Chicago Cubs Hot Stove Offseason Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.

Lefty

New member
Joined:
Apr 19, 2010
Posts:
2,241
Liked Posts:
780
Way to use one stat to judge a player. Those 30 HRs couldn't have anything to do with a .354 BABIP, could it?

Actually, no, it couldn't have anything to do with it, since BABIP doesn't look at home runs, seeing as how they are very, very rarely "in play".
 
  • Like
Reactions: X

X

When one letter is enough
Donator
CCS Hall of Fame '20
Joined:
May 12, 2010
Posts:
24,664
Liked Posts:
7,783
Actually, no, it couldn't have anything to do with it, since BABIP doesn't look at home runs, seeing as how they are very, very rarely "in play".

you made me lol
 

Capt. Serious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 17, 2010
Posts:
19,670
Liked Posts:
6,438
Location:
Chicago
face of the site? stop being so dramatic with everything.

captain_obvious.jpg
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
oh so since im a mod im supposed to be what? sorry, just because no one agrees with you dont take it out on me.

and the bolded part.......what do you want elaborated.......all i said is it WILL NOT HAPPEN.

I don't care that no one agrees with me. I'm not "taking it out" on anyone. Sorry.

I want elaborated WHY it won't happen.

Actually, no, it couldn't have anything to do with it, since BABIP doesn't look at home runs, seeing as how they are very, very rarely "in play".

That's true. I totally overlooked that. But, if anyone seriously thinks that Shields will be that bad again, they need to get checked into a home.
 

DewsSox79

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 24, 2010
Posts:
29,059
Liked Posts:
7,249
I don't care that no one agrees with me. I'm not "taking it out" on anyone. Sorry.

I want elaborated WHY it won't happen.



That's true. I totally overlooked that. But, if anyone seriously thinks that Shields will be that bad again, they need to get checked into a home.

:obama:
 

DewsSox79

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 24, 2010
Posts:
29,059
Liked Posts:
7,249
Elaborate for God's sake. We all use the English Language, use it.

Trade Shields? You can never have enough arms

^^^ please tell me you didnt get this idea from that article.

i dont have to elaborate, because you are pulling shit out of the sky. you live in this make believe world where every rumor that has a player on a "trading block" is coming to the cubs, and than you want people to elaborate on why we think they wont....you make no sense at all. it is just a dumb arguement. period.
 

Capt. Serious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 17, 2010
Posts:
19,670
Liked Posts:
6,438
Location:
Chicago
Way to use one stat to judge a player. Those 30 HRs couldn't have anything to do with a .354 BABIP, could it?

While those HRs may not be nice, do you know what is? I'll tell ya. His career 3.7 K/BB, his career 3.85 xFIP, and his career 4.03 FIP... all in the AL East.

The dude is prone to giving up HR's. I've seen him pitch alot.

He leaves the ball up too much & pays for it with the gopher balls.

He was 13-15 on a damn good Rays team for god sakes.

OK, his losses have increased in each of his past two seasons. In 2010 he allowed a major league-high 127 runs and lost a career-high 15 games. His 246 hits allowed tied for the most in the majors, and he allowed an AL-high 34 home runs.
 
Last edited:

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
Trade Shields? You can never have enough arms

^^^ please tell me you didnt get this idea from that article.

i dont have to elaborate, because you are pulling shit out of the sky. you live in this make believe world where every rumor that has a player on a "trading block" is coming to the cubs, and than you want people to elaborate on why we think they wont....you make no sense at all. it is just a dumb arguement. period.

I did not actually. It was posted on PSD months ago. I just chose to post it now, because we were talking about it, earlier.

You're right, you don't have to elaborate, but if you're gonna facepalm someone, you better have something to back it up.

I don't think he's coming to the Cubs. It's a god damn rumor so I fucking posted it. It's so we can have something to talk about. If you have a fucking problem with that, you go tell Rush. I just fucking talked to him about you and making this place better. That's what we all want isn't it? How does being a god damn nazi help the site out? You should be encouraging the posting of rumors, for god's sake.

You really represent the site in a very shitty manner and I am not going to promote this site to good posters I know. Sorry, Rush, but this shit is ridiculous. We all come here to talk about sports, not look at Obama's head.
 

