Without putting much thought, I’d easily say the Bills and Commanders last year. Commanders #3 is actually now our #4.
But that’s really besides the point… I’d flip it to say what top 10 offense do you think would invest a top 10 pick on another WR or TE assuming they have 3 good ones already? Who is the best player that’s a 4th target on those offenses? If we add a new weapon, it’ll just be at the expense of an existing one. And honestly, I don’t really care, but if you add any top weapon, probably means Kmet’s career is more or less over here. It makes sense to add a first round talent if you know DJ, Rome, or Kmet have no future here. Otherwise, somebody becomes a 400-500 yards a year kind of player, at best, and I don’t see the value in that. You can get that from a free agent or Day 2/3 pick.
The problem is that the Bears were the worst offense in the NFL not even close to top 10, so it doesn't really matter what a top 10 offense would draft.
Here are the Commanders 2025 playmakers (so far)... Jalen Daniels, Brian Robinson Jr (Austin Ekeler), Terry McClaurin (Deebo Samuel), Zack Ertz, Noah "Philly" Brown
The Bills... Josh Allen, James Cook, Khalil Shakir (Curtis Samuel), Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, (Dawson Knox)
I don't see it, where exactly do the Bears have the advantage?
O.Z. would not be the #4 on the Bears he would be #3 considering he had more yards last season and averaged more per reception than Kmet (Who I'm assuming you are calling #3) on pretty much the same amount of targets.
I guess this all comes down to everyone's confidence in two things, #1 that Odunze will be at least close to as good as DJ (who is not elite) and #2 Kmet will also be at least a top 10 Tight end.