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Adam Dunn will be a "Type A" free agent, according to the official set of Elias free agent rankings obtained by MLBTradeRumors.com. The designation is significant as the Nationals decide this offseason what to do with Dunn.
If the Nationals offer Dunn a one-year contract in arbitration, which they must do in order to receive compensatory draft picks in the event he signs elsewhere as a free agent, then the Nationals will receive two extra draft picks in the 2011 draft.
Dunn will be eligible to file for free agency five days after the World Series ends, when the exclusive negotiating window closes for the Nationals. The prevailing sense around the league is that the Nationals will not re-sign Dunn this offseason, and the Cubs, according to one league source, are the current favorite to land Dunn.
No matter who signs Dunn, the Nationals will receive a "sandwich" pick in the supplementary round between the first and second round. The first 18 picks of this year's draft are protected, meaning a team that picks in the first 18 picks will surrender its second-round choice if it signs another team's Type A free agent, but a team in the bottom 15 picks of the first round that signs another team's Type A free agent will lose its first-round pick. (There are 33 picks in the first round this year, based on teams receiving compensation for not signing their 2010 first-round pick, like what happened to the Nationals with Aaron Crow in 2008.)
Using the Cubs as an example: The Nationals will receive a "sandwich" pick, roughly the 34th or 35th choice in the draft. They would also receive the Cubs' second-round choice, which will be the eighth choice in the second round. What overall pick that is depends on how many choices are needed for the sandwich round. This year, for example, the eighth pick in the second round was No. 58 overall.
Rays first baseman Carlos Pena, whom the Nationals could be interested in as a potential replacement for Dunn, is a Type B free agent. The Nats would not lose a draft pick if they end up signing him, even if the Rays offer Pena arbitration. Giants first baseman Aubrey Huff -- another potential replacement for Dunn -- is also a Type B free agent.
I still want him. Although, this could make us have to pay less. I'm not sure.