DewsSox79

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 24, 2010
Posts:
29,059
Liked Posts:
7,249
I did not actually. It was posted on PSD months ago. I just chose to post it now, because we were talking about it, earlier.

You're right, you don't have to elaborate, but if you're gonna facepalm someone, you better have something to back it up.

I don't think he's coming to the Cubs. It's a god damn rumor so I fucking posted it. It's so we can have something to talk about. If you have a fucking problem with that, you go tell Rush. I just fucking talked to him about you and making this place better. That's what we all want isn't it? How does being a god damn nazi help the site out? You should be encouraging the posting of rumors, for god's sake.

You really represent the site in a very shitty manner and I am not going to promote this site to good posters I know. Sorry, Rush, but this shit is ridiculous. We all come here to talk about sports, not look at Obama's head.

yeah because im the problem, maybe you should look in the mirror.

you get bent when people dont agree with you and than you act like a child.

where is this james shields to the cubs link? is there a link? because if there isnt i told you to put random ideas in the "random thread"

now run along and tell rush i was mean to you.
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
The dude is prone to giving up HR's. I've seen him pitch alot.

He leaves the ball up too much & pays for it with the gopher balls.

He was 13-15 on a damn good Rays team for god sakes.

Wow, you are really using W-L to dictate how good a pitcher he is? Really? That is about as ignorant as it gets. The offense and defense factor into whether or not a pitcher wins or not too.

So what if he gives up a lot of homeruns? So what? Lilly gives up a lot of homers and he was pretty good for us for 2+ years.
 

DewsSox79

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 24, 2010
Posts:
29,059
Liked Posts:
7,249
Wow, you are really using W-L to dictate how good a pitcher he is? Really? That is about as ignorant as it gets. The offense and defense factor into whether or not a pitcher wins or not too.

So what if he gives up a lot of homeruns? So what? Lilly gives up a lot of homers and he was pretty good for us for 2+ years.

117 ER
5.18 ERA
1.46 whip
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
yeah because im the problem, maybe you should look in the mirror.

you get bent when people dont agree with you and than you act like a child.

where is this james shields to the cubs link? is there a link? because if there isnt i told you to put random ideas in the "random thread"

now run along and tell rush i was mean to you.

No, it's the lack of an explanation that pisses me off. All you have to do is explain your point, is that really too much to ask on a SPORTS FORUM? I don't think it is.

There is no link, it's an idea. I apologize that I am not a mod and that I can not move posts.

You say I act like a child? Look in the mirror.
 

Capt. Serious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 17, 2010
Posts:
19,670
Liked Posts:
6,438
Location:
Chicago
FanGraphs of James Shields

112 IP vs LHB's, he gave up 130 hits.
91.1 IP vs RHB's, he gave up 116 hits.
LHB's hit .311 off him while RHB's hit .292

September/October he gave up 50 hits in just 32 innings.

He gets outside in the summer in Wrigley, teams will tee off on his ass.
 

DewsSox79

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 24, 2010
Posts:
29,059
Liked Posts:
7,249
No, it's the lack of an explanation that pisses me off. All you have to do is explain your point, is that really too much to ask on a SPORTS FORUM? I don't think it is.

There is no link, it's an idea. I apologize that I am not a mod and that I can not move posts.

You say I act like a child? Look in the mirror.

because I dont think the cubs are getting james shields....you need an explanation? it is an opinion bro, what dont you get?
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
117 ER
5.18 ERA
1.46 whip

Right, because ERA and WHIP are the most up to date stats.

Don't both to look at his 3.67 K/BB, his 8+ K/9, his 4.24 FIP, and his 3.72 xFIP... in the fucking AL East. ERA and WHIP < FIP and xFIP

If he were to move to the NL Central, he would kill. How can you honestly say that he wouldn't?
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
FanGraphs of James Shields

112 IP vs LHB's, he gave up 130 hits.
91.1 IP vs RHB's, he gave up 116 hits.
LHB's hit .311 off him while RHB's hit .292

September/October he gave up 50 hits in just 32 innings.

He gets outside in the summer in Wrigley, teams will tee off on his ass.

That's great, except using the quantity of hits and BA are about as outdated as stats get.

How do you know that? You don't know what days the wind will be blowing in and the days it will not.

