Yes, certainly. I fully understand your hesitation in drafting an outlier when there are no other examples of an OT with arms that short. I get that.
But the fact that many analysts are not shying away from drafting him is due to a) belief he can be the exception, and more importantly b) they feel he'd be a great guard. That's an important factor.
You mentioned that it's not automatic a college T can just become a guard - again, I agree. But in this specific case, it seems he's projected at least as a top guard and unlike many other college OTs this year being projected to be guards, some feel he's good enough to be that exception.
I think if he had played G in college and was projected as a great prospect at G in the NFL, he'd be talked about in the 20 range of the first. So you're gambling with a higher pick on that LT possibility. But you're not using #10 on LT or bust.
Yes, "experts" are claiming that Campbell would be fine at LT despite the arm length/wingspan, and if not, hell, just play him at OG. That's fine if that's their opinion, I just couldn't disagree more. Not only is his wingspan short for OT standards, it's actually short for OG standards too. His wingspan is 77 3/8....the average wingspan for an OT is 82 inches. That's a 5 inch disparity...that's fucking huge. The average wingspan for an OG? 79 inches...he falls short of that mark too. Furthermore, experts have talked about his stance and how it would be a HUGE adjustment for him to transition to OG.
Again, I keep going back to Peter Skoronski who was every bit of the prospect Campbell is, and IMO, was better. His technique and feet were every bit as good if not better.
Peter Skoronski:
Arm Length: 32 1/4
Wingspan: 79 1/2
Will Campbell:
Arm Length: Somewhere between 32 5/8 - 33
Wingspan: 77 3/8
How's Skoronski doing in the NFL? He's playing mediocre footbal (at best) at LG two seasons in. "Experts" are wrong all the time, every year, about countless prospects. Typically, they either ignore measurements, or put too much stock into measurements. In this case, I think ignoring the wingspan and arm length is foolish considering there are ZERO NFL examples you can point to at LT. So yeah, if these "experts" want to ignore that, my prediction is they are going to be proven wrong.
Ironically enough, I was in the camp of thinking the measurement stuff was overblown. I was a HUGE Skoronski fan coming out. I thought man, this dude has flawless technique, he's strong, he has great feet....but he couldn't cut it in the NFL because of his physical limitations. There's a reason why there are zero examples of a player overcoming that at LT...it's because it's incredibly important. Betting on a guy to be the first and only outlier is a bad bet, it just is...and banking on him to become a great OG isn't realistic either. He's never played the position before, his wingspan is still below average for it, and he will have to majorly adjust his stance. Why not just draft a proven OG prospect in the 2nd round? There will be a lot, and they will likely be better OGs in the NFL than Will Campbell.