Official NFL Draft Thread - Bear Fans Only

SugarWalls

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I’m saying your premise is wrong that Simmons career is done because of his injury.
My premise is that statistically speaking the odds are against him having a long healthy career. The article you posted supports this.

Is it possible he returns, is a good player, has a 10 year career? Yeah sure, it’s like 1 in a million.

I’m saying there’s a chance
 

GoBears

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If we don't draft a lineman, I'm going into full-on penis disattachment mode.
 

EDPeezy

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Pretty sure after they drafted Wright and I was reading what I could find about him I saw something about how he was moved to LT his junior season and was horrible. He was moved back to RT senior season and had a great year.

If he couldn’t hold up at LT in college there’s no way in hell he will in the NFL.
 

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Results: Eleven of the 24 injuries had antecedent symptoms. The most common mechanism of injury was an eccentric overload to a contracting extensor mechanism. Physical examination demonstrated a palpable defect in all players. Twenty-two were complete ruptures, and 2 were partial injuries. Three of the 24 cases had a concomitant anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury. In 19 of the 24 injuries, the player returned to participate in at least 1 game in the NFL. Players who returned were drafted, on average, in the fourth round, while those who failed to return to play were drafted, on average, in the sixth round. Of those players who returned to play, the average number of games played was 45.4, with a range of 1 to 142 games

Lmao from the article you shared.

They noted successful return as participating in 1 game in the NFL. Nice!
They also noted that the majority were day 3 picks so may have been meh to begin with. Say a fringe starter is out for a year, Team replaces him with the next project or drafts his replacement in the offseason and see you later. I personally don't think they go LT in one anyway but I wouldn't take Simmons off my board unless the docs told me to.
 

DefNextYear

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They also noted that the majority were day 3 picks so may have been meh to begin with. Say a fringe starter is out for a year, Team replaces him with the next project or drafts his replacement in the offseason and see you later. I personally don't think they go LT in one anyway but I wouldn't take Simmons off my board unless the docs told me to.
You're giving waaaay too much credit to doctors. This isn't a clear yes/no situation. The patella tendon is a critical part of knee stabilization and anchoring to your quad to your tibia. If it was so easy to diagnose injuries (in general), doctors wouldn't be getting it wrong over and over and over. You're talking the best doctors in the world working in a multi-billion dollar industry and they still get it wrong.

In this case, a doctor likely won’t say a lot more than “it’s healed”. But, the complexities of the injuries still come down to rebuilding strength rapidly around the injury... working through a possibly now stiffer tendon... working out any new imbalances... mental confidence... etc. You even have recent examples like Bradley Chubb who missed an entire year+, but then why expect Simmons to be very valuable before we see him hit a calendar year? ... "way ahead of schedule" or not. And if he's not at a point where he can perform at 100%, there's no way to adequately assess the risk in a workout. I'm not sure what doctor can go in there and tell you beyond a shadow of a doubt that everything will be ok.

Also, this isn't just day 3 picks that are bums either. Look up other recent OL with the injury: Cole Strange (1st round pick) and Lucas Niang (3rd round pick). I'm not saying Simmons won't ever play, but it is to say he'll likely never reach what his potential was. He probably won't be a premiere LT in the league worthy of the drooling and high expectations. Of course, the Bears can gamble that he will, but they've already gambled once on a huge tendon tear with Kiran. I'm not sure it's wise to double down at the same position.

Here's what doctors say:

Also:

"A study just published in June of this year [2016] in the American Journal of Sports Medicine looked at orthopedic procedures on over 550 NFL athletes. And of all the different surgeries that these guys have, those who fared the worst when it comes to rate of return to play and performance metrics like yards gained and touchdowns scored, [it was] patellar tendon repair.

And their careers were shortened overall significantly.
It's not to say that one individual can't come back and be phenomenal, but it's telling you that the odds are against them in terms of returning to form."

Also:

According to Dr. Spindler, the study findings are a reality check for physicians and patients. The data may change expectations for recovery and reinforce the need for long-term rehabilitation after surgery.

“The fact is, these are massive injuries,” he says. “In spite of repairing and healing, the tendons often don’t come back anywhere near normal, and patients still have significant disability.”


Here's a 2nd round pick:
Injury update not good for 49ers former 2nd-round pick

Here was the highest paid center in the league:

Here's another 2nd round pick, multi-time Pro Bowler, LeCharles Bentley, who was forced to retire cause of this injury.
 

playthrough2001

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You're giving waaaay too much credit to doctors. This isn't a clear yes/no situation. The patella tendon is a critical part of knee stabilization and anchoring to your quad to your tibia. If it was so easy to diagnose injuries (in general), doctors wouldn't be getting it wrong over and over and over. You're talking the best doctors in the world working in a multi-billion dollar industry and they still get it wrong.

In this case, a doctor likely won’t say a lot more than “it’s healed”. But, the complexities of the injuries still come down to rebuilding strength rapidly around the injury... working through a possibly now stiffer tendon... working out any new imbalances... mental confidence... etc. You even have recent examples like Bradley Chubb who missed an entire year+, but then why expect Simmons to be very valuable before we see him hit a calendar year? ... "way ahead of schedule" or not. And if he's not at a point where he can perform at 100%, there's no way to adequately assess the risk in a workout. I'm not sure what doctor can go in there and tell you beyond a shadow of a doubt that everything will be ok.

Also, this isn't just day 3 picks that are bums either. Look up other recent OL with the injury: Cole Strange (1st round pick) and Lucas Niang (3rd round pick). I'm not saying Simmons won't ever play, but it is to say he'll likely never reach what his potential was. He probably won't be a premiere LT in the league worthy of the drooling and high expectations. Of course, the Bears can gamble that he will, but they've already gambled once on a huge tendon tear with Kiran. I'm not sure it's wise to double down at the same position.

Here's what doctors say:

Also:

"A study just published in June of this year [2016] in the American Journal of Sports Medicine looked at orthopedic procedures on over 550 NFL athletes. And of all the different surgeries that these guys have, those who fared the worst when it comes to rate of return to play and performance metrics like yards gained and touchdowns scored, [it was] patellar tendon repair.

And their careers were shortened overall significantly.
It's not to say that one individual can't come back and be phenomenal, but it's telling you that the odds are against them in terms of returning to form."

Also:

According to Dr. Spindler, the study findings are a reality check for physicians and patients. The data may change expectations for recovery and reinforce the need for long-term rehabilitation after surgery.

“The fact is, these are massive injuries,” he says. “In spite of repairing and healing, the tendons often don’t come back anywhere near normal, and patients still have significant disability.”


Here's a 2nd round pick:
Injury update not good for 49ers former 2nd-round pick

Here was the highest paid center in the league:

Here's another 2nd round pick, multi-time Pro Bowler, LeCharles Bentley, who was forced to retire cause of this injury.

There is no reason for the Bears to take a chance on this guy. Thanks for sharing this information. The numbers are kind of grim.

I hope it works out for him.
 

--CyBear--

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There is no reason for the Bears to take a chance on this guy. Thanks for sharing this information. The numbers are kind of grim.

I hope it works out for him.
OK, I'm convinced. That surgery involves drilling holes in your kneecap to have something to tie the tendon to.
 
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