff, to compete. I'm not seeing the things in Trubisky that warrant the feel on this board that he'll eventually come around and be a real good QB.