Is Tibs worth the #1 overall pick in the 2014 NBA draft?

czman

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I have read and heard people talking about Tibs going to the Knicks. The only way that can happen is if the Bulls fire him (not likely) or they trade him. So my question is:

Would you trade Tibs to the Knicks for their 1st round pick?

How high would that pick have to be?
 

JosMin

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I have read and heard people talking about Tibs going to the Knicks. The only way that can happen is if the Bulls fire him (not likely) or they trade him. So my question is:

Would you trade Tibs to the Knicks for their 1st round pick?

How high would that pick have to be?

Well, considering the Nuggets have the Knicks' first-round pick this year (unprotected), I don't see that happening. I just don't think getting rid of Thibs is going to put the Bulls in a better position. I just don't see a potential Thibs replacement as an upgrade. Thibs is one of the five best coaches in the league.
 

czman

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Well, considering the Nuggets have the Knicks' first-round pick this year (unprotected), I don't see that happening. I just don't think getting rid of Thibs is going to put the Bulls in a better position. I just don't see a potential Thibs replacement as an upgrade. Thibs is one of the five best coaches in the league.

You are correct, they do have the pick. The question still stands though, just take the Knicks out.

What value would you put on Tibs in a trade?
 

JosMin

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I share the same mindset as Scoot -- unless Thibs comes to me and says he wants out of his contract to coach elsewhere, I'm not letting him go. He's far too valuable to the franchise that unless you have a guy available who's a complete no-brainer superstar (LeBron, Durant, etc), it's not worth getting rid of a top-tier coach.
 

czman

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I share the same mindset as Scoot -- unless Thibs comes to me and says he wants out of his contract to coach elsewhere, I'm not letting him go. He's far too valuable to the franchise that unless you have a guy available who's a complete no-brainer superstar (LeBron, Durant, etc), it's not worth getting rid of a top-tier coach.

Is anyone in this draft a complete no-brainer?
 

JosMin

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Is anyone in this draft a complete no-brainer?

I think there are a few picks that're "safe" in the sense that they have a high enough floor that they'll be quality NBA players for a long time (Jabari Parker, Marcus Smart, Andrew Wiggins, etc.) but I'm not 100% sure anyone is a slam dunk superstar. Between Embiid, Parker, Smart, Randle, and Wiggins, I think all of those guys will make at least one All-Star game in their career.
 

czman

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I don't follow college sports and I am not going to pretend too. I know there have been Hakeem and Melo references though. The think about the slam dunk pick is people did not think Durant was a slamdunk pick. Hindsight is 20/20. It will be easy to look back in 3+ years and redraft the players.

As far as Tibs for a top player. I think it is easier to get a top coach. If someone offered me the top pick for him I think I would do it. If I could get Hakeem or melo at 20 and put Rose/Noah/ and possibly a near max guy, if they Bulls move Gibson and Boozer, next to him them that would be a dynasty going forward.

Hell Pop may be available in a year or two if Duncan retires. I would take Pop over Tibs right now.
 

JosMin

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I don't follow college sports and I am not going to pretend too. I know there have been Hakeem and Melo references though. The think about the slam dunk pick is people did not think Durant was a slamdunk pick. Hindsight is 20/20. It will be easy to look back in 3+ years and redraft the players.

As far as Tibs for a top player. I think it is easier to get a top coach. If someone offered me the top pick for him I think I would do it. If I could get Hakeem or melo at 20 and put Rose/Noah/ and possibly a near max guy, if they Bulls move Gibson and Boozer, next to him them that would be a dynasty going forward.

Hell Pop may be available in a year or two if Duncan retires. I would take Pop over Tibs right now.

I talked about this on the CCS podcast a few weeks ago -- there's an interesting parallel between quality coaching. A great coach in the NBA is going to win you some guys, just like a terrible coach is going to lose you a few games with his ineptitude. An average coach, however, really don't get you anything. Right now, Thibs has willed this group to several wins based on his defensive concepts and the fact that he's in that roster's ass for 48 straight minutes. When you're talking about young players, their growing pains are going to be a hindrance. This team is in roster purgatory right now, and I like having the extra wins that Thibs gives us.

As for Durant, I'm not sure if he was a consensus "superstar" pick, but it was conventional wisdom that he was going to be a 20-point scorer in this league for 10+ years. I feel like the consensus "top five" right now (Parker, Smart, Wiggins, Embiid and Randle) are all All-Star caliber players who'll be quality NBA players for a long time. There are tons of other prospects with varying skill sets, but the only five guys I feel comfortable to say they'll be (without question) starters in the NBA from day one are the five I listed.
 

czman

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I talked about this on the CCS podcast a few weeks ago -- there's an interesting parallel between quality coaching. A great coach in the NBA is going to win you some guys, just like a terrible coach is going to lose you a few games with his ineptitude. An average coach, however, really don't get you anything. Right now, Thibs has willed this group to several wins based on his defensive concepts and the fact that he's in that roster's ass for 48 straight minutes. When you're talking about young players, their growing pains are going to be a hindrance. This team is in roster purgatory right now, and I like having the extra wins that Thibs gives us.

