Schanowski: Should Bulls get involved in Howard trade talks?

Should Bulls get involved in Howard trade talks?

  • Yes

    Votes: 10 52.6%
  • No

    Votes: 4 21.1%
  • Only if he agrees to sign an extension

    Votes: 5 26.3%

  • Total voters
    19

clonetrooper264

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I think TS% does have some degree of weight because shooting well from the line is something that improves your efficiency and overall effectiveness. Yeah you could've shot like crap from the field, but if you get to the line 15 times and make all of the them, you didn't have as bad a game as the FG% says you did. TS% does skew heavily towards guys that shoot 3s, but on the whole it does tell you something about the player. You have to look at TS% with the players FG%, 3pt% and all that to really understand how well that player plays.
 

Glide2keva

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I think TS% does have some degree of weight because shooting well from the line is something that improves your efficiency and overall effectiveness. Yeah you could've shot like crap from the field, but if you get to the line 15 times and make all of the them, you didn't have as bad a game as the FG% says you did. TS% does skew heavily towards guys that shoot 3s, but on the whole it does tell you something about the player. You have to look at TS% with the players FG%, 3pt% and all that to really understand how well that player plays.
This is the part right here. As I pointed out, when you look at the raw stats, you don't need to look at TS% because it's pointless by that point because you have all you need to know looking at the raw stats.

And when you first look at TS%, you're going to have to look at the raw stats anyway. So TS%brings nothing else to the table that the raw stats don't already tell you and in greater detail.

TS% is useless.
 

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That's what I am doing. So...

TRADE BOOZER NOW.

That's all that matters.

YO.

Somebody will be interested and give us a more talented player back that Thibs can make him a real beast defensively. Josh Smith for Boozer campaign starts NOW. :D
I thought you were done posting in this thread?
 

clonetrooper264

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I can tell you're going to be stubborn about this...

You said this about TS%
It's bullshit because it can show someone having better game than they actually did because they may happen to be a great FT shooter. That will always bump the total percentage up, even if they shot terrible from the field. It's a weak stat.

A good FT% is supposed to increase your efficiency. Good 3pt shooting is also supposed to as well. EFG% accounts for 3s being worth more than any other basket. The premise is if you shoot say 7/20 from the field, but made 4 3s, that's the same as shooting 9/20 from the field in terms of the points you scored because of the 4 extra points from 3s. TS% just adds in free throw shooting as well. Point is, it's possible to shoot badly and still have an ok game efficiency wise through good 3pt shooting and FT shooting. So yeah TS% rewards good free throw shooting, it's supposed to.

TS% is a measure of efficiency, that's what it tells you. If a player shoots 42% from the field, but somehow has a 60% TS% you know he's not as bad as the FG% will tell you. Only looking at TS% will tell you how efficiently that player scores. If you look at straight raw percentages chances are you're going to be more biased towards FG%.

Look at Allen Iverson. His shooting percentages are crap except for FT% which isn't even that great to begin with. His TS% is 52%, which isn't fantastic, but it tells you he was more efficient than you initially thought. Look at DRose's 3rd season. He shot worse from the field than in his first 2 seasons, but yet was more efficient because he was shooting 3s at a higher rate and a better percentage and getting to the line more. And then there's everyone's favorite example of Kevin Martin. He only shoots about 43-44% from the field, but usually has a TS% close to 60%.
 

Glide2keva

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I can tell you're going to be stubborn about this...

You said this about TS%
Yes i am going to be stubborn about this.

A good FT% is supposed to increase your efficiency. Good 3pt shooting is also supposed to as well. EFG% accounts for 3s being worth more than any other basket. The premise is if you shoot say 7/20 from the field, but made 4 3s, that's the same as shooting 9/20 from the field in terms of the points you scored because of the 4 extra points from 3s. TS% just adds in free throw shooting as well. Point is, it's possible to shoot badly and still have an ok game efficiency wise through good 3pt shooting and FT shooting. So yeah TS% rewards good free throw shooting, it's supposed to.
And that's why it's bullshit. You can't count uncontested FT's in the same category as contested shots that come in a variety of angles and ways to get them off.

