Fact or Destiny?

[JoJoBoxer]

Bearmick is right. Every year, every team will always play the same 14 teams every 12 years. So next year, the Bears will play the AFC West and the NFC East just as they did in 2007. So the odds in any year of playing all 16 the same merely relies on those 2 games. Which is indeed 1 in 16 (not taking into account how good the teams should be in a given year ofcourse).

This probably happens all the time. I wouldn't be surprised if it happened to the Bears already.

You guys are talking the same thing without knowing it

1 - 0%
2 - 0%
3 - 0%
4 - 0%
5 - 0%
6 - 0%
7 - 0 %
8 - 0%
9 - 0 %
10 - 0 %
11 - 0%
12 - 1/16 or 6.25%

So ...

every 12th year, the Bears have a 6.25% chance of playing the same schedule.

and

looking at an any year outlook, the Bears have a 1/(4*4*12) chance or 0.52% chance, being that all of their chance will fall in the 12th year (or 6.25%)

 

[bearmick]

The question is not what are the same odds of having the same schedule every 12 years. It is what are the odds of having the same schedule in any 2 years.

That isn't what the OP said. It said the same schedule as we did in 2006. This being 2018 is what makes it 1/16. If the same post was made in 2030 the answer would be the same. Any other year it wouldn't happen because it couldn't happen.

 

[Novak]

ITT we have 2 different parties doing 2 different maths that apparently no one asked for.. I guess we all lost today.

 

[Monster]

The odds of us playing these divisions this year was 100%. You are doing it based on any given year, but in other years the odds of playing is these teams is 0% since we couldn't play the AFCE and NFCW in the same season in other years.

the odds of the 16 game schedule featuring all the same teams in 2018 as 2006 is 1 in 16. Last year and the year before and any other year outside of 2018, 2030, 2042 etc, is 0%.

What about playing them in the same order?

 

[bearmick]

You guys are talking the same thing without knowing it

1 - 0%
2 - 0%
3 - 0%
4 - 0%
5 - 0%
6 - 0%
7 - 0 %
8 - 0%
9 - 0 %
10 - 0 %
11 - 0%
12 - 1/16 or 6.25%

So ...

every 12th year, the Bears have a 6.25% chance of playing the same schedule.

and

looking at an any year outlook, the Bears have a 1/(4*4*12) chance or 0.52% chance, being that all of their chance will fall in the 12th year (or 6.25%)

Correct, but the bolded wasn't what the OP said.

The chances of picking two random years out of a hat and the schedules being the same are 1/192, which is the question DaaBears is answering.

 

[xer0h0ur]

What about playing them in the same order?

Boy you want this to turn into a 100 pages? Because that is how you do it.

 

[JoJoBoxer]

But it's literally impossible to have the same schedule outside of a 12 year cycle. Not statistically improbable - impossible.

Why would we even consider those years in the equation? Seems silly to me.

What?

So if I ask you what are the chances of you, Novak, dating a super model, you can rule out every super model that would not date you?

[video=youtube;zMRrNY0pxfM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMRrNY0pxfM[/video]

 

[bearmick]

What about playing them in the same order?

:slap:

 

[Novak]

What?

So if I ask you what are the chances of you, Novak, dating a super model, you can rule out every super model that would not date you?

[video=youtube;zMRrNY0pxfM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMRrNY0pxfM[/video]

I currently am dating a supermodel.

Next question?

 

[xer0h0ur]

Novak is 6' 5" and about to become a THICCBOI

Bitches be swoonin

 

[JoJoBoxer]

Correct, but the bolded wasn't what the OP said.

The chances of picking two random years out of a hat and the schedules being the same are 1/192, which is the question DaaBears is answering.

I am just trying to fix a point of view error. I agree with you both but for different reasons.

 

[JoJoBoxer]

I currently am dating a supermodel.

Next question?

Making it 100% chance ... after ruling out every super model that wouldn't go out with you.

Just like me ...

and everyone else on CCS.

Here is Omeletpants' choice.

 

[Novak]

Making it 100% chance ... after ruling out every super model that wouldn't go out with you.

Just like me ...

and everyone else on CCS.

Here is Omeletpants' choice.

Okay, I'm happy for you and also myself but... Something is wrong with that dudes bicep. Should I alert Ommy?

 

[Newblood]

There's a 100% chance you all are wasting precious internet bandwidth right now.

 

[xer0h0ur]

There's a 100% chance you all are wasting precious internet bandwidth right now.

But was Khalil Mack worth 141 Million dollhairs :thinking:

 

[Newblood]

But was Khalil Mack worth 141 Million dollhairs :thinking:

He literally had 0 sacks, 0 tackles, 0 QB hurries during a 60 sec span. So that's an easy, no!

So that's like, almost 150k wasted!

 

[hebs]

1 out of 432. The odds that they would play the same 2 last place teams in the same year that they play the NFC West and AFC East.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[JoJoBoxer]

Okay, I'm happy for you and also myself but... Something is wrong with that dudes bicep. Should I alert Ommy?

Ommy will be looking at a whole other appendage to notice the bicep

 

[sevvy]

Now if you were to say "what are the chances of the next time the Bears playing the same opponents in 2030"? Then that changes things because you are then predicting the year on top of the 1/16. That is where I think they are getting confused.

Whoa now, pump the brakes on 2030. That's a whole different animal.

By 2030, I predict that the eastern seaboard will secede from The Union and became a part of the United States' greatest enemy, the newly formed country of Trumpsylvania. Which will basically be a hybrid federation/republic on the surface, but will actually be a full-on oligarchical dictatorship overseen by The Sons of Trump. Which are not his literal sons, but a group comprised of smug-faced narcissistic rich kids with bad hair to carry on Dr. Trump's legacy. Yes, that's right, Dr. Trump. He goes back to school and attends Trump University(online), majors in Paranormal Psychology with a minor in ***** Musicology, and gets his Doctorate in 2026, graduating magna cum laude.

In other words, with all the re-alignment and expansion that takes place due to these extreme political changes, you can't even begin to predict what will happen in the NFL in 2030.

 

[Newblood]

Whoa now, pump the brakes on 2030. That's a whole different animal.

By 2030, I predict that the eastern seaboard will secede from The Union and became a part of the United States' greatest enemy, the newly formed country of Trumpsylvania. Which will basically be a hybrid federation/republic on the surface, but will actually be a full-on oligarchical dictatorship overseen by The Sons of Trump. Which are not his literal sons, but a group comprised of smug-faced narcissistic rich kids with bad hair to carry on Dr. Trump's legacy. Yes, that's right, Dr. Trump. He goes back to school and attends Trump University(online), majors in Paranormal Psychology with a minor in ***** Musicology, and gets his Doctorate in 2026, graduating magna cum laude.

In other words, with all the re-alignment and expansion that takes place due to these extreme political changes, you can't even begin to predict what will happen in the NFL in 2030.

Is there an NFL team in North Korean and Russia in this future?