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Diehardfan

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My favorite teams
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  1. Chicago Bulls
  1. Chicago Bears
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Congrats on your world series last year
I was about to say....we can always slide over to the south side to see some "good" baseball. Of course, that always comes to a screeching halt after game 162.
 

CSF77

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Projected in a neutral park, ZiPS has Suzuki as a better-than-league-average corner outfielder but one who projects below All-Star levels without another step forward:


ZiPS Projection – Seiya Suzuki
YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSBOPS+DRWAR
2022.287.351.480529811522922385491212402.6
2023.285.350.4885027714329223814710125-12.5
2024.282.349.4794897413829221784710122-12.2
2025.281.347.479474721332722176459122-12.1
2026.278.341.466457671272521971428117-21.6
ZiPS suggests a five-year, $83 million contract for Suzuki, though some of that wouldn’t be part of his contract, with a chunk instead going to the Carp as a posting fee. (Based on the ZiPS’ projected contract, the posting fee would be about $14 million under MLB’s current arrangement with NPB, and I swear, I didn’t change Suzuki’s cut to $69 million in order to make that joke.)



ZiPS Projections – Adding Seiya Suzuki
TeamPlayoff ProbablityWith SuzukiDifference
Philadelphia Phillies23.5%39.0%15.5%
Milwaukee Brewers57.7%71.5%13.8%
Oakland Athletics24.8%38.1%13.3%
New York Mets58.7%69.4%10.7%
San Diego Padres70.4%81.1%10.7%
St. Louis Cardinals65.5%75.6%10.1%
Los Angeles Angels24.7%34.7%10.0%
Boston Red Sox30.5%40.1%9.6%
Cincinnati Reds17.3%26.6%9.3%
Detroit Tigers10.4%19.6%9.3%
Atlanta Braves70.3%79.5%9.2%
Toronto Blue Jays63.8%72.0%8.2%
San Francisco Giants19.7%27.6%7.9%
Miami Marlins15.8%23.4%7.6%
Seattle Mariners17.4%23.8%6.4%
Cleveland Guardians17.5%23.6%6.1%
Minnesota Twins8.8%14.5%5.7%
Chicago Cubs6.8%12.4%5.6%
Los Angeles Dodgers87.9%92.9%5.0%
Kansas City Royals6.7%11.7%5.0%
Chicago White Sox74.8%79.8%5.0%
Tampa Bay Rays61.7%66.2%4.5%
Washington Nationals4.3%8.1%3.8%
Texas Rangers3.0%5.5%2.5%
New York Yankees74.3%76.5%2.2%
Arizona Diamondbacks1.5%3.4%1.9%
Houston Astros81.6%82.7%1.1%
Pittsburgh Pirates0.3%1.4%1.1%
Colorado Rockies0.1%0.5%0.4%
Baltimore Orioles0.1%0.1%0.0%
 

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