Sorry did you miss where I said his adjusted completion % is 64% while his expected throw percentage is 61.7%. Your bad throw percentage stat is irrelevant because either a pass is on target and catchable or it is not. So Fields is 2.3% above his expected completion percentage which is better than Dalton. Period. End of story.
You argument was that Dalton was more accurate. This simply is not true when you look at what % of passes they were expected to complete and what % of their passes were actually on target. You can't dispute this so now you move the goalposts to something that has nothing to do with their on target %.
I never originally brought up fields and his accuracy.. When all the blame was being put on the WR for Fields shortcomings all I did was point out that Dalton has a 64% completion with the same guys. Thats all I did and said. You brought up a bunch of hypothetical stats based on what should of happened.. OK and when you said that Dalton should of completed 69.3% of his passes and he only completed 64%.. then we can look to see why.. Well Daltons on target % is actually higher then his "expected" completions at 69.8% so its not on Dalton. So why is his comp % lower? Well his real completion % stat also includes, Throw aways, spikes, and WR drops.. so all of those added in are why his comp % is lower..
Now if you want to say that Fields real world completion % is so much lower because he is throwing deeper then that is completely reasonable and I agree with that. If you want to say that he is getting more drops because the deeper the ball is thrown, the harder it is for the WR to make the catch.. then sure we can agree with that as well..
But I have been saying that is one of the problems with trying to build an offense around a guy with Fields skillset.. there needs to be a perfect supporting cast around him to get consistent production. The OL has to hold longer to give the deeper routes time to develop. The deeper the ball is thrown the more the error in trajectory will happen, so the WR needs to have much more separation to help compensate for that. The Bears do not have that support system and lets be honest the chance of us having it before Fields is out of the league is not great.
Fields holds onto the ball to long and is not quick at reading a D and making quick decisions and throws BUT he is a very explosive player that has a fantastic deep ball, so even if we manage to get a great OL that will give him the time he needs to play to his strengths.. one injury on the OL crushes the whole production.
The great thing about Jones is he reads the D correctly makes quick decisions and can get the ball out quick.. and as we have seen in the video when the D dictates it he is pretty good at hitting the intermediate and deeper routes. So if we happen to get an OL that can hold longer, then Jones can hit more of the intermediate and deep passes.. if we get an injury he goes back to the dink and dunk and quick game to keep the chains moving.. His skillset is more versatile and is compatible with a wide range of supporting cast.
Fields theoretical potential is higher.. but that potential will never been seen.. at least not on the Bears..
nextgenstats.nfl.com