EDIT: You get him in the NL and he will be facing lesser offensive teams, too.
 

Lefty

New member
Joined:
Apr 19, 2010
Posts:
2,241
Liked Posts:
780
Right, because ERA and WHIP are the most up to date stats.

Don't both to look at his 3.67 K/BB, his 8+ K/9, his 4.24 FIP, and his 3.72 xFIP... in the fucking AL East. ERA and WHIP < FIP and xFIP

If he were to move to the NL Central, he would kill. How can you honestly say that he wouldn't?

That's not necessarily true. He's played his entire career in a park that, over the last three seasons, has depressed HR output by about 10%, more than likely playing a part in his low HR/FB numbers. Now, considering he'd be moving to Wrigley, a park that over the last three years has boosted HR output by about 10%, meaning that we could reasonably expect him to give up a few extra home runs, just based on the change in park alone.

What makes matters worse is the fact that Shields, for his career, has predominantly been a fly ball pitcher, with a career GB/FB of 1.15, only once giving up 25% more grounders than he did fly balls, and twice already has he come dangerously close to giving up as many FB's as he has GB's. A pitcher can get away with these kinds of things when he is pitching in Tropicana Field and has an OF consisting mainly of Carl Crawford and BJ Upton, but the outlook would be bleak in taking that same pitcher and moving him to Wrigley with an OF that has Alphonso Soriano on patrol, and others not named Carl Crawford and BJ Upton.

So in the end, we have a pitcher moving from a pitcher's park to a hitter's park, and that pitcher just happens to give up a lot of fly balls, and would conceivably be giving them up with a questionable at-best defensive OF behind him. His strikeout abilities would be a nice addition, but there's a whole lot else that isn't in his favor in coming to the Cubs.
 

Captain Obvious

CCS Donator
Donator
Joined:
Jul 31, 2010
Posts:
4,967
Liked Posts:
697
That's not necessarily true. He's played his entire career in a park that, over the last three seasons, has depressed HR output by about 10%, more than likely playing a part in his low HR/FB numbers. Now, considering he'd be moving to Wrigley, a park that over the last three years has boosted HR output by about 10%, meaning that we could reasonably expect him to give up a few extra home runs, just based on the change in park alone.

What makes matters worse is the fact that Shields, for his career, has predominantly been a fly ball pitcher, with a career GB/FB of 1.15, only once giving up 25% more grounders than he did fly balls, and twice already has he come dangerously close to giving up as many FB's as he has GB's. A pitcher can get away with these kinds of things when he is pitching in Tropicana Field and has an OF consisting mainly of Carl Crawford and BJ Upton, but the outlook would be bleak in taking that same pitcher and moving him to Wrigley with an OF that has Alphonso Soriano on patrol, and others not named Carl Crawford and BJ Upton.

So in the end, we have a pitcher moving from a pitcher's park to a hitter's park, and that pitcher just happens to give up a lot of fly balls, and would conceivably be giving them up with a questionable at-best defensive OF behind him. His strikeout abilities would be a nice addition, but there's a whole lot else that isn't in his favor in coming to the Cubs.

Yeah, but playing in Wrigley allows him to work with Larry Rothschild everyday.

I really think you are putting too much value in him playing at Wrigley. He would make about 16 starts at home. He would only end up giving up 4 or 5 more home runs. But, on the road, he would be playing lesser talent, which could easily make his HR totals go down by 4 or 5.

The homeruns might make .2 wins difference in WAR, but the change from AL East to NL Central is about a win difference.
 

Jntg4

Fire Forum Moderator
Donator
Joined:
Apr 26, 2010
Posts:
26,017
Liked Posts:
3,297
Location:
Minnesota
My favorite teams
  1. Chicago White Sox
  2. Chicago Cubs
  1. Chicago Fire
  1. Chicago Bulls
  1. Chicago Bears
  1. Chicago Blackhawks
  1. Chicago State Cougars
  2. DePaul Blue Demons
  3. Illinois-Chicago Flames
  4. Loyola Ramblers
  5. Northern Illinois Huskies
  6. Northwestern Wildcats
Why are we debating something that someone suggested on PSD months ago? That's almost like getting rumors from Bleacher Report.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Top