No he wouldn't. The Cubs are not that close. It helps to give them two studs in the rotation and maybe Arrieta repeats, but the drop off there is massive. And you are banking on a lot of specs being studs from the get go. No, the Cubs aren't in the same boat as the Cards or Pirates in their own division.
I am banking on a lot more production from Bryant than from last year's combo of Olt/Valbuena.
I am counting on a lot more production from Soler than we got last year in RF.
We added an OBP guy at the top, a better defensive catcher.
If you don't think it's an improvement over 2014 to be adding Lester, Shields, another month of Arrieta and another three months of Hendrick and even Wada over Jackson and the other guys who filled in at the 5 spot last year, I don't know what to say.
I think there's a 1 in 1000 chance that Shields would ever play for the Cubs anyway, so it's moot - but if he was added to the rotation, you STILL don't think they're a playoff team??
Adding Lester and Shields and bringing up NO prospects would have the Cubs damn close to contention. Soler will be a huge addition to the lineup. Bryant will, too, even if half of what experts predict.
Oh, and that guy so many have written off over at 2nd? K's or no K's, if he doesn't produce more than Darwin Fuckin' Barney it will be a miracle.
And Alcantara, who is ten times better than anyone seems to think, will be a plus as well.
So, to sum it up, if we get anything at all from Baez and Alcantara - or only one of them - and half of what is possible from Bryant and Soler, we are in the discussion.
No, I am not expecting four prospects to be MVP candidates, nor am I predicting a Cy Young for Lester. (Not saying those things are out of the question, but not counting on them. Not by a long shot.)
Playoff contention doesn't mean winning the WS or even the division. It means 85-88 wins.