Official NFL Draft Thread - Bear Fans Only - and No Montucky!

[baredown]

If that was the issue, then Hunter wouldn’t be such a lock to go 2, according to the odds.

Nope. That is exactly what those bets mean, namely pick which guy who goes at that specific draft position (4 or 2, or whatever…).

The betting lines are just a product of how people are betting. So, the betting public sentiment currently is that the 2nd pick is highly likely to be Hunter. You may not agree with that sentiment, but that’s what the betting public thinks at the moment…

 

[Discus fish salesman]

Lmao the Jags taking Jeanty at #5 would be a typical stupid Jags move. Morons.

Imagine being a coach that took bucky Irving in the 4th and got a monster season. Taking over a disastrous roster and taking an rb at 5.

 

[knoxville7]

Well, egg on my face…

Sounds expensive!

 

[bamainatlanta]

Imagine being a coach that took bucky Irving in the 4th and got a monster season. Taking over a disastrous roster and taking an rb at 5.

Yeah seems like there is some erroneous reporting here. They can’t be that stupid can they?

 

[Discus fish salesman]

Yeah seems like there is some erroneous reporting here. They can’t be that stupid can they?

I do think they are going to value the running game a lot but if that's the case they should take membou to improve the crappy OL and take an rb later

Why is scherff still a FA btw? Is he going to retire?

 

[Luke]

Yeah seems like there is some erroneous reporting here. They can’t be that stupid can they?

DJ has mentioned this and in general I like him a lot, but he is just playing the typical talking head game this past week.
TG there is only 4 more days of this nonsensical rubbish, Thursday can't come soon enough.

 

[DaBears3434]

Nope. That is exactly what those bets mean, namely pick which guy who goes at that specific draft position (4 or 2, or whatever…).

The betting lines are just a product of how people are betting. So, the betting public sentiment currently is that the 2nd pick is highly likely to be Hunter. You may not agree with that sentiment, but that’s what the betting public thinks at the moment…

Huh? I know that’s why the betting lines mean. I don’t think you followed exactly what my post was in response to.

 

[playthrough2001]

 

[playthrough2001]

 

[DefNextYear]

I think those are the odds of Carter going exactly three. Campbell going four assumes Carter went two or three.

I get that, but how can I get better odds playing for Carter at exactly 3 than Campbell at exactly 4 when Carter not going 3 would impact the Campbell pick?

 

[knoxville7]

The ultimate maneuvering trade back and trading up draft for ya!

#BlueChippersOnly

 

[DefNextYear]

Lmao the Jags taking Jeanty at #5 would be a typical stupid Jags move. Morons.

No chance it happens. Just the Jeanty hype train off the rails.

 

[DefNextYear]

Imagine being a coach that took bucky Irving in the 4th and got a monster season. Taking over a disastrous roster and taking an rb at 5.

Or the FO guy that got Bucky, taking over a disastrous roster, and taking a RB at 6, lol.

For what it’s worth on the Jags situation, Gladstone took Kyran Williams in like the 5th round?

 

[Enasic]

View attachment 45146

The ultimate maneuvering trade back and trading up draft for ya!

#BlueChippersOnly

That’d be a great draft. If I were to nitpick slightly, I’m not very high on Judkins. Would prefer to go with another back, but if that’s how the draft ended up, I certainly wouldn’t complain.

 

[msadows]

Here is more glaze for you:

 

[Nelly]

It’s weird to me that current betting odds are
-950 Hunter is 2
-600 Abdul is 3
-950 Campbell is 4

Not sure if I’m missing it, but 4 doesn’t seem like it can be more confident than 3. If Abdul doesn’t go 3, then he’s for sure going 4… so can’t be -950 on Campbell. Seems off.

I think they're saying that Hunter is the favorite to be #2, but if Carter goes #2 instead, no way Hunter doesn't go #3. Therefore, #4 is certain not to be Carter or Hunter so #4 is likely to be Campbell.

 

[msadows]

I think they're saying that Hunter is the favorite to be #2, but if Carter goes #2 instead, no way Hunter doesn't go #3. Therefore, #4 is certain not to be Carter or Hunter so #4 is likely to be Campbell.

The odds also differ by sportsbook.

On Draftkings he's -400 to go at 4 and just -500 to go in the top 5.


There really isnt a consensus on the draft which is why sportsbooks dont make money on it. Wouldnt shock me if they eventually just stop letting people bet on it.

 

[dennehy]

It's like the only event of the year where the sportsbooks lose.

 

[msadows]

It's like the only event of the year where the sportsbooks lose.

Yep, I saw someone say on reddit there is zero chance will campbell falls out of the top 5 as he's -2000 on fanduel.

I told them he's -500 on draftkings.

These sportsbooks dont know shit cause no NFL team is telling anyone where they want to go with the picks. The top 2 are pretty sure locks at this point, but the giants could still pull a wildcard and take shadeur at #3. If so will campbell is not being taken by the pats(would be carter), then the jags likely take graham.

 

[DaBears3434]

I get that, but how can I get better odds playing for Carter at exactly 3 than Campbell at exactly 4 when Carter not going 3 would impact the Campbell pick?

You’re exactly right. It doesn’t make sense. The only way it might make sense is if they thought Hunter and Carter could go in any order 2/3 and because of that, Campbell is more of a lock at 4 than Carter is at 3. But that can’t be the case either because Hunter wouldn’t be -950 if that were true.