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Agreed with the larger point you are making about Caldwell. Trestman was incompetent. Fox has demonstrated competence. Problem with hiring an unknown is you are more likely, statistically, to get a dud. You may hire a great coach and he may still flame out (Belichick and Carroll both failed miserably in their first attempts as NFL head coaches). The talent that Pace assembles is the most important factor in this variable. We go to great lengths and use the intangibles (leadership, discipline, moxie, blah, blah, etc.) to explain why a guy succeeded. It's a pretty simple equation- give a competent coach enough talent and they will win. Fox can win if given enough talent. The other candidates? Who knows? Maybe yes- but more likely, no.
We are not so apart on logic, But Fox had arguably the best roster in the last two years of any football team.....he got close, but no cigar. I do agree there is risk in hiring an assistant, were we differ on is that a risk worth taking. It's impossible to ascertain who is right, who is wrong, it's all just speculation at this point. But the purpose of the thread was for those that don't want fox to state why. So I did.