Offseason rumors/discussion thread

brett05

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What teams are legitimately left for Harper?

Nationals and Phillies???

I said back in October if not the Cubs, I can see the Angels getting him

and the White Sox. Sox fest this weekend. Time for a double secret reveal :)
 

zack54attack

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Brach is a good deal at $3M. Might have got him at that discount price because of the shitty first half he had.
 

beckdawg

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Re: Brach, him at $3 mil vs Chavez at $4 mil I love. I think he's better than Chavez. I think the cubs are fairly set vs RH batters but they could use a better second lefty. Having said that, Brach really sets them up nicely for the last 3 innings. Morrow is going to be back at some point but until then you can go with Strop closing and Brach/Cishek as your 7th/8th inning guys. When Morrow returns you get one of them in a middle relief role along with Edwards in a stopper role. That is a very good position to be in. In fact, I think it's such a good position that they can really pick and choose when they use monty which helps a bit with the weakness they have in LHP.
 

DanTown

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Projection systems typically struggle to adequately project teams that have built themselves with a few high value hitters then high leverage relievers ala Milwaukee. The systems were routinely under on the 2014-2016 Royals teams and the Brewers are one in the same. Offensively, I'm not sure they'll get the same years out of Yelich, Cain, etc but if Nelson gives them solid innings and they can get anything close to what Knebel, Jeffers, and Hader finished the year at then I have no doubt they'll "luck" their way to another 90+ wins. That kind of team is built more for September than July.
 

Castor76

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What teams are legitimately left for Harper?

Nationals and Phillies???

I said back in October if not the Cubs, I can see the Angels getting him

At this point, it's very interesting for Machado and Harper. While Philly is only at about 125M for 2019 payroll, they're over 150M for the CBT. Still a lot of room, but getting near even their all time high payrolls. The Nats are at 195M in both. The Angels have been mention, but they're above their traditional running spots already. They could go bigger if they wanted, but unless you thought you were ready to make a run, why do it if you're them? I guess the White Sox should still be players.
 

Goose22

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I like the Brach pickup...and on the cheap as well. Good arm in the bullpen and could rebound from a ho-hum 2018 season.
 

beckdawg

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Decided to give a look at the remaining LH relief options. To cut to the chase.... Oliver Perez and Zach Duke are the only two names that seem interesting to me. Both are older than 35 so shouldn't be crazy expensive. Duke's a career FIP of 3.46 vs LH hitters. Perez is 3.42.
 

beckdawg

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Apropos of nothing, this morning I was thinking about something. Given the way last offseason played out, it feels like the cubs made a mistake jumping in early on a guy like Chatwood. I know that sounds obvious given how Chatwood turned out but that's not really what i'm talking about. The cubs came out pretty strong signing Morrow and Chatwood early in the offseaason presumably to put themselves in a situation where they weren't one of the teams fending for the last FA that remain. In retrospect, the way things played out allowed teams who were a bit more patient to get much better deals. For example Chacin worked out lots better for the Brewers. They signed him dec 21 as opposed to the cubs signing Chatwood 2 weeks earlier on dec 7.

Basically what I was thinking is that in the past teams were more willing to buy to be a .500 team. That's no longer the case. Teams tank left and right for obvious reason. In the past that created an environment where you had to be aggressive because as mentioned before you didn't wanna be the last guy without a chair. However, without that added pressure on the market, you end up with the reverse happening where players don't want to be the guy left without a team and thus you get these really crummy(for the player) deals.

As that pertains to this offseason, I'm thinking maybe it's a good thing the cubs don't appear to be super aggressive with money. This recent Brach deal is pretty fantastic in my eyes. i think you could easily compare him and Cishek and Cishek ended up with double what he got. And while he's not the most popular guy in town right now, I still really like the deal they got Darvish on late in the process. And who knows, maybe in the market drags machado and/or harper find themselves having to settle for a lot less than they expect which maybe fits into the cubs budget at that point.
 

CSF77

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Apropos of nothing, this morning I was thinking about something. Given the way last offseason played out, it feels like the cubs made a mistake jumping in early on a guy like Chatwood. I know that sounds obvious given how Chatwood turned out but that's not really what i'm talking about. The cubs came out pretty strong signing Morrow and Chatwood early in the offseaason presumably to put themselves in a situation where they weren't one of the teams fending for the last FA that remain. In retrospect, the way things played out allowed teams who were a bit more patient to get much better deals. For example Chacin worked out lots better for the Brewers. They signed him dec 21 as opposed to the cubs signing Chatwood 2 weeks earlier on dec 7.

Basically what I was thinking is that in the past teams were more willing to buy to be a .500 team. That's no longer the case. Teams tank left and right for obvious reason. In the past that created an environment where you had to be aggressive because as mentioned before you didn't wanna be the last guy without a chair. However, without that added pressure on the market, you end up with the reverse happening where players don't want to be the guy left without a team and thus you get these really crummy(for the player) deals.

