IGT: Cubs @ Dodgers Game 4(NLCS)

[CRM 114]

Okay, now I'm worried.

Hey Zack.

 

[DJMoore_is_fat]

I'll take that bet with you D.J. Urias will give up more than 2 runs for sure. I've watched him plenty, he will be lucky to get a quality start against this Cubs lineup.

He will give up at least one tater, and probably doesn't even make 6. 4 runs in 4 innings or something like that.

Appreciate the offer, but I want this bet with Fatboy.

 

[BaBaBlacksheep]

In the history of best-of-seven postseason series that were tied 1-1, the team that lost Game 3 has come back to win the series just 29.5 percent of the time.

In the League Championship Series, that rate drops to 27.3 percent.

And then there's this: Over the past 30 years, seven teams like the Cubs have found themselves in this precarious position -- down 2-1 in a best-of-seven series -- after winning 100 games that season. Only two have come back to win -- the 1995 Indians and the 1998 Yankees (both in the ALCS).

per ESPN

 

[fatbeard]

In the history of best-of-seven postseason series that were tied 1-1, the team that lost Game 3 has come back to win the series just 29.5 percent of the time.

In the League Championship Series, that rate drops to 27.3 percent.

And then there's this: Over the past 30 years, seven teams like the Cubs have found themselves in this precarious position -- down 2-1 in a best-of-seven series -- after winning 100 games that season. Only two have come back to win -- the 1995 Indians and the 1998 Yankees (both in the ALCS).

per ESPN

I love these cherry-picked stats. So there's something magical about Game 3 that makes winning it more important and more predictive in nature than the other games?

 

[beckdawg]

Stats like that ignore context. 538 had he cubs at like 40% odds IIRC despite being down 2 to 1.

 

[SilenceS]

Well fellas, all this negativity and Im just sitting here thinking.

[video=youtube;PdaaGlyu7EQ]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdaaGlyu7EQ[/video]

 

[Spunky Porkstacker]

If the game doesn't go well there is always the final debate to watch which would be similar except in the debate there will be 2 losers.

 

[bamainatlanta]

If the game doesn't go well there is always the final debate to watch which would be similar except in the debate there will be 2 losers.

Third loser would be the American people.

 

[Diehardfan]

If the game doesn't go well there is always the final debate to watch which would be similar except in the debate there will be 2 losers.

I read more than a few posts last night on how people will be "devastated" if the Cubs lose....it's a damn game. Devastation is the knowledge that one of these two boneheads is going to be the president of the United States.

 

[DJMoore_is_fat]

So who would you guys start? Here would be my life.

CF Fowler
3B Bryant
1B Rizzo
2B Zobrist
SS Baez
LF Contreras
C Ross
RF Almora

Basically we sacrifice D every where for potential offense by replacing the Loser Twins (Heyward and Russell). And I'm all for sacrificing D (we have no choice at this point)-- but the one move I just can't make is starting Soler. He's just too much of a disaster and it'd be suicide. Zero runs in 18 straight innings -- need to try something. And Russell and Heyward would basically ensure a combined 0-8 at the plate.

 

[TC in Mississippi]

So who would you guys start? Here would be my life.

CF Fowler
3B Bryant
1B Rizzo
2B Zobrist
SS Baez
LF Contreras
C Ross
RF Almora

Basically we sacrifice D every where for potential offense by replacing the Loser Twins (Heyward and Russell). And I'm all for sacrificing D (we have no choice at this point)-- but the one move I just can't make is starting Soler. He's just too much of a disaster and it'd be suicide. Zero runs in 18 straight innings -- need to try something. And Russell and Heyward would basically ensure a combined 0-8 at the plate.

I can't sit Russell and break the infield D that helped us all year, and Soler had one of the best AB of the game last night even if he didn't produce. I might catch Contreras but if it's LF I'm going Soler.

 

[SilenceS]

​

National League Championship Series

Game 4​

​

Chicago Cubs	@	Los Angeles Dodgers
1		2

Wednesday, October 19, 2016
7:08PM CDT

Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

TV: FS1
Radio: ESPN 1000 WBBM 780

​

Series Information​

​

Game	Results	Date	Time	TV
Game 1	Chicago vs LA Dodgers	10/15/16	7:07PM CDT	FS1
Game 2	Chicago vs LA Dodgers	10/16/16	7:07PM CDT	FS1
Game 3	Chicago @ LA Dodgers	10/18/16	7:07PM CDT	FS1
Game 4	Chicago @ LA Dodgers	10/19/16	7:07PM CDT	FS1
*Game 5	Chicago @ LA Dodgers	10/20/16		FS1
*Game 6	Chicago vs LA Dodgers	10/22/16		FS1
*Game 7	Chicago vs LA Dodgers	10/23/16		FS1

*If Necessary


​

---

​

Pitching Matchup
​

CHC John Lackey

LAD Julio Urias

​

Russell drops to 8th. Contreras and Heyward get the start. Lets go

 

[BaBaBlacksheep]

Russell drops to 8th. Contreras and Heyward get the start. Lets go

He's still playing so I hate it no matter where he hits.

 

[BaBaBlacksheep]

I love these cherry-picked stats. So there's something magical about Game 3 that makes winning it more important and more predictive in nature than the other games?

How are they cherry picked? They're stats. They are what they are. Anyways, I simply thought it was interesting. Nothing to shit the bed over, they still have to play the game.

 

[Rise]

I just don't get Zobrist batting 4th. Why not have him 2nd where he can just concentrate on getting on base? I get that Bryant has been batting 2nd basically all year but that's the change I would make.

 

[DJMoore_is_fat]

Wow Maddon is starting Russell and Heyward. I love Joe and we're lucky to have him - but he just delivered a guaranteed Death Sentence to the 2016 season. Urias to possibly pitch a no-hitter through 7 before Jansen puts our season in the Guillotine and chops our head off.

Incredible.

 

[BaBaBlacksheep]

Wow Maddon is starting Russell and Heyward. I love Joe and we're lucky to have him - but he just delivered a guaranteed Death Sentence to the 2016 season. Urias to possibly pitch a no-hitter through 7 before Jansen puts our season in the Guillotine and chops our head off.

Incredible.

It's like playing 6 vs 8.

(excluding the pitcher)

 

[CSF77]

Well that line up got you past round 1. Sometimes you have to say F-it and roll with what got you there.

 

[DJMoore_is_fat]

Maddon is a top 5 manager, but he does some things that are insane. For example, trotting Arrieta back out there last night after he gave up the two run homer. Every one I knew was shocked he sent him back out there the next inning. First pitch: Home Run.

And now on the heels of 18 straight scoreless innings, he starts two guys in Heyward and Russell who are guaranteed to combine for 0-8, at minimum -- if not 0-10. How could he possibly think this will end well?

 

[chibears55]

Urias will pitch 7 shut out innings with 8 K's and 0 BB's. He'll bridge to The Executioner, who will choke us out and end our season.

Winter meetings right around the corner for Theo to fix this.


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Fix it ?
Is Milton Bradley available to match up against the lefties for next year..?

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