SMH, once again, it is not attempting to understand the creation of life. All it is doing is determining the lower limit of what the probability has to be without actually claiming that lower limit is the actual probability. So you keep making an assertion that is fundamentally irrelevant to the issue. Math is just math. One doesn't need to understand all the underlying variables to plug them in a math equation. It is like you are taking a math exam and instead of simply doing the calculations, you are arguing with the math teacher that you refuse to accept the calculations because you don't understand the big picture.
If you continue to claim something you know nothing about is meaningless then the only term I can use to describe that is ignorance? What credentials do you have to make such a claim? The articles you posted in support of your view don't even claim it is meaningless so you are going above and beyond what any credible scientist would say and so yes I call you ignorant because of it. Actions have consequences and the consequence of you saying stuff no credible scientist would say is that you may be called ignorant for saying it. Forgive me if I trust scientists over some random dude on the internet. Am I supposed to let you shit on the work of scientists simply when you already said you have no clue about what they are studying?
and that is why I don't think the validity of any probability has any point. The creation of life is key to any existence of life.......
I don't need credentials to make my claim. I think my assertion is fairly straight forward.....I also posted an article by an astrophysicist that also says that any probability calculation is kind of pointless. If you don't trust my thought on it fine.
here is the link again...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/starts...umans-are-alone-in-the-universe/#5d7a2dd47d3b
You can certainly extrapolate this information to include all of life because the same premise exists...we don't know the frequency at which life exists in the universe beyond 1.
You and I are arguing over semantics for the most part. We aren't even arguing over as something important like the existence of life. You choose to start an argument over some random calculation of the possibility of life outside Earth....
if we just went by credentials any discussion on this board would be moot because, for the most part, none of us are experts at what we discuss here. We are people who form opinions based on what we see and think.
here are the relevant parts to my point...stop attacking my credentials and address my points instead..if you disagree, that's fine...there really isn't anything to prove
In particular, there are a few steps that we simply don't know how frequently they occur. They clearly occurred here on Earth, but we haven't, as of yet, discovered anyplace else in the Universe where even one has occurred. These are the steps that lead us from non-living molecules to the complex, differentiated, intelligent species that we fancy ourselves to be.
This equates to two (in the Drake equation) unknowns that are absolutely necessary to reach the ultimate goal of intelligent aliens:
- the likelihood of creating life from non-life on an Earth-like world,
- and the likelihood of that life evolving into an intelligent, communicative, and possibly interstellar species.
In terms of raw probability, we have no idea how likely or unlikely these events are.