I guess what I was trying to say is you can find a coach who can give you extra wins. Look at the Suns. Hornacek looks like a really good coach. Vogel too. Tibs is really good, but the cost of finding a top coach is looking. and hiring correctly. The cost of finding a top player is much higher.

I am not sure if I would make the move, like I said I don't watch college ball. I don't know enough about any of these guys.

I do have one more question for you though. Do you think Bulls can win a ring with the roster as it is without adding another superstar and do you think the Bulls have a legitimate chance to add one. If you think they do, how would they do it?
 

Hoodey

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The Bulls are the stupidest franchise in the league if they let Thibs go.

Why? Do you think Tibs is Phil Jackson or something?

Players win.

I don't know how many times I have to tell people.. in a league with Lebron James, players like Noah, Butler, Gibson and a coach like Tibs don't matter UNLESS you have two stars above them.

You need Rose and another star of Rose's magnitude, and since Rose isn't a high FG% player, you need that other player to do that the way a DeMarcus Cousins can .... Andre Drummond, Roy Hibbert. Other players, whether you can get them or not (and I don't think you can get Hibbert) would be Lebron James, maybe a Jabari Parker. The list is usually short. I would mention other guys if Rose was say Michael Jordan and shot 53% from the field despite averaging 30 PPG. If you have one player like that or like Lebron, Shaq, etc. where they score at a very high percentage on a high PPG, THEN you have 20 guys who can be your other star.

Case in point.. Kobe Bryant... he was NOT good enough just like Rose is not good enough to pair him with ALL of the guys you could pair with Shaq, Jordan or Lebron. Kobe needed a post scorer like Shaq or two guys who could combine to do what Gasol and Bynum did. And somehow people think Rose doesn't?

Michael Jordan
Lebron James

These are your players in the entire history of the NBA to win multiple championships without a big time post scoring option. And yes, as the league changes, the type of post scorer may change.. maybe instead of ALL of the qualifying post scorers being like Hakeem, Ewing, Robinson (who was weak relative to the others in the post), and Shaq... maybe some of them are like Gasol and Duncan (4-5 tweeners who are closer to being fives but still not the size/explosive combo Hakeem was)... maybe some of them are like Bynum (09, 10) and Hibbert where they don't have even half of Hakeem or even Shaq's post skill, but they're just 280 lbs. .. just huge lumbering presences down low.

But, show me a post scorer or flat out efficient scoring superstar to pair with Rose FIRST (and to me NO.. Carmelo, Love, Aldridge DON'T qualify), then you can start talking to me about where Noah, Thibs, Gibson and Butler take you.

Until then I can guarantee you it won't be enough. When Rose comes back, even if we had Deng, we wouldn't be able to beat Miami by "trying harder and doing better." Cause that's what everyone thinks. "If they just PLAY WELL maybe they can beat Miami, Indiana and Oklahoma City." No.. they can't. And not for lack of effort, but because they aren't GOOD enough.

And thinking they are is as arrogant as a 92 Cavs or 92 Blazers fan thinking that Price, Nance and Daugherty or Drexler (who was the type of player who could be a headline act on a title team, but was not surrounded by another player like that), Buck Williams, Kersey and Porter were good enough to beat Jordan and Pippen.

Scottie Pippen and Michael Jordan really weren't harder workers than the rest of the leagues headline acts. They were just better. Do you think Scottie Pippen was a better locker room guy than Buck Williams? Or was he 6'7" with elite speed and jumping ability and a wingspan over 7'.. where Buck Williams just didn't have that athletic package of traits?

Thibs isn't going to bridge this gap that currently exists between the TOP of our roster and the top of the rosters of the teams who truly will battle it out for a title. And I know Bulls fans. Many will say, "oh, so a title has NEVER been won without an elite scorer." No, exceptions exist and lesser teams win in weaker leagues. But when you look at what wins in a STRONG league and what wins the majority of the time ... we aren't it! And Love, Melo or Aldridge aren't going to make us "it." Neither is fantasy Mirotic.

Here are your top two talents on title teams in the modern era...

