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Well, here's the deal...what do you value more?
1. Whatever crap prospects the Dodgers are now going to give the Cubs due to lack of leverage;
2. One year of Dempster for $12.5MM;
3. The comp round pick.
If 2. and 3. are about equal then they have to present the qualifying offer. I'm of the opinion that the pick or Dempster for an extra year is worth more than whatever the Cubs would get back at this point. I guess it depends on how much a team is willing to give up for Shields or Greinke, but there ya go. At this point I think they're probably working on a Garza trade (that hasn't been leaked, herp a derp) and putting Dempster on the back burner.
Yeah I think Dempster is going to be a Cub and he will be here in 2013.