TC in Mississippi
CCS Staff
- Joined:
- Oct 22, 2014
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So the Cubs are favorites among the public (vegas lines) and the projections that are released to the public (Pecota and Fangraphs) but they're not the favorites due a sampling on an unknown number of writers who haven't released their picks?
It sucks I can't block posters like that.
I didn't say that at all. Projections are interesting and we've all seen the various computer models showing the Cubs as the World Series favorite. PECOTA has them at 95 wins. ZIPS has them at 96. Both models have had some interesting successes and some interesting failures over the last few years, but they are a good resource. There are some huge discrepancies as well as ZIPS has the Indians winning 92 games and ZIPS has them at 86. These things are fun and are a good gauge, preseason on how good your team is and the Cubs are very, very good. My point was that I'm not paying a ton of attention to the varying projections from writers. As I said I think there is some Cubs fatigue and writers are all over the place for various reasons, often just for the clicks. I'm not sure who said that the Cubs weren't the favorites but it wasn't me, all I said was that the Giants are a viable pick that you can make a case for. Personally I'm picking Arizona in that division and, in the vast scheme of things, none of it means anything except that we are in dire need of baseball games.