Jaeckal Blog - Power Struggle at the top of the Organ-I-zation

Shantz My Pants

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I'm afraid those contract were in prep for the upcoming CBA negotiations than anything else. Not to mention many of those involved already suggesting the Cap is definitely coming down.



And you are watching what happens when you push rookies before their time right now. Just as you did with Keith and Seabrook, although those two were a different breed. I'm sure you can guess the player I'm talking about.



Again they did not plan well depth wise this year and it's clear. And another summer gone by where NOTHING was done to help the depth at C. Even worse the player who won the Cup playing C has not been put there.



So I like your theory, but I don't think they ever intended to go that route. Until now of course when there is no recourse because someone chose not to spend the money.



CBA could be a big possibility. Bruno, OD are up there in age so that might have been the plan seeing what they have left (which is nothing). Carcillo was given a 1 year contract I think because of his past history. Mayers probably because of him being a dime a dozen in the AHL.



The fact that they put Kane at center shouild be the biggest clue that they fucked themselves in the offseason for that 2nd line center and were hoping to make something out of nothing.
 

Larmer83

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Go through the rest of their roster, and the majority of the players are built through the system/draft. Those players there, were mostly added for depth - not key players. Kunitz cost them Whitney as well....

Off course the majority of the players are built through the system...except Carolina. Weight and Recchi were key players during the Carolina Cup run. Same with Kunitz and Guerin. Are they the top line players? No. But the contributions were significant.



BTW, let me add another player-Denis Savard 1995 playoffs. Not a Cup run, sure was fun when the Hawks beat Vancouver.
 

PatrickShart

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I'm afraid those contract were in prep for the upcoming CBA negotiations than anything else. Not to mention many of those involved already suggesting the Cap is definitely coming down.



And you are watching what happens when you push rookies before their time right now. Just as you did with Keith and Seabrook, although those two were a different breed. I'm sure you can guess the player I'm talking about.



Again they did not plan well depth wise this year and it's clear. And another summer gone by where NOTHING was done to help the depth at C. Even worse the player who won the Cup playing C has not been put there.



So I like your theory, but I don't think they ever intended to go that route. Until now of course when there is no recourse because someone chose not to spend the money.



I think I'll believe the cap going down if it happens - we all remember all the people saying it was going to go down "x"% every year, and it kept raising. If (and I don't believe it) it does, then I bet the salaries roll back to to off-set the amount. I could see it more locking in/staying the same...and staying set for a year or two before rising.



I also think you could see a "buyout" clause with no cap hit...so the Gomez, Luongo, Lecavalier, Hossa?, Kovalchuk? - players could get bought out with no repercussions. That could make interesting for a few more players to be available come FA time.



I do agree, some of those older guys were signed with the CBA coming up, as well as stop gaps for some of the youth to fight for spots.
 

R K

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Yea you didn't hear it in a year the CBA was to be negotiated though. So I believe that gives it far more credibility. Hell even the team owned by the NHL, paid for by all teams STH's did something to help their team make a run.



That right there tells you something, doesn't it. I'm not disagreeing one bit with your post. I think it's spot on, but that said I believe it's more blind luck they are that "potentially healthy going forward" than them actually planning it that way. There are clown shoes running around in this building. Far worse than the years Dudley and Tallon were running the show. With Peter allowing them to do just about anything they wanted to gain a winner. My $$ is going to go to the sidelines very soon. Hell as Pat Foley continuously points out to us while he's blowing ****, "they are on TV now".



Then, not paying for the product, my opinon means not much more than anyone else. Plus I can use my money for something I really enjoy verses something that has me totally disgusted.
 

BiscuitintheBasket

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Any team that loses has issues, any team that loses also gets backlash from the media/fanbase. If they were winning, no one would say anything. Let me get this straight, according to that article:



Players hate Q

Q hates Bowman

Scouts hate management

Bowman hates McD



Blow it all up! The team is in an apocalyptic state! Get out while you can! Why the **** are all these people working for something they hate? Next they're going to talk about how Toews and Kane hate each other, and how badly Seabrook wants to leave for Vancouver.



Sure, there are some problems in the organization, but holy crap are things getting blown out of proportion or what? Also, are some of these things really such a big surprise? Like Rocky placing a cap on Bowmans spending?



What's the real issue here besides losing?





Bingo, when things are good everything seems fine....when things are bad there has to be a scapegoat, and finding that scapegoat is basically throwing everything at the wall and see what sticks.