TS% is a measure of efficiency, that's what it tells you. If a player shoots 42% from the field, but somehow has a 60% TS% you know he's not as bad as the FG% will tell you. Only looking at TS% will tell you how efficiently that player scores. If you look at straight raw percentages chances are you're going to be more biased towards FG%.
Not true. You're supposed to look at FG% first and foremost because that lets you know how they did from the floor. FG% includes 3-point shots, because it's the total number of shots taken from the floor. Then you look at 3P% to see how they shot from 3. Then you look at FT%. TS% doesn't tell you what they did in those individual arenas, you still have to look at the raw stats, which totally nullifies the use of TS%

Look at Allen Iverson. His shooting percentages are crap except for FT% which isn't even that great to begin with. His TS% is 52%, which isn't fantastic, but it tells you he was more efficient than you initially thought. Look at DRose's 3rd season. He shot worse from the field than in his first 2 seasons, but yet was more efficient because he was shooting 3s at a higher rate and a better percentage and getting to the line more. And then there's everyone's favorite example of Kevin Martin. He only shoots about 43-44% from the field, but usually has a TS% close to 60%.
The Iverson example is a good one, but the thing you forget is that Iverson was a volume shooter. He took a LOT of shots for his 24,000+ points. He wasn't a good shooter and because he was a good FT shooter, his TS% is very misleading. Even at 52%, that's still misleading.

D-Rose 3rd season was different from his first and second seasons because he started making a concerted effort to take more 3's which in itself lowers your FG%. He didn't start getting to the line until midway through his third season after making a fuss and getting a technical over non foul calls.

So, he wasn't more efficient from the floor. I really hate it when people try to use TS% in place of the raw stats because the raw stats don't favor a player, like Kobe and Durant last season because he got to the line a lot for a guy that shot a lot of jump shots. TS% is such an easily manipulated stat, because a guy can not be aggressive and shoot a minimum of shots and and as long as he makes a decent amount of them and hit his FT's, it will look like he had a monster game, when in fact he played lazy and only played to protect his percentages, ala Chris Paul a few years back.
 

clonetrooper264

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Yes i am going to be stubborn about this.

Which is why we could probably argue in circles about this and get nowhere so after this response I'm done talking about this.

And that's why it's bullshit. You can't count uncontested FT's in the same category as contested shots that come in a variety of angles and ways to get them off.

Again, TS% measures your efficiency as a scorer. FTs increase your efficiency, that's why they are included. If you score 15 points on 5 shots you would say that player was efficient regardless of if he was 5/5 from the field with 5 free throws or 0/5 from the field with 15 free throws. The difference between those games is that only looking at raw stats you might say he only had one good game because in one game he shot 5/5. TS% would say, correctly, that both those situations were good games.

Not true. You're supposed to look at FG% first and foremost because that lets you know how they did from the floor. FG% includes 3-point shots, because it's the total number of shots taken from the floor. Then you look at 3P% to see how they shot from 3. Then you look at FT%. TS% doesn't tell you what they did in those individual arenas, you still have to look at the raw stats, which totally nullifies the use of TS%
I never said you only had to look at TS% to get all your information. Raw stats are there for a reason, but your opinion will always be skewed towards the FG% which doesn't always tell the whole story. It's possible to still be reasonably efficient even if you only shoot 40% from the field. Sure you could say it "nullifies" TS% because the individual components of it are already there, but I could say the same for total rebounds. We have offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds, why bother having total rebounds?

The Iverson example is a good one, but the thing you forget is that Iverson was a volume shooter. He took a LOT of shots for his 24,000+ points. He wasn't a good shooter and because he was a good FT shooter, his TS% is very misleading. Even at 52%, that's still misleading.
I am not forgetting that Iverson was a volume shooter. You would have to not know who Iverson is to not know that. I know he wasn't that efficient of a scorer. What you're forgetting is that a TS% of 52% isn't that great. An average TS% is around 52-53%. So what this says is that Iverson was about average in terms of efficiency. You wouldn't think that looking at his 41% FG% and his 31% 3pt%. Remember what I said before about FTs increasing efficiency? AI got to the line A LOT. That increases your efficiency if you can knock them down like he did. Thus, what looks like horrible efficiency is actually average efficiency. It's not misleading, it's a fact.

