I do due dilligence on M&A and real state acquisitions all the time. The math I am aware of just doesnt work. The McCaskey's only real asset is the time and it has a valuation of about 6 billion. That valuation is inclusive future projected cash flows from the team.
If the Chicago stadium costs 5 billion then AH with the additional commercial, retail and residential add ons is like around 7 billion.
Let's assume McCaskey's can put up 2 billion which is what they are proposing for the Chicago stadium. And again bear in mind they have a 40% estate tax bill on that 6 billion when Virginia dies so that is another 2.4 billion. So that is 4.4 billion on there end they will owe between the stadium and their estate tax bill. This again is without any other meangingful assets beyond the team.
So that still leaves them 5 billion short on AH. Lets say the NFL kicks in 1 billion and PSLs are at the high of 500m. That still leaves them 3.5 billion sort. At a 6 billion valuation they would need to sell 60% of the team to get the other 3.5 billion.
They only own 80% of the Bears and someone has to own at least 30% so they cant sell 60% by themselves unless they selling to someone that will be majority owner.
So unless someone is willing to overpay at say a valuation of like 7-8 billion, they cant really sell enough equity to fund AH ubless they are willing yo lose a majority stake.
And I dont any competent investor is going to loan the McCaskeys 3.5 billion and trust them to build a stadium when they jave zero experience in this space.
Now hey maybe I am wrong but maybe a guy like
@RacerX who is in financing can correct me if some of my assumptions here are wrong.