This is not to say that there is not any management strain, I think that there is strain in any organization. Does not mean Armageddon. Yes it sucks that the players have shown they can dominate and then do little to nothing, but is the front office driving that much that goes on during games?



And to say that Stan's hands are tied because of Rocky and no other GM is, is foolish. Owners have budgets too, and many many teams work on smaller budgets that do not include burried "employees".
 

R K

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Bingo, when things are good everything seems fine....when things are bad there has to be a scapegoat, and finding that scapegoat is basically throwing everything at the wall and see what sticks.



This is not to say that there is not any management strain, I think that there is strain in any organization. Does not mean Armageddon. Yes it sucks that the players have shown they can dominate and then do little to nothing, but is the front office driving that much that goes on during games?



And to say that Stan's hands are tied because of Rocky and no other GM is, is foolish. Owners have budgets too, and many many teams work on smaller budgets that do not include burried "employees".



Just like they are losing money. I get it.



I never agree with Jeakal, but you know what, I do this time. I wonder why?
 

BiscuitintheBasket

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Personally, I think that they are looking towards a year or so when more of the younger players start contributing again. No one like to hear that, but after winning the cup and having to gut the roster, they weren't going to be instantly top of the line again. No one player was moved to/for any team at the deadline to anyone. So to think Scooter failed the other day, wouldn't be fair.



I think Oduya will be a good pick up - only if they can resign him (assuming he plays well). But a group of Keith, Seabrook, Oduya, Hjarllmarsson, Leddy, Olsen...and Montador...will be a pretty solid group - assuming Montador stays.



Now..before some go and say Montador and/or Frolik are untradeable - that may not be the case. Yes, they're cap hits are high for their production. But their contracts were heavy/front loaded the first year. What they're owed -

Montador - 3years - 6.4mil (Cap hit is 2.75)

Frolik - 2yrs - 4mil (cap hit is 2.33mil)

Still overpayed...probably - but there are teams that watch their budget/need the cap hits to hit the cap floor...without paying their cap hit.



The biggest hole they have that needs to be addressed, is the 2nd line center. I think most agree Gaustad for a first would've been foolish. Trades are better constructed in the off-season...and more players are probably available then (as well as a teams cap space)...if thats what they want to do.



Under Contract..going to next year -

FORWARDS

Patrick Sharp ($5.900m) / Jonathan Toews ($6.300m) / Patrick Kane ($6.300m)

Marian Hossa ($5.275m) / Marcus Kruger ($0.900m) / Jimmy Hayes ($0.875m)

Viktor Stalberg ($0.875m) / Dave Bolland ($3.375m) / Michael Frolik ($2.333m)

Bryan Bickell ($0.541m) / Andrew Shaw ($0.565m)

DEFENSEMEN

Brent Seabrook ($5.800m) / Duncan Keith ($5.538m)

Niklas Hjalmarsson ($3.500m) / Steve Montador ($2.750m)

Nick Leddy ($1.116m) / Dylan Olsen ($0.870m)

GOALTENDERS

Corey Crawford ($2.666m)

CAPGEEK.COM TOTALS (follow @capgeek on Twitter)

(these totals are compiled without the bonus cushion)

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $55,481,795; BONUSES: $647,500

CAP SPACE (18-man roster): $8,818,205



Cap space is based on the cap staying the same. If it goes down, I would assume salaries may roll back as well - or possibly even a "buyout" period for players if needed.



This experience is helping Shaw and Hayes. McNeil and Danault are signed already. If Kevin Hayes has the same compete level as his brother...with his size and presumably more skilled - at center...could be an impact player. But for Centers in the pipeline...

McNeill - 6'2 210lbs

K.Hayes - 6'2 200lbs

They both have size...and everything I hear, a high compete level. The Hawks need LW's. Beach (6'3 210lbs), Morin (6'1 190lbs), Saad (6'2 210lbs) all play LW. I think Ben Smith will get a full look next year, and can/will be a good 3rd line player. There's 4 players with some grit, size,



The Hawks avg age this year was 27.4. Once Brunette (37), O'Donnell (40), Morrisson (35) and possibly Mayers (36) drop off..this team will be moving back in the direction of young, fast and grit.