D-Rose 3rd season was different from his first and second seasons because he started making a concerted effort to take more 3's which in itself lowers your FG%. He didn't start getting to the line until midway through his third season after making a fuss and getting a technical over non foul calls.
So what? He was still more efficient despite the lowered FG% which was the point. Yeah taking 3s lowers your FG%, but it also increases efficiency if you make more of them. Rose did exactly that.

So, he wasn't more efficient from the floor. I really hate it when people try to use TS% in place of the raw stats because the raw stats don't favor a player, like Kobe and Durant last season because he got to the line a lot for a guy that shot a lot of jump shots. TS% is such an easily manipulated stat, because a guy can not be aggressive and shoot a minimum of shots and and as long as he makes a decent amount of them and hit his FT's, it will look like he had a monster game, when in fact he played lazy and only played to protect his percentages, ala Chris Paul a few years back.

You don't get to the line 8, 9, 10, 14 times only by shooting lots of jumpers. These guys are aggressive scorers. Sure they shoot lots of jumpers, but they make a decent percentage of them for the most part. Sure you could look at 25 field goal attempts and say oh he shot 15 jumpers, but if he also has say 18 free throw attempts, you better believe that not all those were from getting fouled on jump shot attempts. They're efficient because of their ability to get to the line among other things, so yes, TS% for players who get to the line a lot will be higher. It favors players it should favor. Now I'm not sure which year you're referring to when Chris Paul did this stat protecting stuff, but looking at his stats it seems as though he puts up good efficiency numbers every year. Furthermore, his raw stats are good too so if he was doing as you said, raw stats are misleading as well.
 

Glide2keva

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Which is why we could probably argue in circles about this and get nowhere so after this response I'm done talking about this.
Understandable

Again, TS% measures your efficiency as a scorer. FTs increase your efficiency, that's why they are included. If you score 15 points on 5 shots you would say that player was efficient regardless of if he was 5/5 from the field with 5 free throws or 0/5 from the field with 15 free throws. The difference between those games is that only looking at raw stats you might say he only had one good game because in one game he shot 5/5. TS% would say, correctly, that both those situations were good games.
The problem I have with it also, besides the fact that it can be easily manipulated is that it relies on and give more weight to uncontested free throws, which leaves it open to the subjectiveness of the way fouls are called and how FT's are handed out. Certain players are going to get to the line if you breathe on the hard. Or ow Durant use to use the rip through move at the 3-point line, before they banned it. Like I said though, someone could shoot 35% from the floor, and then someone throws up his TS% as a way to say they had a good game, even though they were bricking shots left and right.

I never said you only had to look at TS% to get all your information. Raw stats are there for a reason, but your opinion will always be skewed towards the FG% which doesn't always tell the whole story. It's possible to still be reasonably efficient even if you only shoot 40% from the field. Sure you could say it "nullifies" TS% because the individual components of it are already there, but I could say the same for total rebounds. We have offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds, why bother having total rebounds?
Come on Clone, you know those are two separate things. You have total rebounds because there are two types of rebounds to get and the total is the sum of all rebound grabbed by said player. That's not what TS% is. I don't like eFG%, but I respect it more than TS% because it only counts contested shots in its' total percentage and doesn't include shots that aren't defended and thus have a lower degree of difficulty.

I am not forgetting that Iverson was a volume shooter. You would have to not know who Iverson is to not know that. I know he wasn't that efficient of a scorer. What you're forgetting is that a TS% of 52% isn't that great. An average TS% is around 52-53%. So what this says is that Iverson was about average in terms of efficiency. You wouldn't think that looking at his 41% FG% and his 31% 3pt%. Remember what I said before about FTs increasing efficiency? AI got to the line A LOT. That increases your efficiency if you can knock them down like he did. Thus, what looks like horrible efficiency is actually average efficiency. It's not misleading, it's a fact.
Efficiency is almost used as a crutch these days because players just aren't as good as shooters as players back in the 80's 90's before these so-called "advanced" fantasy sports stats existed. I'm sorry but Iverson wasn't a good shooter and he was nowhere near efficient. His 52 TS% makes him look better than he really was and that is bared out in his raw numbers. At least Kobe chucked his way to 45% career FG%, Iverson couldn't do even that.

