2011 PECOTA Team Projections

[nickofypres]

Sporting News and some other magazine had the Sox winning the AL Central fwiw.

 

[Jntg4]

Sporting News and some other magazine had the Sox winning the AL Central fwiw.

Who's they have for the other divisions?

 

[nickofypres]

I don't remember honestly, I was just looking at the AL Central in line for the Czech-out.

 

[DewsSox79]

I think everyone is taking this Baseball Prospectus stuff incorrectly.

IIRC BP's projections they come out with are the average of thousand of simulations they run rather than a one time predictor of what a team will do. That's why so many teams end up around .500 or barely over in these things.

how much stock do you put in the actual results?

 

[FirstTimer]

how much stock do you put in the actual results?

Not much really. I mean it's interesting conversation fodder but IMO I'm more interested in what they see the individual players doing rather than the teams. And even then it's more for the "gee whizz" file than anything I'd waste time talking about at any real length.

This year I think they underrated what ARam will do and overrated what Soriano will do.

 

[FirstTimer]

Who's they have for the other divisions?

I'll try and find my magazine and post it.