I think Stan messed up by not keeping Brouwer (got a 1st rounder) and Kopecky (12mil for 4yrs) initially...while keeping Frolik and signing Brunette, Carcillo for the same amount. The biggest thing this team lacks to others is familiarity. It's hard to plug a system when the year after the cup - 12 new faces....then this year - theres been 7 new faces...not counting Hayes/Shaw coming up (or Morrisson for that matter). However, I don't think keeping Kopecky at that ticket for 4yrs, would've been good in the long run. I liked Brouwer, however...and that was a miss over Frolik. But getting a first for him...was kind of hard to not do.



They're not that bad of a team. Q may take the PR fall....but personally, I think Stan/the scouting staff planned on the team taking time to rebuild the talent pool it lost after the cup, and will just be more fiscally responsible so that it can stay together longer.







My thought has always been that in order to cover the sins of the past it was going to take 3-4 seasons. We have watched that over the last two. It was always going to be crucial to fill most gaps from within and augmented by FA. The fact hat so many rookies and sophomores have ridden the Hawks train the last seasons shows that to be their plan....unfortunately that means that they need to try out a bunch from within to see who is worthy for further development.
 

BiscuitintheBasket

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Just like they are losing money. I get it.



I never agree with Jeakal, but you know what, I do this time. I wonder why?





I am willing to bet that Rocky cannot shift funds the way. Bill could to cover losses. The corporation is doing really well (nice multi tens of millions liquor distribution plant coming soon), but if Bill lost $31 mil the last full season he owned the team, then that had been a tough gap to fill for a long time. Besides in ANY business it is about making money (and I won't lie that I have jacked rates for some of the businesses I owned when the maket was willing to accept it).
 

R K

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Well knowing Rocky was counting those losses "previous" to him taking over as negatives coming in, that's why they are not in the Black. So they say. Again I disagree, and the profits are abundant IF you don't include the previous losses. And the Hawks averaged 20 mil the last several years. Not just the last. Half full building, half full concessions, will do that. That said, the Parking is never included and 100% owned. Part of the deal in building the UC they retained control 100%.



Again he chose not to spend the money, while increasing the price. Anyway you want to spin it. I'm over it soon I will be watching from the comfort of my couch not really caring other than for the team on the ice.
 

jakobeast

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Boston- Chris Kelly, Rich Peverly

Pitt- Chris Kunitz, Billy Guerin

Carolina- Doug Weight, Mark Recchi

NYI- Butch Goring



I'm not super familiar with the NYI. I don't think carolina needed weight and recchi, but they did help.



Go through the rest of their roster, and the majority of the players are built through the system/draft. Those players there, were mostly added for depth - not key players. Kunitz cost them Whitney as well....





None of the above teams needed those guys to win, imo.



I would make the argument that the Avs with the TDL pick up of Borque helped them. Maybe not on the ice in as much as giving them a huge reason to win the Cup.
 

Rex

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I'm not super familiar with the NYI. I don't think carolina needed weight and recchi, but they did help.









None of the above teams needed those guys to win, imo.



I would make the argument that the Avs with the TDL pick up of Borque helped them. Maybe not on the ice in as much as giving them a huge reason to win the Cup.



They all helped. They helped as much as Kris Versteeg, Dave Bolland and Andrew Ladd helped us win our cup. Role Players are all the difference.
 

the canadian dream

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Thanks for sharing, that would be an interesting stat. Any idea of where you saw that?



here I did the research again. These are the years before his hiring as the Hawks head coach. And I threw in my own fodder about those seasons just for fun. I think it's more interesting if one examines those teams instead of claiming they were loaded with talent and they should have been cup winners. If you look closely into some of those teams they did have some holes and some other issues which impacted the team as a whole. Can't really say it was all coaching.



96/97 lost to detroit in the first round = cup winner - Detroit (was a good Blues team if you don't count Fuhr as a goalie who was getting past his prime and in a league where goalkeeping was changing (he still played well though). McInnis and Pronger as your top 2 blueliners should help that and they did. Did I mention their next top blueliner was Igor Kravchuk then nothing after that..not a deep blueline I don't care who your top 2 guys are). Detroit exploited that defensive hole.

97/98 lost to detroit in the second round = cup winner - Detroit (A Blues team that was still riding Grant Fuhr who was still decent and a team if I remember correctly had some injury issues through the season Hull, Turgeon and Dimtra missed a 1/4 of the season and were not healthy during the playoffs. Duchesne was brought in and helped the blueline big time (I believe he was their best blueliner that year).