So what? He was still more efficient despite the lowered FG% which was the point. Yeah taking 3s lowers your FG%, but it also increases efficiency if you make more of them. Rose did exactly that.
He wasn't more efficient. I guess it depends on how you measure efficiency. I measure it by what they shoot from the floor and how many shots they took to get their points. At the same time though, I don't really care for efficiency because basketball is a game that ebbs and flows and it changes from game to game.

You don't get to the line 8, 9, 10, 14 times only by shooting lots of jumpers. These guys are aggressive scorers. Sure they shoot lots of jumpers, but they make a decent percentage of them for the most part. Sure you could look at 25 field goal attempts and say oh he shot 15 jumpers, but if he also has say 18 free throw attempts, you better believe that not all those were from getting fouled on jump shot attempts. They're efficient because of their ability to get to the line among other things, so yes, TS% for players who get to the line a lot will be higher. It favors players it should favor. Now I'm not sure which year you're referring to when Chris Paul did this stat protecting stuff, but looking at his stats it seems as though he puts up good efficiency numbers every year. Furthermore, his raw stats are good too so if he was doing as you said, raw stats are misleading as well.
Durant was getting a lot of fouls on the perimeter due to his use of the rip through move that they banned this season. That's part of (NOT TOTALLY) the reason he is attacking the basket more this year than he had in the past. Him and Kobe were primarily jump shooters who got to the an awful lot due to using moves like kicking your leg out and falling (Kobe) and ripping through the defenders hands (Durant)

But yeah we can agree to disagree on this. I'm just old school and I don't need these bogus, useless "advanced" fantasy sports stats to tell me anything. Watching games and looking at the raw numbers is enough for me.
 

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I think the advanced stats are useful. I'm sure I've even used them in debates here. But I don't think they are the be all, end all of any discussion. I think they have a place in MLB, but other sports not so much.
This.

Baseball is where this started and it should've stayed there. Sabermetrics can be easily used in baseball because there very few variables to derive your numbers from. Each batter get roughly the same amount of at-bats per game. Each starting pitcher gets roughly the same number of innings pitched with the average being 7 or so.

So you can come up with all kinds of stats to break the game down with. Basketball is too subjective and differs from game to game.
 

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No they are advanced stats and more accurate than simple stats like FG%

ya but TS% is skewed by whether or not you are a 3 point shooter.....it's skewed for 3 point shooters

PER is partly flawed because it weighs offense and ball control too much..thats why chris paul is 2nd(thats a little high)...great defenders dont get PER credit if they dont produce

neil johnston and mark madsen(yes the mad dog) are in top 10 of PER all time

defensive rating...i mean just look at boozer...

the stats have good perks, but no stat is close to perfect...you have to understand context
 

Glide2keva

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ya but TS% is skewed by whether or not you are a 3 point shooter.....it's skewed for 3 point shooters.
And don't forget guys who get gifted FT's

PER is partly flawed because it weighs offense and ball control too much..that's why chris paul is 2nd (that's a little high)...great defenders dont get PER credit if they don't produce

neil johnston and mark madsen(yes the mad dog) are in top 10 of PER all time
Tells you all you need to know right there.

Defensive rating...I mean just look at boozer.
Exactly

The stats have good perks, but no stat is close to perfect...you have to understand context
That's why it bothers me when they are used because they have no context. Raw numbers have context.
 

clonetrooper264

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This.

Baseball is where this started and it should've stayed there. Sabermetrics can be easily used in baseball because there very few variables to derive your numbers from. Each batter get roughly the same amount of at-bats per game. Each starting pitcher gets roughly the same number of innings pitched with the average being 7 or so.

So you can come up with all kinds of stats to break the game down with. Basketball is too subjective and differs from game to game.

I agree with Prope too. I never purely base an argument off of an advanced statistic or sabermetric or whatever you wanna call it. I do use them to reinforce an argument, but they're not the be all end all.
 

