I don't know. That's a different argument isn't it? Hernandez' Cy Young was a victory of metrics over traditional stat and the metrics weren't close. I know a lot of people that thought Price was sure to win it that year but even a cursory knowledge of pitching metrics showed that King Felix was by far and away the obvious choice. When you talk about market bias you're talking about something else and, like you, I'm not sure I go there. You said something yesterday that I thought was right. You said that if you dig deep this year then the numbers point to Kershaw. If you dig a little bit you go with Greinke and if you look at the second half of Arrieta (the crazy ERA, the no no, etc.) you go with him. I'm paraphrasing but I think I'm largely accurate, correct me if I'm not. I think that sums it up pretty well which points to three distinct paths to the Cy Young. Nothing obvious there at all. I do not believe that analytics have become so completely dominant in the voters that Kershaw will get the nod, especially since he got it last year. That leaves Greinke and Arrieta. The fact that Greinke didn't pitch last night hurts Jake. I think the ERA has to be a little closer for it to go to Arrieta. I don't think 2/10 is close enough to knock off Greinke who has been teh consensus favorite all year. Now if it gets to 1/10 that might just do it.
chibears55's point of guys splitting their votes between the two Dodgers is not necessarily wrong but I think his angle might be. Going to your point of the digging for numbers, that might just be the thing to split that particular group achieving the same thing in the end with the award going to Arrieta. Another dominant performance by Jake with a tightening of the ERA difference and I think that could be born out. Lots of ifs in that equation though.
