Could go either way. People who have been shareholders while company was not public can dump their shares immediately, making them rich, but the stock price would then go down.
We'll see what happens.
yeah, I just saw someone saying as much on tard bets. Here:
RBLX ?? Direct Opening DD - Please Learn Why this is NOT an IPO Before You Make Any Moves
DD
Here is a load of non-advice horseshit from an idiot who knows nothing, but has been watching RBLX and just read an Investopedia Article on Direct Listings:
A lot of people seem concerned about where RBLX's opening price will be pinned. This is the wrong question. RBLX is doing a Direct Listing; all existing shares become tradeable by whomever holds them, subject to some restrictions. Essentially, employees and VC's get their first chance to cash out.
The price will therefore be dependent upon market forces rather than any particular price target set by an underwriter. Unlike an IPO, there is no underwriter here. It can't "open" until a bid-ask has been filled.
RBLX's price action therefore depends on the incentives of insiders currently holding the stock tonight, on RBLX Eve. More sophisticated VCs and investors might want to hold some if they see a heavy price target.
VCs might also want to do some profit taking - they've already made a ton on RBLX and would probably want to diversify.
Employees have been working around the clock for however many years (at least four, if they want to achieve total vesting of all their equity). In my view, many would have no interest in holding RBLX for value - they would likely want to cash in their chips. Their shares were literally worthless to them until RBLX went public, so in a way, $45 is as good as $100 - they hold thousands and thousands of shares, and are about to become very rich after working tons of hours. Even if it dips, you might see more sales from employees who are like: "EFFIT I GAVE MY LIFE TO THESE TINY BLOCKPEOPLE SHITBAGS I MUST HAVE MY TENDIES". When your shares were essentially free, $35 is appealing, particularly if price is dropping.
A selloff shouldn't be unexpected. Of course, aggressive meme-buying is also to be expected. But which side holds more weight?
In my view, the profit-taking motive will be stronger at the beginning; eventually, retail memes will win out. I am HEAVY bullish on RBLX longterm, and want to own as many shares as I can. But in the first hour or two, expect wide bid-asks, low liquidity, and maybe even a decent dip.
I of course, expect nothing but ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? in the longterm. But if you want to open your position in tendietown, it's good to think about entries.
TL;DR: ? ? ? ? ? LONGTERM but expect swings and lots of opportunities to build positions; but just in case, I'm going to use 25% of my RBLX fund immediately at open when everyone is skittish.
TL;DR II: ?? in the early RBLX history, eventual ?. Cannot gauge when anything will happen, not advice, you have no idea whether i eat my own feces.
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/m1hpzz