98/99 lost to Dalls in the second round = cup winner - Dallas Hull gone from the team and back to mcInnis and Pronger logging all the blueline minutes with no one at all in the depth..next best blueliner was Ricard Persson...who? Upfront with Hull gone the depth was starting to fall. Guys like Scott Young and Scott Pellerin were the depth wingers and there were no centers after Pierre Turgeon. Craig Conroy was a decent second liner but wasn't having a great season. Not a team without major holes all through it. Fuhr and McLennan were swapping time as it looked like Fuhr was starting to fade.

99/00 lost to San Jose first round (I dont remember this series at all ) Blues still had no defense depth past Pronger and McInnis. Todd Reirden was okay but not enough to help the depth. Turek was now the #1 goalie and had a good year in net. Up front turgeon missed half the year and wasn't healthy in the playoffs adding a big problem to center depth which did get a helping hand from Handzus and to a lesser extent Mike Eastwood. But still a team with limited to zero defensive depth past the first pairing.

00 /01 lost to Colorado in Conference Final = cup winner - Colorado Still no defensive depth. McInnis and Pronger going strong but no support. #3 blueliner is now Alexander Khavanov who isn't horrible but not great either. Center depth is starting to look stronger...oh wait this season Handzus is riddled with injuries missing more than half the season and missing the playoffs. Dimitra is also hurt for half the season effecting the wing depth. Tkachuk is brought in and has a decent playoffs. Yet no help on the blueline and no interest in filling those holes (a blues all time favorite of things they dont like doing). Turek and Johnson fight for the starting spot through the season. Turek ends up taking it and has a decent playoffs also. But having one healthy center in turgeon just doesn't seem enough to go that deep in the playoffs. Marty Reasoner becomes the #2 center.

01/02 lost to Detroit in the 2nd round = cup winner - Detroit (the one hit wonder Brent Johnson is now the #1 goalie and is annointed a future superstar. Still no help on the blueline for Al and Chris. Dimitra and Tkatchuk have great seasons. Doug Wieght the now #1 center has a bellow average season and a horrible playoffs and there is still no center depth at all. What do the Blues do to try and solve center depth issues? They bring in 80 year old Ray Ferraro.

02/03 lost in first round to Vancouver (should be fired just for that but I remember that series and it was tight and the Blues flat out blew a 3-1 series lead)

03/04 = (fired..the Blues never recovered after blowing that opening series to the Canucks the year before and have been shit ever since although Hitch has them back) They still made the playoffs that year even though Q was fired after a slow start. Wasn't a good Blues team despite what people think only has 2 players who score more than 20 goals. Doug Weight was the only centerman and he was near the end of his career and Pronger was their only real blueliner).

05/06 - Lost in second round to the Ducks (that was the year the Oilers went from 8th to the cup final and almost won it all) The age of goalie shit in Colorado. Aebischer and Budaj completely shit the bed this season and the Avs were lucky to even make the playoffs with these horrible regular season goalkeepers. On defense it was a good depth team. Blake, Liles, Brisebois and Clark were a solid top 4. Better than anything Q had in St Louis as far as defensive depth. Up front also a good depth team. Sakic, Tanguey, Brunnette (when he was good), Hejduk, Svatos, Turgeon, Laperriere, Mclean. Such a good depth to work with. And a healthy depth. Look who comes into save the day for the Avs inbetween the pipes. Its Jose Theodore and he shits it in the playoffs just as bad as the horrible tandom did in the regular season. Q should have won a cup with this team..this was the year...but he didn't get goalkeeping. Didn't help that Theodore was in the middle of that silly drug shit and was just coming off a major injury when he went to the Avs.

06/07 - didn't make the playoffs (and that was NOT a good Avs team and also a new GM stepped in that year which rarely makes a contender right away. Rob Blake left the team as did Tanguay. Still had fire power up front but a very thin blueline Clarke and Lilles were their best and that's not good for anyone. Budaj and Theodore were garbage. Hard to pin this one on Q.

07/08 - lost in the second round to Detroit = cup winner - Detroit Sakic has an impressive season yet again even though it is injury riddled and he plays injured during the playoffs. Goalie fiasco continues and now we have Theodore and Budaj fighting for the job which is a distraction. Ryan Smyth is added to the lineup which helps with depth (Avs didn't have an issue with forward depth). Blueline is depthless yet again. Not a Stanley Cup contending team.