As that pertains to this offseason, I'm thinking maybe it's a good thing the cubs don't appear to be super aggressive with money. This recent Brach deal is pretty fantastic in my eyes. i think you could easily compare him and Cishek and Cishek ended up with double what he got. And while he's not the most popular guy in town right now, I still really like the deal they got Darvish on late in the process. And who knows, maybe in the market drags machado and/or harper find themselves having to settle for a lot less than they expect which maybe fits into the cubs budget at that point.

That is the Crux of baseball right now. Teams are being rewarded for failure. It is bad for the game and non sense.

If you play to lose then you can spend more on talent that is a 3 year slow cook. It promotes not spending on eliete players. Why bother if you get rewarded for not spending.

This is a real problem in baseball right now. Teams are being rewarded for not supporting a major league payroll. Which causes a drop in attendance that allows these teams to spunge off of teams doing the right thing.

This is basically a wellfare mentality in a business environment
 

CSF77

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All I can say is kudos to the Reds. They are stepping up this year. It really doesn't matter that they are making the division harder. What matters it matter is they are making the division interesting.
It
I feel that the best record in baseball means little. It is the battle tested teams that go into the play offs as the dangerous ones. That is why the wild card was a dangerous opponent before they attacked them with a added elimation game. It changed the dynamic.

Boston was a exception because that division is a gauntlet. So that record weighed more than some of these bloated 100 plus win teams of the past. 2016 Cubs were a easier task than what Boston had to endure.

Again, what helps the sport is to enforce rules to make the sport competitive vs winning window or rebuild phase. And the real losers sit in between.
 

anotheridiot

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Justin Wilson to the mets for 2/10 with 500k performance bonus money each year.

I guess we will now see the guy we expected.
 

Castor76

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All I can say is kudos to the Reds. They are stepping up this year. It really doesn't matter that they are making the division harder. What matters it matter is they are making the division interesting.
It
I feel that the best record in baseball means little. It is the battle tested teams that go into the play offs as the dangerous ones. That is why the wild card was a dangerous opponent before they attacked them with a added elimation game. It changed the dynamic.

Boston was a exception because that division is a gauntlet. So that record weighed more than some of these bloated 100 plus win teams of the past. 2016 Cubs were a easier task than what Boston had to endure.

Again, what helps the sport is to enforce rules to make the sport competitive vs winning window or rebuild phase. And the real losers sit in between.

The only reason I disagree somewhat with this is the last 3 seasons, the most dominant regular reason has won the Series.
 

CSF77

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Right now I would count the NL as more interesting in general. East has 1 quitter rest are investing. Central IMO could end up in any situation. 1 key injury could turn the dynamic as the teams are close. West is a 2 team race. Rest are in division food.
I could see the Dodgers with a boated win total feeding off the Dbacks's tank job and the Padres. SF is a wild card right now.

AL is pathetic over all. Have/have not.
 

CSF77

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The only reason I disagree somewhat with this is the last 3 seasons, the most dominant regular reason has won the Series.

Think the stroes dealt with injury at SS. Even then they made it interesting. NYY lack a TOR. They would be dangerous with a top end.

Regardless ALE looks top heavy right now. 2 team race. C Sucks and even the Sox with some youth over achieving could take it. West is a bottom feed for the Astroes
 

CSF77

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https://www.mlb.com/cubs/news/how-is-adbert-alzolays-rehab-going/c-303129628

Alzolay:
Due to the injury last season, the Cubs will also keep a close eye on Alzolay's innings throughout the summer. He only logged 39 2/3 innings prior to his health setback, so a full season of starting is not in his future for 2019.

"He's worked exceptionally hard," Cubs senior vice president of player development and amateur scouting Jason McLeod said last weekend. "The kid's phenomenal. He feels great. He looks great. But, yeah, it's probably going to be -- I can't put the innings out there now -- but it won't be a full 160-inning year."

The alternative would be to have Alzolay begin his season as a starting pitcher, with an eye on potentially coming to the Majors as a reliever. McLeod emphasized that given the structure of the MLB roster at the moment, the bullpen is the most probable route for pitching prospects to earn big league time this year. Obviously, injuries or setbacks would alter that landscape.

I think that is a solid plan. Start him in Iowa to build up some innings then promote to the majors in the summer for the pen to get his feet wet. That way when Cole's contract comes off he would be lined up for a slot.

Almora vs Happ:
As for your question, I do think Almora should get the bulk of the innings in center, just as he did last year. His defense is too valuable, and if he can even be league average offensively, that's a great combination. That said, if Almora looks lost like he did in the second half last year (47 wRC+ after the break), then it makes sense to try to maximize the run production. Happ hit righties to the tune of an .816 OPS and 118 wRC+. Finding strategic days to get Happ in there is not the worst idea, as long as he is not costing runs defensively.

I tend to agree. I believe it is on Almora right now to keep Happ off CF. But if he is looking like he did in the 2nd half... I'm favoring a strait platoon but if Almora is giving a 100 wRC+ or more to both R/L the D wins out over all. I believe the most likely scenerio is a platoon witrh Almora late inning vs R.

Yes, Mekkes is very much on the MLB radar this season as a depth option for the bullpen.
(arm angle vs velocity)
 

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