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I agree with Prope too. I never purely base an argument off of an advanced statistic or sabermetric or whatever you wanna call it. I do use them to reinforce an argument, but they're not the be all end all.
I disagree with clonetrooper264 because he's an online :troll:
 

clonetrooper264

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Come on Clone, you know those are two separate things. You have total rebounds because there are two types of rebounds to get and the total is the sum of all rebound grabbed by said player.

The allusion was made because TS% is a combination of a multiple types of shooting percentages in a way. I know why you have total rebounds, it's pretty obvious.

Efficiency is almost used as a crutch these days because players just aren't as good as shooters as players back in the 80's 90's before these so-called "advanced" fantasy sports stats existed. I'm sorry but Iverson wasn't a good shooter and he was nowhere near efficient. His 52 TS% makes him look better than he really was and that is bared out in his raw numbers. At least Kobe chucked his way to 45% career FG%, Iverson couldn't do even that.

This is a fair argument. I never claimed Iverson was efficient or a good shooter. I said that his TS% was about average. Average does not mean you're efficient. In fact, if your TS% is near 50% that's looked at the same as someone looking at FG% and seeing 40% in terms of how "good" it is.

He wasn't more efficient. I guess it depends on how you measure efficiency. I measure it by what they shoot from the floor and how many shots they took to get their points. At the same time though, I don't really care for efficiency because basketball is a game that ebbs and flows and it changes from game to game.

I measure efficiency by how many shots players take to get their points as well. This is why I used an example of someone shooting 5 shots and scoring 15 points. In my mind, that's efficient regardless of whether that guy was 0/5 or 5/5. Free throws help in deciding whether or not a player is an efficient scorer because free throws are an efficient shot, much like how wide open layups/dunk and open corner 3s are efficient shots. Sure free throws aren't contested (that's why they're free), but that's why they're efficient in terms of scoring points. Of course, since you don't really care for efficiency, I can see why none of this really matters in your mind. That's cool, I'm just telling you how I see things. Like with Rose's efficiency, I see him as a more efficient scorer, you might not because his FG% dipped, that's fine.
 

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The allusion was made because TS% is a combination of a multiple types of shooting percentages in a way. I know why you have total rebounds, it's pretty obvious.
I don't have to explain why it's different, so I won't. You already know.

This is a fair argument. I never claimed Iverson was efficient or a good shooter. I said that his TS% was about average. Average does not mean you're efficient. In fact, if your TS% is near 50% that's looked at the same as someone looking at FG% and seeing 40% in terms of how "good" it is.
Understood. But you could still just look at his FG% and it will tell you the story more so than TS% ever could.

I measure efficiency by how many shots players take to get their points as well. This is why I used an example of someone shooting 5 shots and scoring 15 points. In my mind, that's efficient regardless of whether that guy was 0/5 or 5/5. Free throws help in deciding whether or not a player is an efficient scorer because free throws are an efficient shot, much like how wide open layups/dunk and open corner 3s are efficient shots. Sure free throws aren't contested (that's why they're free), but that's why they're efficient in terms of scoring points. Of course, since you don't really care for efficiency, I can see why none of this really matters in your mind. That's cool, I'm just telling you how I see things. Like with Rose's efficiency, I see him as a more efficient scorer, you might not because his FG% dipped, that's fine.
In Rose's case, I see him as the same player, no more or no less efficient than he ever was. The extra 3 pointers he took murdered his FG% and he was never able to recover. Now he can barely shoot from 18' in which used to be his money shot.

So to me, he is a worse shooter than he was in his first two years because his shot is fucked up. That's not efficient to me. More often than not, he is more likely to go 9-27 (regardless of how many FT's he shot) than he is to 9-17. I don't care what his TS% would wind up being, that is just plain bad no matter which way you slice it.

I see efficiency as picking your spots, making 47-50% of the shots you take and being productive outside of scoring, such as getting rebounds, steals, assists and making FT's.

I don't see it as always having a parade to the FT line, or jacking up 3's because they are more "efficient" shots. FG% is all I need. I don't play fantasy sports, so all of these advanced stats that people online try to use instead of raw stats (That no major sports outlet uses, mind you) can go somewhere.

They have just started to try and use PER on Mike & Mike in the morning, but it holds no weight. Why? Because no one outside of John Hollinger and his internet soldiers actually care about it.
 
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