80 - Abdul-Jabbar, Johnson
81 - Bird, Parrish
82 - Abdul-Jabbar, Johnson
83 - M. Malone, Erving
84 - Bird, McHale
85 - Johnson, Abdul-Jabbar
86 - Bird, McHale
87 - Johnson, Worthy
88 - Johnson, Scott
89 - Thomas, Dumars
90 - Thomas, Dumars
91 - Jordan, Pippen
92 - Jordan, Pippen
93 - Jordan, Pippen
94 - Olajuwon, K. Smith
95 - Olajuwon, Drexler
96 - Jordan, Pippen
97 - Jordan, Pippen
98 - Jordan, Pippen
99 - Duncan, Robinson
00 - O'neal, Bryant
01 - O'neal, Bryant
02 - O'neal, Bryant
03 - Duncan, Parker
04 - Hamilton, R. Wallace
05 - Duncan, Parker
06 - Wade, O'neal
07 - Duncan, Parker
08 - Garnett, Pierce
09 - Bryant, Gasol
10 - Bryant, Gasol
11 - Nowitzki, Chandler
12 - James, Wade
13 - James, Wade

Now, you can debate.. "well, was Billups in that top two on the Pistons," or "despite age and decline, was Kareem's post ability, even at such an old age, enough to make him a top two option in 88."

What you can't debate is that we don't pass the laugh test to be like most of those teams. And the teams, with Rose healthy, that we could EVEN SNIFF.. won in weak or down leagues.

89 Pistons - Magic suffering Kareem's decline, Jordan waiting on Pippen to mature
90 Pistons - " "
94 Rockets - Only had one star, but only BEAT teams with one star (Pippen's Bulls, Ewing's Knicks) in a VERY weak league suffering from Jordan's absence
99 Spurs - NBA was suffering a lockout, Jordan had just left Chicago, Shaq and Kobe were still a year away and lost to the JAZZ not the SPURS!
04 Pistons - Were given Wallace for nothing (btw, Wallace was more of a head case than Cousins.. a flat out ass hole to be honest), beat an imploding Laker team
11 Mavericks - Nowitzki peaked then went to another level and became unconscious during the playoffs, Riley knew the Heat were still gelling, thus the comment, "they better get us this year"

Every OTHER title team since 1979 would beat the Bulls AT LEAST as bad as they lost in the 2011 Eastern Conference Finals

But all you hear about is how awesome Noah is and how Thibs is like Red Auerbach..
 

czman

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ugh. I have a bad feeling about where this is about to go. Good thing I am leaving work in a few.


"you need that other player to do that the way a DeMarcus Cousins can .... Andre Drummond, Roy Hibbert."

Yikes........
 

Hoodey

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ugh. I have a bad feeling about where this is about to go. Good thing I am leaving work in a few.


"you need that other player to do that the way a DeMarcus Cousins can .... Andre Drummond, Roy Hibbert."

Yikes........

You don't think DeMarcus Cousins can score against Miami?

You don't think Roy Hibbert DID score v. Miami?

Check the 2013 ECF.. 22 PPG 55% FG

But you're not hearing this from KC Johnson, so it's immediately foreign to you and must be wrong. You want to hear about a players grit and heart and how romantic it is to get rug burns on your knees.
 

Crystallas

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See historically deep drafts. Teams have drafted players who fail to win anything with a top 3 pick, some teams draft a player that goes bust or has an injury plagued career, despite being a consensus #1/2/3.

Coaches are rarely a sure thing. Thibs and Pop are two coaches that are as close to a sure thing to help winning games, as we can get. You simply don't get rid of your sure things, or in this case, whatever you want to call a coach that is in this category. And another thing, if you think the Bulls can trade/fire Thibs and NOT send a bad signal to the rest of the league(which should imply why other good coaches would avoid Chicago, even PJax), then you'll live in a fantasy forever.
 

Hoodey

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See historically deep drafts. Teams have drafted players who fail to win anything with a top 3 pick, some teams draft a player that goes bust or has an injury plagued career, despite being a consensus #1/2/3.

Coaches are rarely a sure thing. Thibs and Pop are two coaches that are as close to a sure thing to help winning games, as we can get. You simply don't get rid of your sure things, or in this case, whatever you want to call a coach that is in this category. And another thing, if you think the Bulls can trade/fire Thibs and NOT send a bad signal to the rest of the league(which should imply why other good coaches would avoid Chicago, even PJax), then you'll live in a fantasy forever.

Without players coaches mean jack. Phil Jackson couldn't take Rose as Batman and Noah as Robin and beat Miami. Nor could Red Auerbach.

If you wouldn't trade Thibs for a shot at Jabari Parker you would just be a terrible GM and there is no way around that fact.
 

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Does anyone think that some of the stars in this league would not want to play for Thibs because of how hard he works his players? Most of these guys are pretty much prima donnas. It might have to be a pretty special guy I think.
 

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