Anyways just some foder. I don't think it's always fair to say Q had great teams and could never get them to produce in the playoffs. Take it for what it is but out of the 9 times he took his team into the playoffs 6 of those times he lost to the team which would eventually win the cup. 4 times it was the Redwings..ugh!! That could be disected as a coach who couldn't get his team to the next level or a coach who was just beat out by the better teams the majority of times he was in the playoffs (or both..I don't care). 6 out of 9 is a pretty amazing stat. Seeing 4 were to the team some say was or is the best ran franchise in hockey then it makes you step back a little somewhat.



I really don't think those Blues teams were that good. Lacked defensive depth every year. I know Pronger and McInnis were unreal together and logged redicula minutes. But that's also a recipe for playoff burn out. Blues never had solid center dpeth either and were rampid with injuries in some of the seasons they did have center depth. A team that always had strong wingers and a top defensive pairing is what those Blues teams were. Nothing more and nothing less. Goalkeeping was good enough but not outstanding although Fuhr def kept his critics quiet including myself.



That one Avs team was Q's bread and butter. It would have helped if he had goalkeeping that season. Bet it would have been a cup year had he had it.



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Rex

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05/06 - Lost in second round to the Ducks (that was the year the Oilers went from 8th to the cup final and almost won it all) The age of golaie shit in Colorado. Aebischer and Budaj completely shit the bed this season and the Avs were lucky to even make the playoffs with these horrible regular season goalkeepers. On defense it was a good depth team. Pronger. Liles, brisebois and Clark were a solid top 4. Better than anything Q had in St Louis as far as defensive depth. Up front also a good depth team. Sakic, Tanguey, Brunnette (when he was good), Hejduk, Svatos, Turgeon, Laperriere, Mclean. Such a good depth to work with. And a healthy depth. Look who comes into save the day for the Avs inbetween the pipes. Its Jose Theodore and he shits it in the playoffs just as bad as the horrible tandom did in the regular season. Q should have won a cup with this team..this was the year...but he didn't get goalkeeping. Didn't help that Theodore was in the middle of that silly drug shit and was just coming off a major injury when he went to the Avs.



all well done, except Pronger never played in Colorado. Infact, he was playing in Edmonton that year, when they went to the finals. Their Defense was Liles (shit in his own end) Brisbois (shit) Brett Clark (shit) Kurt Sauer (lol) and Rob Blake (35 years old)
 

supraman

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Stop making perfectly logical reason against Q hatin'
 

Variable

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Somebody with photoshop skills has got to impose McDonough, Rocky and Jay Blunk's (or Stan's) faces into a Three Stooges intro card.
 

The Count Dante

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I have had my tiks for 6 years. I know certainly many here have had their's for a much longer time and through much worse seasons.



But I lean with RK too. Every year prior, when that bill came, it always sucks, but i never questioned paying. This is the first year for me since having the tiks that I questioned not only ditching the playoffs but ditiching the seats altogether. For the cost i could buy a HUGE ass tv with 2 others to run gamecenter and pay out the nose for playoffs each year.



And if there was little talent on the squad, I wouldnt question paying, if everyone was on the same page and gave it their all each night, I couldnt care less.



The office doesnt care, they just up prices. Players dont care, they look like they should be playing with Barbie's, not pucks. Coaches dont care, one who shuffles better than a Vegas dealer, another who will run the same plays over and over and over and...



I am a firm believer that as a fan, you cant just be there for the sexy times. But there is just too much talent to just accept a bad season.
 

PatrickShart

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Other coaches people love...

Trotz? Got out of the 1st round once - last year. And he's had offensively talented teams in the past, as well as a few decent payrolls.



Or the Great Babcock - he's had some decent talent in DET - the best 2 way player in the game, the greatest Dman to play the game...wins the conference...but 1 cup? Couldn't get out of the second round the last 2 years...when having rather easy first rounds both years vs Phoenix?
 

Rex

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Other coaches people love...

Trotz? Got out of the 1st round once - last year. And he's had offensively talented teams in the past, as well as a few decent payrolls.



Or the Great Babcock - he's had some decent talent in DET - the best 2 way player in the game, the greatest Dman to play the game...wins the conference...but 1 cup? Couldn't get out of the second round the last 2 years...when having rather easy first rounds both years vs Phoenix?



it's an aging team. How about what he did with Anaheim too?
 

PatrickShart

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Goes from the Cup finals to not making the playoffs in ANA



Then, his first year in DET...has the top record in the NHL and loses in the first round



Were they old that year too?
 

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